2026 年热带气旋季 · 东北太平洋

飓风NOLO Nolo · EP152026

飓风NOLO活动于东北太平洋，自 2026-09-10 至 2026-10-11，共 31 天，最大风速 135 节（H4），最低气压 929 百帕。存档中来自 NHC、ECMWF、ECMWF ENS、GFS、GEFS、Google DeepMind 的 471 次预报已与最佳路径比对；48 小时预报中 ECMWF ENS 最接近，平均偏差 45 公里。

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ATCF 编号
EP152026
海域
东北太平洋
活动时间
2026-09-10 → 2026-10-11 (31 天)
最大风速
135 kt · 69 m/s · H4
最低气压
929 hPa
存档预报
471
来源
NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS · Google DeepMind
TDTSH1H2H3H4H5

预报路径误差（公里）

来源24 h48 h72 h120 h
NHC51 (52)68 (48)78 (47)166 (47)
ECMWF40 (52)50 (48)84 (47)201 (47)
ECMWF ENS35 (51)45 (48)79 (47)170 (47)
GFS55 (51)70 (47)94 (46)256 (46)
GEFS51 (51)76 (47)108 (46)220 (46)
Google DeepMind37 (51)64 (47)92 (46)167 (46)

各预报时效上与最佳路径的平均大圆距离，只计系统处于热带或副热带气旋阶段的时次；括号内为样本数。

最佳路径

美国最佳路径（JTWC / NHC，1 分钟平均风速）每 6 小时的位置；等级按萨菲尔–辛普森分级。

时间（UTC）位置风速（节）气压（百帕）等级
2026-09-10 12Z10.5°N 108.5°W15—TD
2026-09-10 18Z11.1°N 109.5°W15—TD
2026-09-11 00Z11.6°N 110.5°W15—TD
2026-09-11 06Z11.9°N 111.4°W20—TD
2026-09-11 12Z12.3°N 112.2°W201009TD
2026-09-11 18Z12.9°N 113.1°W201009TD
2026-09-12 00Z13.7°N 113.7°W251007TD
2026-09-12 06Z14.8°N 113.8°W301006TD
2026-09-12 12Z16.1°N 113.8°W301006TD
2026-09-12 18Z16.8°N 114.3°W251008TD
2026-09-13 00Z17.2°N 114.9°W251008TD
2026-09-13 06Z17.4°N 115.6°W251008TD
2026-09-13 12Z17.4°N 116.2°W251007TD
2026-09-13 18Z17.3°N 116.8°W301006TD
2026-09-14 00Z17.1°N 117.9°W301006TD
2026-09-14 06Z16.6°N 118.5°W301006TD
2026-09-14 12Z16.3°N 119.3°W301006TD
2026-09-14 18Z16.9°N 120.0°W301006TD
2026-09-15 00Z16.5°N 121.1°W301005TD
2026-09-15 06Z16.2°N 122.1°W301005TD
2026-09-15 12Z16.1°N 123.4°W301005TD
2026-09-15 18Z15.8°N 124.4°W251006TD
2026-09-16 00Z15.6°N 125.3°W251006TD
2026-09-16 06Z15.4°N 126.5°W251006TD
2026-09-16 12Z15.2°N 127.7°W251006TD
2026-09-16 18Z14.9°N 128.7°W251006TD
2026-09-17 00Z14.7°N 129.8°W251006TD
2026-09-17 06Z14.7°N 130.7°W251006TD
2026-09-17 12Z14.8°N 131.6°W251005TD
2026-09-17 18Z15.4°N 132.5°W251006TD
2026-09-18 00Z15.5°N 133.9°W251006TD
2026-09-18 06Z15.0°N 135.2°W251006TD
2026-09-18 12Z15.5°N 136.0°W251008TD
2026-09-18 18Z16.0°N 136.7°W251008TD
2026-09-19 00Z16.4°N 137.6°W251008TD
2026-09-19 06Z16.5°N 138.6°W251008TD
2026-09-19 12Z16.6°N 139.7°W251007TD
2026-09-19 18Z16.1°N 140.5°W251007TD
2026-09-20 00Z15.3°N 141.5°W251007TD
2026-09-20 06Z14.8°N 142.2°W251007TD
2026-09-20 12Z14.6°N 143.1°W251007TD
2026-09-20 18Z14.1°N 144.2°W251007TD
2026-09-21 00Z13.4°N 144.8°W251007TD
2026-09-21 06Z13.2°N 145.4°W251007TD
2026-09-21 12Z13.2°N 145.9°W251007TD
2026-09-21 18Z13.2°N 146.3°W251007TD
2026-09-22 00Z13.2°N 146.8°W251007TD
2026-09-22 06Z13.1°N 147.6°W251007TD
2026-09-22 12Z13.0°N 149.0°W251007TD
2026-09-22 18Z13.0°N 150.7°W251007TD
2026-09-23 00Z13.3°N 152.4°W251006TD
2026-09-23 06Z13.9°N 153.4°W301006TD
2026-09-23 12Z14.3°N 154.3°W301004TD
2026-09-23 18Z14.5°N 155.1°W301004TD
2026-09-24 00Z14.6°N 155.8°W401002TS
2026-09-24 06Z14.6°N 156.0°W451001TS
2026-09-24 12Z14.6°N 156.2°W50997TS
2026-09-24 18Z14.7°N 156.2°W55993TS
2026-09-25 00Z14.9°N 156.0°W60986TS
2026-09-25 06Z15.2°N 155.8°W70985H1
2026-09-25 12Z15.7°N 155.5°W80980H1
2026-09-25 18Z16.3°N 155.4°W90978H2
2026-09-26 00Z16.7°N 155.3°W90975H2
2026-09-26 06Z16.9°N 155.2°W90975H2
2026-09-26 12Z16.9°N 155.3°W85976H2
2026-09-26 18Z16.8°N 155.7°W85977H2
2026-09-27 00Z16.7°N 156.1°W80972H1
2026-09-27 06Z16.6°N 156.9°W85968H2
2026-09-27 12Z16.2°N 157.8°W85969H2
2026-09-27 18Z16.1°N 158.8°W100966H3
2026-09-28 00Z16.2°N 159.8°W115948H4
2026-09-28 06Z16.4°N 160.8°W135929H4
2026-09-28 12Z16.8°N 161.9°W135929H4
2026-09-28 18Z17.3°N 162.7°W130933H4
2026-09-29 00Z18.3°N 163.5°W125936H4
2026-09-29 06Z19.5°N 164.2°W100958H3
2026-09-29 12Z20.1°N 164.2°W100958H3
2026-09-29 18Z21.0°N 164.2°W90968H2
2026-09-30 00Z21.8°N 164.2°W80974H1
2026-09-30 06Z22.4°N 164.2°W65984H1
2026-09-30 12Z22.2°N 164.7°W55991TS
2026-09-30 18Z21.9°N 164.7°W50994TS
2026-10-01 00Z21.6°N 164.7°W50994TS
2026-10-01 06Z21.7°N 165.0°W50994TS
2026-10-01 12Z21.8°N 165.2°W50993TS
2026-10-01 18Z22.0°N 165.4°W50993TS
2026-10-02 00Z22.8°N 165.9°W50993TS
2026-10-02 06Z23.0°N 166.4°W55990TS
2026-10-02 12Z23.2°N 166.9°W60987TS
2026-10-02 18Z23.3°N 167.4°W65984H1
2026-10-03 00Z23.4°N 168.1°W70981H1
2026-10-03 06Z23.3°N 169.0°W90967H2
2026-10-03 12Z23.2°N 170.5°W95963H2
2026-10-03 18Z23.2°N 172.2°W105957H3
2026-10-04 00Z23.3°N 174.2°W100959H3
2026-10-04 06Z23.5°N 175.9°W95963H2
2026-10-04 12Z23.6°N 177.8°W95963H2
2026-10-04 18Z24.0°N 179.2°W100959H3
2026-10-05 00Z24.8°N 179.3°E105955H3
2026-10-05 06Z25.3°N 177.7°E105955H3
2026-10-05 12Z25.6°N 176.2°E105955H3
2026-10-05 18Z25.8°N 174.7°E105955H3
2026-10-06 00Z25.7°N 173.0°E105955H3
2026-10-06 06Z25.6°N 171.1°E105956H3
2026-10-06 12Z25.4°N 169.1°E99960H3
2026-10-06 18Z25.3°N 166.4°E80974H1
2026-10-07 00Z25.3°N 164.0°E74977H1
2026-10-07 06Z25.9°N 162.0°E70979H1
2026-10-07 12Z25.8°N 160.3°E64984H1
2026-10-07 18Z25.9°N 157.8°E60988TS
2026-10-08 00Z26.9°N 156.0°E54990TS
2026-10-08 06Z27.4°N 154.1°E54989TS
2026-10-08 12Z27.6°N 152.7°E51992TS
2026-10-08 18Z27.8°N 151.1°E51991TS
2026-10-09 00Z28.2°N 149.8°E51992TS
2026-10-09 06Z28.8°N 148.7°E51991TS
2026-10-09 12Z29.4°N 147.8°E51991TS
2026-10-09 18Z30.0°N 147.2°E51991TS
2026-10-10 00Z30.6°N 146.8°E51991TS
2026-10-10 06Z30.9°N 146.2°E45993TS
2026-10-10 12Z31.0°N 145.6°E35999TS
2026-10-10 18Z31.7°N 145.6°E291001TD
2026-10-11 00Z32.1°N 145.6°E251001TD
2026-10-11 06Z32.3°N 145.5°E251007TD
2026-10-11 12Z32.4°N 144.9°E251008TD