2026 tropical cyclone season · eastern North Pacific
Hurricane Nolo Nolo · EP152026
Hurricane Nolo was tracked in the eastern North Pacific from 2026-09-10 to 2026-10-11 (31 days), peaking at 135 kt (H4) with a minimum pressure of 929 hPa. 471 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS, Google DeepMind are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 45 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- EP152026
- Basin
- eastern North Pacific
- Tracked
- 2026-09-10 → 2026-10-11 (31 days)
- Peak wind
- 135 kt · 69 m/s · H4
- Minimum pressure
- 929 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 471
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS · Google DeepMind
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 51 (52) | 68 (48) | 78 (47) | 166 (47) |
| ECMWF | 40 (52) | 50 (48) | 84 (47) | 201 (47) |
| ECMWF ENS | 35 (51) | 45 (48) | 79 (47) | 170 (47) |
| GFS | 55 (51) | 70 (47) | 94 (46) | 256 (46) |
| GEFS | 51 (51) | 76 (47) | 108 (46) | 220 (46) |
| Google DeepMind | 37 (51) | 64 (47) | 92 (46) | 167 (46) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 12Z | 10.5°N 108.5°W | 15 | — | TD |
| 2026-09-10 18Z | 11.1°N 109.5°W | 15 | — | TD |
| 2026-09-11 00Z | 11.6°N 110.5°W | 15 | — | TD |
| 2026-09-11 06Z | 11.9°N 111.4°W | 20 | — | TD |
| 2026-09-11 12Z | 12.3°N 112.2°W | 20 | 1009 | TD |
| 2026-09-11 18Z | 12.9°N 113.1°W | 20 | 1009 | TD |
| 2026-09-12 00Z | 13.7°N 113.7°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-09-12 06Z | 14.8°N 113.8°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-12 12Z | 16.1°N 113.8°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-12 18Z | 16.8°N 114.3°W | 25 | 1008 | TD |
| 2026-09-13 00Z | 17.2°N 114.9°W | 25 | 1008 | TD |
| 2026-09-13 06Z | 17.4°N 115.6°W | 25 | 1008 | TD |
| 2026-09-13 12Z | 17.4°N 116.2°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-09-13 18Z | 17.3°N 116.8°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-14 00Z | 17.1°N 117.9°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-14 06Z | 16.6°N 118.5°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-14 12Z | 16.3°N 119.3°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-14 18Z | 16.9°N 120.0°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-15 00Z | 16.5°N 121.1°W | 30 | 1005 | TD |
| 2026-09-15 06Z | 16.2°N 122.1°W | 30 | 1005 | TD |
| 2026-09-15 12Z | 16.1°N 123.4°W | 30 | 1005 | TD |
| 2026-09-15 18Z | 15.8°N 124.4°W | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-16 00Z | 15.6°N 125.3°W | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-16 06Z | 15.4°N 126.5°W | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-16 12Z | 15.2°N 127.7°W | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-16 18Z | 14.9°N 128.7°W | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-17 00Z | 14.7°N 129.8°W | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-17 06Z | 14.7°N 130.7°W | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-17 12Z | 14.8°N 131.6°W | 25 | 1005 | TD |
| 2026-09-17 18Z | 15.4°N 132.5°W | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-18 00Z | 15.5°N 133.9°W | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-18 06Z | 15.0°N 135.2°W | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-18 12Z | 15.5°N 136.0°W | 25 | 1008 | TD |
| 2026-09-18 18Z | 16.0°N 136.7°W | 25 | 1008 | TD |
| 2026-09-19 00Z | 16.4°N 137.6°W | 25 | 1008 | TD |
| 2026-09-19 06Z | 16.5°N 138.6°W | 25 | 1008 | TD |
| 2026-09-19 12Z | 16.6°N 139.7°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-09-19 18Z | 16.1°N 140.5°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-09-20 00Z | 15.3°N 141.5°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-09-20 06Z | 14.8°N 142.2°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-09-20 12Z | 14.6°N 143.1°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-09-20 18Z | 14.1°N 144.2°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-09-21 00Z | 13.4°N 144.8°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-09-21 06Z | 13.2°N 145.4°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-09-21 12Z | 13.2°N 145.9°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-09-21 18Z | 13.2°N 146.3°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-09-22 00Z | 13.2°N 146.8°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-09-22 06Z | 13.1°N 147.6°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-09-22 12Z | 13.0°N 149.0°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-09-22 18Z | 13.0°N 150.7°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-09-23 00Z | 13.3°N 152.4°W | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-23 06Z | 13.9°N 153.4°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-23 12Z | 14.3°N 154.3°W | 30 | 1004 | TD |
| 2026-09-23 18Z | 14.5°N 155.1°W | 30 | 1004 | TD |
| 2026-09-24 00Z | 14.6°N 155.8°W | 40 | 1002 | TS |
| 2026-09-24 06Z | 14.6°N 156.0°W | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2026-09-24 12Z | 14.6°N 156.2°W | 50 | 997 | TS |
| 2026-09-24 18Z | 14.7°N 156.2°W | 55 | 993 | TS |
| 2026-09-25 00Z | 14.9°N 156.0°W | 60 | 986 | TS |
| 2026-09-25 06Z | 15.2°N 155.8°W | 70 | 985 | H1 |
| 2026-09-25 12Z | 15.7°N 155.5°W | 80 | 980 | H1 |
| 2026-09-25 18Z | 16.3°N 155.4°W | 90 | 978 | H2 |
| 2026-09-26 00Z | 16.7°N 155.3°W | 90 | 975 | H2 |
| 2026-09-26 06Z | 16.9°N 155.2°W | 90 | 975 | H2 |
| 2026-09-26 12Z | 16.9°N 155.3°W | 85 | 976 | H2 |
| 2026-09-26 18Z | 16.8°N 155.7°W | 85 | 977 | H2 |
| 2026-09-27 00Z | 16.7°N 156.1°W | 80 | 972 | H1 |
| 2026-09-27 06Z | 16.6°N 156.9°W | 85 | 968 | H2 |
| 2026-09-27 12Z | 16.2°N 157.8°W | 85 | 969 | H2 |
| 2026-09-27 18Z | 16.1°N 158.8°W | 100 | 966 | H3 |
| 2026-09-28 00Z | 16.2°N 159.8°W | 115 | 948 | H4 |
| 2026-09-28 06Z | 16.4°N 160.8°W | 135 | 929 | H4 |
| 2026-09-28 12Z | 16.8°N 161.9°W | 135 | 929 | H4 |
| 2026-09-28 18Z | 17.3°N 162.7°W | 130 | 933 | H4 |
| 2026-09-29 00Z | 18.3°N 163.5°W | 125 | 936 | H4 |
| 2026-09-29 06Z | 19.5°N 164.2°W | 100 | 958 | H3 |
| 2026-09-29 12Z | 20.1°N 164.2°W | 100 | 958 | H3 |
| 2026-09-29 18Z | 21.0°N 164.2°W | 90 | 968 | H2 |
| 2026-09-30 00Z | 21.8°N 164.2°W | 80 | 974 | H1 |
| 2026-09-30 06Z | 22.4°N 164.2°W | 65 | 984 | H1 |
| 2026-09-30 12Z | 22.2°N 164.7°W | 55 | 991 | TS |
| 2026-09-30 18Z | 21.9°N 164.7°W | 50 | 994 | TS |
| 2026-10-01 00Z | 21.6°N 164.7°W | 50 | 994 | TS |
| 2026-10-01 06Z | 21.7°N 165.0°W | 50 | 994 | TS |
| 2026-10-01 12Z | 21.8°N 165.2°W | 50 | 993 | TS |
| 2026-10-01 18Z | 22.0°N 165.4°W | 50 | 993 | TS |
| 2026-10-02 00Z | 22.8°N 165.9°W | 50 | 993 | TS |
| 2026-10-02 06Z | 23.0°N 166.4°W | 55 | 990 | TS |
| 2026-10-02 12Z | 23.2°N 166.9°W | 60 | 987 | TS |
| 2026-10-02 18Z | 23.3°N 167.4°W | 65 | 984 | H1 |
| 2026-10-03 00Z | 23.4°N 168.1°W | 70 | 981 | H1 |
| 2026-10-03 06Z | 23.3°N 169.0°W | 90 | 967 | H2 |
| 2026-10-03 12Z | 23.2°N 170.5°W | 95 | 963 | H2 |
| 2026-10-03 18Z | 23.2°N 172.2°W | 105 | 957 | H3 |
| 2026-10-04 00Z | 23.3°N 174.2°W | 100 | 959 | H3 |
| 2026-10-04 06Z | 23.5°N 175.9°W | 95 | 963 | H2 |
| 2026-10-04 12Z | 23.6°N 177.8°W | 95 | 963 | H2 |
| 2026-10-04 18Z | 24.0°N 179.2°W | 100 | 959 | H3 |
| 2026-10-05 00Z | 24.8°N 179.3°E | 105 | 955 | H3 |
| 2026-10-05 06Z | 25.3°N 177.7°E | 105 | 955 | H3 |
| 2026-10-05 12Z | 25.6°N 176.2°E | 105 | 955 | H3 |
| 2026-10-05 18Z | 25.8°N 174.7°E | 105 | 955 | H3 |
| 2026-10-06 00Z | 25.7°N 173.0°E | 105 | 955 | H3 |
| 2026-10-06 06Z | 25.6°N 171.1°E | 105 | 956 | H3 |
| 2026-10-06 12Z | 25.4°N 169.1°E | 99 | 960 | H3 |
| 2026-10-06 18Z | 25.3°N 166.4°E | 80 | 974 | H1 |
| 2026-10-07 00Z | 25.3°N 164.0°E | 74 | 977 | H1 |
| 2026-10-07 06Z | 25.9°N 162.0°E | 70 | 979 | H1 |
| 2026-10-07 12Z | 25.8°N 160.3°E | 64 | 984 | H1 |
| 2026-10-07 18Z | 25.9°N 157.8°E | 60 | 988 | TS |
| 2026-10-08 00Z | 26.9°N 156.0°E | 54 | 990 | TS |
| 2026-10-08 06Z | 27.4°N 154.1°E | 54 | 989 | TS |
| 2026-10-08 12Z | 27.6°N 152.7°E | 51 | 992 | TS |
| 2026-10-08 18Z | 27.8°N 151.1°E | 51 | 991 | TS |
| 2026-10-09 00Z | 28.2°N 149.8°E | 51 | 992 | TS |
| 2026-10-09 06Z | 28.8°N 148.7°E | 51 | 991 | TS |
| 2026-10-09 12Z | 29.4°N 147.8°E | 51 | 991 | TS |
| 2026-10-09 18Z | 30.0°N 147.2°E | 51 | 991 | TS |
| 2026-10-10 00Z | 30.6°N 146.8°E | 51 | 991 | TS |
| 2026-10-10 06Z | 30.9°N 146.2°E | 45 | 993 | TS |
| 2026-10-10 12Z | 31.0°N 145.6°E | 35 | 999 | TS |
| 2026-10-10 18Z | 31.7°N 145.6°E | 29 | 1001 | TD |
| 2026-10-11 00Z | 32.1°N 145.6°E | 25 | 1001 | TD |
| 2026-10-11 06Z | 32.3°N 145.5°E | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-10-11 12Z | 32.4°N 144.9°E | 25 | 1008 | TD |