2023 年热带气旋季 · 北大西洋
飓风LEE Lee · AL132023
飓风LEE活动于北大西洋,自 2023-09-05 至 2023-09-18,共 13 天,最大风速 145 节(H5),最低气压 926 百帕。存档中来自 NHC、ECMWF、ECMWF ENS、GFS、GEFS 的 279 次预报已与最佳路径比对;48 小时预报中 NHC 最接近,平均偏差 43 公里。
- ATCF 编号
- AL132023
- 海域
- 北大西洋
- 活动时间
- 2023-09-05 → 2023-09-18 (13 天)
- 最大风速
- 145 kt · 75 m/s · H5
- 最低气压
- 926 hPa
- 存档预报
- 279
- 来源
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
预报路径误差(公里)
| 来源 | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 26 (39) | 43 (35) | 88 (31) | 249 (23) |
| ECMWF | 31 (39) | 59 (35) | 108 (31) | 274 (12) |
| ECMWF ENS | 29 (39) | 55 (35) | 96 (31) | 253 (23) |
| GFS | 39 (39) | 54 (35) | 71 (31) | 84 (23) |
| GEFS | 35 (39) | 52 (35) | 73 (31) | 177 (23) |
各预报时效上与最佳路径的平均大圆距离,只计系统处于热带或副热带气旋阶段的时次;括号内为样本数。
最佳路径
美国最佳路径(JTWC / NHC,1 分钟平均风速)每 6 小时的位置;等级按萨菲尔–辛普森分级。
| 时间(UTC) | 位置 | 风速(节) | 气压(百帕) | 等级 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-05 12Z | 12.2°N 39.6°W | 30 | 1008 | TD |
| 2023-09-05 18Z | 12.9°N 41.1°W | 35 | 1006 | TS |
| 2023-09-06 00Z | 13.2°N 42.5°W | 45 | 1003 | TS |
| 2023-09-06 06Z | 13.5°N 43.9°W | 55 | 997 | TS |
| 2023-09-06 12Z | 14.0°N 45.0°W | 60 | 994 | TS |
| 2023-09-06 18Z | 14.6°N 46.1°W | 65 | 991 | H1 |
| 2023-09-07 00Z | 15.1°N 47.1°W | 70 | 989 | H1 |
| 2023-09-07 06Z | 15.6°N 48.2°W | 75 | 986 | H1 |
| 2023-09-07 12Z | 16.1°N 49.4°W | 85 | 980 | H2 |
| 2023-09-07 18Z | 16.6°N 50.7°W | 105 | 961 | H3 |
| 2023-09-08 00Z | 17.0°N 51.8°W | 135 | 933 | H4 |
| 2023-09-08 06Z | 17.5°N 53.0°W | 145 | 926 | H5 |
| 2023-09-08 12Z | 17.9°N 54.1°W | 135 | 940 | H4 |
| 2023-09-08 18Z | 18.5°N 55.1°W | 125 | 941 | H4 |
| 2023-09-09 00Z | 19.0°N 56.0°W | 105 | 958 | H3 |
| 2023-09-09 06Z | 19.5°N 57.0°W | 100 | 963 | H3 |
| 2023-09-09 12Z | 20.0°N 57.9°W | 100 | 954 | H3 |
| 2023-09-09 18Z | 20.4°N 58.8°W | 95 | 958 | H2 |
| 2023-09-10 00Z | 20.8°N 59.5°W | 85 | 960 | H2 |
| 2023-09-10 06Z | 21.2°N 60.2°W | 90 | 960 | H2 |
| 2023-09-10 12Z | 21.5°N 60.8°W | 95 | 956 | H2 |
| 2023-09-10 18Z | 21.9°N 61.4°W | 105 | 954 | H3 |
| 2023-09-11 00Z | 22.3°N 61.9°W | 105 | 950 | H3 |
| 2023-09-11 06Z | 22.8°N 62.5°W | 105 | 950 | H3 |
| 2023-09-11 12Z | 23.2°N 63.2°W | 105 | 948 | H3 |
| 2023-09-11 18Z | 23.5°N 63.9°W | 100 | 948 | H3 |
| 2023-09-12 00Z | 23.7°N 64.5°W | 100 | 948 | H3 |
| 2023-09-12 06Z | 23.9°N 65.1°W | 100 | 948 | H3 |
| 2023-09-12 12Z | 24.1°N 65.7°W | 100 | 948 | H3 |
| 2023-09-12 18Z | 24.5°N 66.2°W | 100 | 946 | H3 |
| 2023-09-13 00Z | 24.9°N 66.6°W | 100 | 946 | H3 |
| 2023-09-13 06Z | 25.3°N 66.9°W | 100 | 948 | H3 |
| 2023-09-13 12Z | 26.0°N 67.2°W | 95 | 950 | H2 |
| 2023-09-13 18Z | 26.8°N 67.6°W | 90 | 951 | H2 |
| 2023-09-14 00Z | 27.6°N 67.8°W | 90 | 951 | H2 |
| 2023-09-14 06Z | 28.5°N 68.0°W | 85 | 953 | H2 |
| 2023-09-14 12Z | 29.8°N 68.2°W | 80 | 955 | H1 |
| 2023-09-14 18Z | 31.1°N 68.3°W | 75 | 955 | H1 |
| 2023-09-15 00Z | 32.1°N 67.8°W | 75 | 955 | H1 |
| 2023-09-15 06Z | 33.6°N 67.6°W | 75 | 957 | H1 |
| 2023-09-15 12Z | 35.1°N 67.1°W | 75 | 962 | H1 |
| 2023-09-15 18Z | 37.1°N 66.7°W | 75 | 962 | H1 |
| 2023-09-16 00Z | 38.7°N 65.9°W | 75 | 963 | H1 |
| 2023-09-16 06Z | 40.9°N 66.0°W | 70 | 965 | H1 |
| 2023-09-16 12Z | 42.7°N 66.3°W | 65 | 965 | H1 |
| 2023-09-16 18Z | 43.8°N 66.4°W | 55 | 968 | TS |
| 2023-09-17 00Z | 44.7°N 66.2°W | 55 | 979 | TS |
| 2023-09-17 06Z | 45.9°N 64.8°W | 50 | 986 | TS |
| 2023-09-17 12Z | 47.3°N 63.0°W | 40 | 989 | TS |
| 2023-09-17 18Z | 48.6°N 60.1°W | 40 | 989 | TS |
| 2023-09-18 00Z | 50.7°N 57.9°W | 35 | 994 | TS |
| 2023-09-18 06Z | 51.7°N 53.2°W | 35 | 994 | TS |
| 2023-09-18 12Z | 52.6°N 48.6°W | 40 | 993 | TS |
| 2023-09-18 18Z | 53.0°N 42.0°W | 40 | 993 | TS |