2025 年熱帶氣旋季 · 東北太平洋
颶風KIKO Kiko · EP112025
颶風KIKO活動於東北太平洋,自 2025-08-31 至 2025-09-11,共 11 天,最大風速 125 節(H4),最低氣壓 945 百帕。存檔中來自 NHC、ECMWF、ECMWF ENS、GFS、GEFS、Google DeepMind 的 298 次預報已與最佳路徑比對;48 小時預報中 Google DeepMind 最接近,平均偏差 57 公里。
- ATCF 編號
- EP112025
- 海域
- 東北太平洋
- 活動時間
- 2025-08-31 → 2025-09-11 (11 天)
- 最大風速
- 125 kt · 64 m/s · H4
- 最低氣壓
- 945 hPa
- 存檔預報
- 298
- 來源
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS · Google DeepMind
預報路徑誤差(公里)
| 來源 | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 41 (37) | 77 (33) | 128 (29) | 262 (21) |
| ECMWF | 47 (37) | 76 (34) | 138 (30) | 283 (11) |
| ECMWF ENS | 45 (37) | 74 (34) | 122 (30) | 285 (21) |
| GFS | 50 (37) | 78 (33) | 110 (29) | 258 (21) |
| GEFS | 53 (37) | 75 (33) | 109 (29) | 314 (21) |
| Google DeepMind | 37 (37) | 57 (33) | 81 (29) | 129 (21) |
各預報時效上與最佳路徑的平均大圓距離,只計系統處於熱帶或副熱帶氣旋階段的時次;括號內為樣本數。
最佳路徑
美國最佳路徑(JTWC / NHC,1 分鐘平均風速)每 6 小時的位置;等級按薩菲爾–辛普森分級。
| 時間(UTC) | 位置 | 風速(節) | 氣壓(百帕) | 等級 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-31 00Z | 14.4°N 121.1°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2025-08-31 06Z | 14.4°N 121.8°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2025-08-31 12Z | 14.4°N 122.6°W | 35 | 1006 | TS |
| 2025-08-31 18Z | 14.4°N 123.5°W | 35 | 1006 | TS |
| 2025-09-01 00Z | 14.3°N 124.3°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2025-09-01 06Z | 14.1°N 125.1°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2025-09-01 12Z | 13.9°N 125.8°W | 45 | 1002 | TS |
| 2025-09-01 18Z | 13.8°N 126.4°W | 55 | 1001 | TS |
| 2025-09-02 00Z | 13.8°N 127.0°W | 55 | 998 | TS |
| 2025-09-02 06Z | 13.8°N 127.6°W | 65 | 993 | H1 |
| 2025-09-02 12Z | 13.8°N 128.1°W | 75 | 987 | H1 |
| 2025-09-02 18Z | 13.8°N 128.6°W | 80 | 983 | H1 |
| 2025-09-03 00Z | 13.8°N 129.2°W | 90 | 974 | H2 |
| 2025-09-03 06Z | 13.8°N 129.8°W | 90 | 974 | H2 |
| 2025-09-03 12Z | 13.9°N 130.4°W | 90 | 974 | H2 |
| 2025-09-03 18Z | 13.9°N 131.1°W | 110 | 960 | H3 |
| 2025-09-04 00Z | 13.8°N 131.9°W | 125 | 945 | H4 |
| 2025-09-04 06Z | 13.7°N 132.6°W | 125 | 946 | H4 |
| 2025-09-04 12Z | 13.8°N 133.3°W | 115 | 952 | H4 |
| 2025-09-04 18Z | 13.8°N 134.1°W | 115 | 953 | H4 |
| 2025-09-05 00Z | 13.8°N 135.0°W | 110 | 956 | H3 |
| 2025-09-05 06Z | 13.8°N 135.8°W | 105 | 961 | H3 |
| 2025-09-05 12Z | 14.0°N 136.6°W | 100 | 962 | H3 |
| 2025-09-05 18Z | 14.3°N 137.4°W | 105 | 959 | H3 |
| 2025-09-06 00Z | 14.7°N 138.2°W | 115 | 952 | H4 |
| 2025-09-06 06Z | 15.0°N 139.2°W | 120 | 949 | H4 |
| 2025-09-06 12Z | 15.3°N 140.1°W | 110 | 953 | H3 |
| 2025-09-06 18Z | 15.9°N 140.9°W | 110 | 954 | H3 |
| 2025-09-07 00Z | 16.3°N 141.9°W | 115 | 951 | H4 |
| 2025-09-07 06Z | 16.8°N 142.9°W | 110 | 956 | H3 |
| 2025-09-07 12Z | 17.2°N 143.9°W | 105 | 962 | H3 |
| 2025-09-07 18Z | 17.8°N 145.0°W | 95 | 972 | H2 |
| 2025-09-08 00Z | 18.5°N 146.0°W | 95 | 974 | H2 |
| 2025-09-08 06Z | 19.3°N 147.1°W | 90 | 980 | H2 |
| 2025-09-08 12Z | 20.0°N 148.2°W | 85 | 981 | H2 |
| 2025-09-08 18Z | 20.6°N 149.3°W | 80 | 990 | H1 |
| 2025-09-09 00Z | 21.3°N 150.3°W | 65 | 995 | H1 |
| 2025-09-09 06Z | 21.7°N 151.5°W | 50 | 1004 | TS |
| 2025-09-09 12Z | 22.2°N 152.8°W | 40 | 1006 | TS |
| 2025-09-09 18Z | 22.5°N 154.3°W | 40 | 1007 | TS |
| 2025-09-10 00Z | 22.7°N 155.7°W | 35 | 1007 | TS |
| 2025-09-10 06Z | 22.3°N 156.5°W | 35 | 1007 | TS |
| 2025-09-10 12Z | 22.7°N 157.4°W | 30 | 1008 | TD |
| 2025-09-10 18Z | 23.4°N 158.4°W | 30 | 1008 | TD |
| 2025-09-11 00Z | 24.3°N 159.5°W | 30 | 1009 | TD |