2025 年热带气旋季 · 南半球
气旋TALIAH Taliah · SH142025
气旋TALIAH活动于南半球，自 2025-01-31 至 2025-02-21，共 21 天，最大风速 84 节（H2），最低气压 967 百帕。存档中来自 ECMWF、ECMWF ENS、GFS、GEFS 的 293 次预报已与最佳路径比对；48 小时预报中 ECMWF ENS 最接近，平均偏差 68 公里。
- ATCF 编号
- SH142025
- 海域
- 南半球
- 活动时间
- 2025-01-31 → 2025-02-21 (21 天)
- 最大风速
- 84 kt · 43 m/s · H2
- 最低气压
- 967 hPa
- 存档预报
- 293
- 来源
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
预报路径误差（公里）
| 来源 | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 65 (43) | 99 (43) | 124 (43) | 255 (21) |
| ECMWF ENS | 51 (66) | 68 (62) | 87 (58) | 171 (51) |
| GFS | 63 (67) | 112 (63) | 174 (59) | 325 (51) |
| GEFS | 63 (67) | 111 (63) | 177 (59) | 329 (51) |
各预报时效上与最佳路径的平均大圆距离，只计系统处于热带或副热带气旋阶段的时次；括号内为样本数。
最佳路径
美国最佳路径（JTWC / NHC，1 分钟平均风速）每 6 小时的位置；等级按萨菲尔–辛普森分级。
| 时间（UTC） | 位置 | 风速（节） | 气压（百帕） | 等级 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-02 00Z | 14.7°S 117.0°E | 35 | 994 | TS |
| 2025-02-02 06Z | 14.5°S 116.1°E | 45 | 984 | TS |
| 2025-02-02 12Z | 14.2°S 116.2°E | 60 | 983 | TS |
| 2025-02-02 18Z | 15.1°S 115.4°E | 64 | 977 | H1 |
| 2025-02-03 00Z | 15.3°S 114.9°E | 64 | 977 | H1 |
| 2025-02-03 06Z | 15.1°S 114.3°E | 70 | 975 | H1 |
| 2025-02-03 12Z | 15.2°S 113.8°E | 70 | 976 | H1 |
| 2025-02-03 18Z | 15.4°S 112.8°E | 74 | 972 | H1 |
| 2025-02-04 00Z | 15.4°S 112.2°E | 80 | 972 | H1 |
| 2025-02-04 06Z | 15.5°S 110.9°E | 84 | 972 | H2 |
| 2025-02-04 12Z | 15.6°S 110.4°E | 84 | 967 | H2 |
| 2025-02-04 18Z | 15.9°S 109.5°E | 84 | 967 | H2 |
| 2025-02-05 00Z | 15.7°S 108.3°E | 74 | 975 | H1 |
| 2025-02-05 06Z | 15.2°S 107.4°E | 64 | 979 | H1 |
| 2025-02-05 12Z | 14.8°S 106.6°E | 64 | 979 | H1 |
| 2025-02-05 18Z | 14.7°S 105.8°E | 60 | 984 | TS |
| 2025-02-06 00Z | 14.9°S 105.3°E | 54 | 984 | TS |
| 2025-02-06 06Z | 14.9°S 103.8°E | 64 | 981 | H1 |
| 2025-02-06 12Z | 14.9°S 102.8°E | 64 | 981 | H1 |
| 2025-02-06 18Z | 14.5°S 101.5°E | 60 | 984 | TS |
| 2025-02-07 00Z | 14.3°S 100.3°E | 60 | 984 | TS |
| 2025-02-07 06Z | 15.6°S 99.5°E | 45 | 992 | TS |
| 2025-02-07 12Z | 16.1°S 98.3°E | 45 | 991 | TS |
| 2025-02-07 18Z | 15.8°S 96.9°E | 51 | 986 | TS |
| 2025-02-08 00Z | 15.7°S 96.2°E | 51 | 982 | TS |
| 2025-02-08 06Z | 15.8°S 95.9°E | 51 | 992 | TS |
| 2025-02-08 12Z | 15.8°S 95.1°E | 45 | 994 | TS |
| 2025-02-08 18Z | 15.7°S 94.7°E | 45 | 994 | TS |
| 2025-02-09 00Z | 15.3°S 94.3°E | 45 | 994 | TS |
| 2025-02-09 06Z | 15.1°S 93.8°E | 39 | 997 | TS |
| 2025-02-09 12Z | 14.9°S 93.4°E | 39 | 997 | TS |
| 2025-02-09 18Z | 14.9°S 93.3°E | 39 | 999 | TS |
| 2025-02-10 00Z | 14.8°S 93.1°E | 45 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-02-10 06Z | 14.0°S 92.9°E | 39 | 994 | TS |
| 2025-02-10 12Z | 14.3°S 92.8°E | 45 | 992 | TS |
| 2025-02-10 18Z | 14.1°S 92.4°E | 51 | 992 | TS |
| 2025-02-11 00Z | 14.5°S 92.3°E | 45 | 992 | TS |
| 2025-02-11 06Z | 14.6°S 92.1°E | 54 | 992 | TS |
| 2025-02-11 12Z | 15.2°S 91.8°E | 54 | 986 | TS |
| 2025-02-11 18Z | 15.7°S 91.6°E | 54 | 987 | TS |
| 2025-02-12 00Z | 16.4°S 91.2°E | 54 | 987 | TS |
| 2025-02-12 06Z | 17.7°S 90.6°E | 64 | 984 | H1 |
| 2025-02-12 12Z | 18.9°S 90.2°E | 64 | 983 | H1 |
| 2025-02-12 18Z | 20.2°S 89.6°E | 64 | 983 | H1 |
| 2025-02-13 00Z | 21.3°S 88.5°E | 60 | 985 | TS |
| 2025-02-13 06Z | 22.0°S 87.2°E | 60 | 984 | TS |
| 2025-02-13 12Z | 22.6°S 86.6°E | 51 | 988 | TS |
| 2025-02-13 18Z | 23.1°S 85.6°E | 51 | 985 | TS |
| 2025-02-14 00Z | 23.3°S 85.1°E | 45 | 994 | TS |
| 2025-02-14 06Z | 23.9°S 84.5°E | 45 | 994 | TS |
| 2025-02-14 12Z | 24.1°S 84.1°E | 45 | 990 | TS |
| 2025-02-14 18Z | 24.5°S 83.8°E | 39 | 992 | TS |
| 2025-02-15 00Z | 24.8°S 83.6°E | 45 | 991 | TS |
| 2025-02-15 06Z | 25.2°S 83.5°E | 51 | 985 | TS |
| 2025-02-15 12Z | 25.4°S 83.1°E | 51 | 983 | TS |
| 2025-02-15 18Z | 25.7°S 82.6°E | 54 | 980 | TS |
| 2025-02-16 00Z | 26.1°S 82.3°E | 54 | 980 | TS |
| 2025-02-16 06Z | 27.3°S 81.0°E | 39 | 991 | TS |
| 2025-02-16 12Z | 28.4°S 80.1°E | 39 | 990 | TS |
| 2025-02-16 18Z | 28.9°S 79.1°E | 45 | 990 | TS |
| 2025-02-17 00Z | 29.1°S 78.2°E | 45 | 990 | TS |
| 2025-02-17 06Z | 29.4°S 77.8°E | 39 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-02-17 12Z | 29.5°S 77.6°E | 35 | 997 | TS |
| 2025-02-17 18Z | 30.0°S 77.0°E | 39 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-02-18 00Z | 30.5°S 76.8°E | 39 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-02-18 06Z | 30.9°S 76.3°E | 39 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-02-18 12Z | 31.0°S 76.0°E | 39 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-02-18 18Z | 31.1°S 75.9°E | 39 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-02-19 00Z | 31.1°S 75.8°E | 39 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-02-19 06Z | 30.9°S 75.8°E | 39 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-02-19 12Z | 30.4°S 74.9°E | 39 | 999 | TS |