2025 年热带气旋季 · 北大西洋
飓风ERIN Erin · AL052025
飓风ERIN活动于北大西洋，自 2025-08-11 至 2025-08-27，共 17 天，最大风速 140 节（H5），最低气压 913 百帕。存档中来自 NHC、ECMWF、ECMWF ENS、GFS、GEFS、Google DeepMind 的 333 次预报已与最佳路径比对；48 小时预报中 Google DeepMind 最接近，平均偏差 66 公里。
- ATCF 编号
- AL052025
- 海域
- 北大西洋
- 活动时间
- 2025-08-11 → 2025-08-27 (17 天)
- 最大风速
- 140 kt · 72 m/s · H5
- 最低气压
- 913 hPa
- 存档预报
- 333
- 来源
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS · Google DeepMind
预报路径误差（公里）
| 来源 | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 55 (41) | 106 (37) | 170 (33) | 322 (25) |
| ECMWF | 51 (42) | 104 (38) | 165 (34) | 229 (14) |
| ECMWF ENS | 52 (42) | 117 (38) | 183 (34) | 361 (27) |
| GFS | 66 (43) | 128 (39) | 217 (35) | 455 (27) |
| GEFS | 61 (43) | 122 (39) | 191 (35) | 322 (27) |
| Google DeepMind | 40 (40) | 66 (35) | 120 (31) | 253 (25) |
各预报时效上与最佳路径的平均大圆距离，只计系统处于热带或副热带气旋阶段的时次；括号内为样本数。
最佳路径
美国最佳路径（JTWC / NHC，1 分钟平均风速）每 6 小时的位置；等级按萨菲尔–辛普森分级。
| 时间（UTC） | 位置 | 风速（节） | 气压（百帕） | 等级 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-11 00Z | 16.5°N 23.1°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2025-08-11 06Z | 17.2°N 25.2°W | 35 | 1006 | TS |
| 2025-08-11 12Z | 17.3°N 27.3°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2025-08-11 18Z | 17.4°N 29.3°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2025-08-12 00Z | 17.5°N 31.3°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2025-08-12 06Z | 17.5°N 33.3°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2025-08-12 12Z | 17.3°N 35.4°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2025-08-12 18Z | 17.1°N 37.4°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2025-08-13 00Z | 16.8°N 39.3°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2025-08-13 06Z | 16.6°N 41.0°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2025-08-13 12Z | 16.4°N 42.7°W | 45 | 1002 | TS |
| 2025-08-13 18Z | 16.3°N 44.3°W | 45 | 1002 | TS |
| 2025-08-14 00Z | 16.3°N 45.9°W | 45 | 1002 | TS |
| 2025-08-14 06Z | 16.3°N 47.5°W | 45 | 1002 | TS |
| 2025-08-14 12Z | 16.3°N 48.9°W | 50 | 999 | TS |
| 2025-08-14 18Z | 16.6°N 50.4°W | 55 | 998 | TS |
| 2025-08-15 00Z | 16.9°N 51.9°W | 60 | 997 | TS |
| 2025-08-15 06Z | 17.4°N 53.5°W | 60 | 997 | TS |
| 2025-08-15 12Z | 18.0°N 55.2°W | 65 | 996 | H1 |
| 2025-08-15 18Z | 18.7°N 56.8°W | 65 | 993 | H1 |
| 2025-08-16 00Z | 19.4°N 58.5°W | 75 | 981 | H1 |
| 2025-08-16 06Z | 19.6°N 60.4°W | 95 | 967 | H2 |
| 2025-08-16 12Z | 19.6°N 62.1°W | 130 | 934 | H4 |
| 2025-08-16 18Z | 19.8°N 63.4°W | 140 | 913 | H5 |
| 2025-08-17 00Z | 20.0°N 64.6°W | 125 | 934 | H4 |
| 2025-08-17 06Z | 20.3°N 65.8°W | 110 | 940 | H3 |
| 2025-08-17 12Z | 20.7°N 67.0°W | 110 | 940 | H3 |
| 2025-08-17 18Z | 21.5°N 68.0°W | 110 | 946 | H3 |
| 2025-08-18 00Z | 22.0°N 68.9°W | 110 | 946 | H3 |
| 2025-08-18 06Z | 22.5°N 69.7°W | 115 | 945 | H4 |
| 2025-08-18 12Z | 22.9°N 70.5°W | 120 | 935 | H4 |
| 2025-08-18 18Z | 23.5°N 71.0°W | 115 | 937 | H4 |
| 2025-08-19 00Z | 24.0°N 71.4°W | 100 | 947 | H3 |
| 2025-08-19 06Z | 24.5°N 71.8°W | 90 | 955 | H2 |
| 2025-08-19 12Z | 25.2°N 72.1°W | 85 | 958 | H2 |
| 2025-08-19 18Z | 26.1°N 72.5°W | 85 | 958 | H2 |
| 2025-08-20 00Z | 27.2°N 72.8°W | 85 | 959 | H2 |
| 2025-08-20 06Z | 28.3°N 73.2°W | 90 | 954 | H2 |
| 2025-08-20 12Z | 29.5°N 73.7°W | 95 | 943 | H2 |
| 2025-08-20 18Z | 30.7°N 73.6°W | 95 | 942 | H2 |
| 2025-08-21 00Z | 32.1°N 73.3°W | 95 | 941 | H2 |
| 2025-08-21 06Z | 33.6°N 72.6°W | 90 | 945 | H2 |
| 2025-08-21 12Z | 34.9°N 71.7°W | 90 | 949 | H2 |
| 2025-08-21 18Z | 35.9°N 70.1°W | 85 | 952 | H2 |
| 2025-08-22 00Z | 36.9°N 68.4°W | 85 | 954 | H2 |
| 2025-08-22 06Z | 37.9°N 66.5°W | 80 | 956 | H1 |
| 2025-08-22 12Z | 38.5°N 64.6°W | 80 | 956 | H1 |
| 2025-08-22 18Z | 39.4°N 61.4°W | 80 | 957 | H1 |
| 2025-08-23 00Z | 40.4°N 58.1°W | 80 | 957 | H1 |
| 2025-08-23 06Z | 41.3°N 54.7°W | 75 | 962 | H1 |
| 2025-08-23 12Z | 42.0°N 50.5°W | 75 | 962 | H1 |
| 2025-08-23 18Z | 43.0°N 45.0°W | 70 | 962 | H1 |
| 2025-08-24 00Z | 45.5°N 40.5°W | 70 | 961 | H1 |
| 2025-08-24 06Z | 48.0°N 35.3°W | 70 | 960 | H1 |
| 2025-08-24 12Z | 50.8°N 30.9°W | 80 | 952 | H1 |
| 2025-08-24 18Z | 52.6°N 28.2°W | 80 | 952 | H1 |
| 2025-08-25 00Z | 53.7°N 26.4°W | 70 | 954 | H1 |
| 2025-08-25 06Z | 54.9°N 23.9°W | 60 | 955 | TS |
| 2025-08-25 12Z | 56.1°N 22.1°W | 55 | 957 | TS |
| 2025-08-25 18Z | 57.3°N 21.3°W | 50 | 958 | TS |
| 2025-08-26 00Z | 58.3°N 20.9°W | 45 | 961 | TS |
| 2025-08-26 06Z | 59.3°N 20.6°W | 45 | 962 | TS |
| 2025-08-26 12Z | 59.9°N 21.6°W | 45 | 963 | TS |
| 2025-08-26 18Z | 60.3°N 22.5°W | 45 | 963 | TS |
| 2025-08-27 00Z | 60.0°N 23.3°W | 45 | 968 | TS |
| 2025-08-27 06Z | 59.3°N 22.7°W | 40 | 975 | TS |
| 2025-08-27 12Z | 58.6°N 20.9°W | 40 | 980 | TS |
| 2025-08-27 18Z | 58.0°N 19.0°W | 40 | 985 | TS |