2024 年熱帶氣旋季 · 南半球
氣旋ANGGREK Anggrek · SH062024
氣旋ANGGREK活動於南半球，自 2024-01-11 至 2024-02-01，共 21 天，最大風速 115 節（H4），最低氣壓 948 百帕。存檔中來自 ECMWF、ECMWF ENS、GFS、GEFS 的 263 次預報已與最佳路徑比對；48 小時預報中 ECMWF ENS 最接近，平均偏差 68 公里。
- ATCF 編號
- SH062024
- 海域
- 南半球
- 活動時間
- 2024-01-11 → 2024-02-01 (21 天)
- 最大風速
- 115 kt · 59 m/s · H4
- 最低氣壓
- 948 hPa
- 存檔預報
- 263
- 來源
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
預報路徑誤差（公里）
| 來源 | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 50 (42) | 78 (41) | 115 (41) | 169 (20) |
| ECMWF ENS | 45 (42) | 68 (41) | 104 (41) | 179 (41) |
| GFS | 51 (60) | 92 (56) | 153 (52) | 413 (44) |
| GEFS | 51 (60) | 95 (56) | 142 (52) | 324 (44) |
各預報時效上與最佳路徑的平均大圓距離，只計系統處於熱帶或副熱帶氣旋階段的時次；括號內為樣本數。
最佳路徑
美國最佳路徑（JTWC / NHC，1 分鐘平均風速）每 6 小時的位置；等級按薩菲爾–辛普森分級。
| 時間（UTC） | 位置 | 風速（節） | 氣壓（百帕） | 等級 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-11 12Z | 8.6°S 93.1°E | 20 | 1009 | TD |
| 2024-01-11 18Z | 9.0°S 92.8°E | 20 | 1008 | TD |
| 2024-01-12 00Z | 9.5°S 92.5°E | 20 | 1008 | TD |
| 2024-01-12 06Z | 9.8°S 92.5°E | 20 | 1008 | TD |
| 2024-01-12 12Z | 10.1°S 92.6°E | 20 | 1007 | TD |
| 2024-01-12 18Z | 10.4°S 92.8°E | 20 | 1007 | TD |
| 2024-01-13 00Z | 10.6°S 93.1°E | 20 | 1007 | TD |
| 2024-01-13 06Z | 10.8°S 93.3°E | 20 | 1007 | TD |
| 2024-01-13 12Z | 11.3°S 94.1°E | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2024-01-13 18Z | 11.6°S 93.8°E | 25 | 1005 | TD |
| 2024-01-14 00Z | 11.3°S 93.7°E | 30 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-01-14 06Z | 10.8°S 94.0°E | 30 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-01-14 12Z | 10.6°S 93.8°E | 30 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-01-14 18Z | 10.4°S 93.6°E | 30 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-01-15 00Z | 9.8°S 93.6°E | 30 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-01-15 06Z | 9.4°S 93.4°E | 35 | 1001 | TS |
| 2024-01-15 12Z | 9.5°S 93.7°E | 40 | 999 | TS |
| 2024-01-15 18Z | 9.8°S 94.0°E | 45 | 995 | TS |
| 2024-01-16 00Z | 9.7°S 93.8°E | 50 | 993 | TS |
| 2024-01-16 06Z | 9.5°S 93.9°E | 50 | 993 | TS |
| 2024-01-16 12Z | 9.5°S 94.0°E | 45 | 994 | TS |
| 2024-01-16 18Z | 9.5°S 94.1°E | 45 | 994 | TS |
| 2024-01-17 00Z | 9.6°S 94.2°E | 45 | 994 | TS |
| 2024-01-17 06Z | 9.9°S 94.2°E | 45 | 994 | TS |
| 2024-01-17 12Z | 10.2°S 94.2°E | 40 | 998 | TS |
| 2024-01-17 18Z | 10.7°S 94.0°E | 40 | 998 | TS |
| 2024-01-18 00Z | 11.4°S 93.9°E | 45 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-01-18 06Z | 11.6°S 93.8°E | 45 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-01-18 12Z | 11.9°S 93.7°E | 45 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-01-18 18Z | 12.2°S 93.5°E | 55 | 994 | TS |
| 2024-01-19 00Z | 12.4°S 93.3°E | 60 | 988 | TS |
| 2024-01-19 06Z | 12.5°S 93.2°E | 65 | 985 | H1 |
| 2024-01-19 12Z | 12.5°S 92.9°E | 65 | 985 | H1 |
| 2024-01-19 18Z | 12.4°S 92.8°E | 65 | 984 | H1 |
| 2024-01-20 00Z | 12.4°S 92.7°E | 70 | 980 | H1 |
| 2024-01-20 06Z | 12.4°S 92.6°E | 70 | 980 | H1 |
| 2024-01-20 12Z | 12.3°S 92.5°E | 70 | 980 | H1 |
| 2024-01-20 18Z | 12.2°S 92.4°E | 70 | 980 | H1 |
| 2024-01-21 00Z | 12.1°S 92.3°E | 70 | 980 | H1 |
| 2024-01-21 06Z | 12.1°S 92.1°E | 55 | 990 | TS |
| 2024-01-21 12Z | 12.2°S 91.9°E | 50 | 994 | TS |
| 2024-01-21 18Z | 12.3°S 91.8°E | 45 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-01-22 00Z | 12.4°S 91.7°E | 45 | 998 | TS |
| 2024-01-22 06Z | 12.4°S 91.6°E | 45 | 998 | TS |
| 2024-01-22 12Z | 12.4°S 91.5°E | 45 | 998 | TS |
| 2024-01-22 18Z | 12.5°S 91.5°E | 45 | 998 | TS |
| 2024-01-23 00Z | 12.7°S 91.5°E | 45 | 998 | TS |
| 2024-01-23 06Z | 13.0°S 91.6°E | 45 | 998 | TS |
| 2024-01-23 12Z | 13.4°S 91.6°E | 50 | 996 | TS |
| 2024-01-23 18Z | 13.6°S 91.5°E | 50 | 996 | TS |
| 2024-01-24 00Z | 13.9°S 91.3°E | 50 | 996 | TS |
| 2024-01-24 06Z | 14.0°S 91.2°E | 60 | 989 | TS |
| 2024-01-24 12Z | 14.1°S 91.1°E | 75 | 979 | H1 |
| 2024-01-24 18Z | 14.3°S 90.9°E | 75 | 979 | H1 |
| 2024-01-25 00Z | 14.6°S 90.7°E | 75 | 979 | H1 |
| 2024-01-25 06Z | 15.1°S 90.0°E | 80 | 977 | H1 |
| 2024-01-25 12Z | 15.5°S 89.3°E | 80 | 977 | H1 |
| 2024-01-25 18Z | 15.9°S 88.5°E | 90 | 972 | H2 |
| 2024-01-26 00Z | 16.5°S 87.5°E | 105 | 964 | H3 |
| 2024-01-26 06Z | 17.0°S 86.4°E | 105 | 964 | H3 |
| 2024-01-26 12Z | 17.6°S 85.3°E | 100 | 966 | H3 |
| 2024-01-26 18Z | 18.1°S 84.1°E | 95 | 968 | H2 |
| 2024-01-27 00Z | 18.6°S 83.1°E | 90 | 972 | H2 |
| 2024-01-27 06Z | 19.0°S 81.9°E | 90 | 972 | H2 |
| 2024-01-27 12Z | 19.4°S 80.7°E | 100 | 963 | H3 |
| 2024-01-27 18Z | 19.6°S 79.4°E | 95 | 969 | H2 |
| 2024-01-28 00Z | 19.9°S 77.9°E | 95 | 969 | H2 |
| 2024-01-28 06Z | 20.4°S 76.3°E | 100 | 963 | H3 |
| 2024-01-28 12Z | 21.0°S 74.7°E | 105 | 957 | H3 |
| 2024-01-28 18Z | 21.7°S 73.1°E | 115 | 950 | H4 |
| 2024-01-29 00Z | 22.7°S 72.0°E | 110 | 952 | H3 |
| 2024-01-29 06Z | 23.9°S 71.0°E | 110 | 952 | H3 |
| 2024-01-29 12Z | 25.3°S 70.7°E | 115 | 948 | H4 |
| 2024-01-29 18Z | 26.6°S 70.9°E | 110 | 950 | H3 |
| 2024-01-30 00Z | 28.2°S 71.8°E | 105 | 952 | H3 |
| 2024-01-30 06Z | 29.0°S 72.7°E | 90 | 965 | H2 |
| 2024-01-30 12Z | 30.1°S 74.4°E | 85 | 968 | H2 |
| 2024-01-30 18Z | 30.8°S 76.2°E | 85 | 968 | H2 |
| 2024-01-31 00Z | 31.4°S 78.8°E | 70 | 981 | H1 |
| 2024-01-31 06Z | 32.6°S 83.1°E | 60 | 987 | TS |
| 2024-01-31 12Z | 34.4°S 87.4°E | 60 | 987 | TS |