2023 年熱帶氣旋季 · 北大西洋
颶風DON Don · AL052023
颶風DON活動於北大西洋,自 2023-07-11 至 2023-07-25,共 14 天,最大風速 65 節(H1),最低氣壓 986 百帕。存檔中來自 NHC、ECMWF、ECMWF ENS、GFS、GEFS 的 256 次預報已與最佳路徑比對;48 小時預報中 ECMWF ENS 最接近,平均偏差 66 公里。
- ATCF 編號
- AL052023
- 海域
- 北大西洋
- 活動時間
- 2023-07-11 → 2023-07-25 (14 天)
- 最大風速
- 65 kt · 33 m/s · H1
- 最低氣壓
- 986 hPa
- 存檔預報
- 256
- 來源
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
預報路徑誤差(公里)
| 來源 | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 46 (36) | 91 (32) | 133 (28) | 111 (20) |
| ECMWF | 36 (37) | 70 (33) | 131 (28) | 215 (11) |
| ECMWF ENS | 37 (37) | 66 (33) | 138 (29) | 204 (21) |
| GFS | 41 (37) | 74 (33) | 139 (29) | 212 (21) |
| GEFS | 41 (37) | 67 (33) | 92 (29) | 130 (21) |
各預報時效上與最佳路徑的平均大圓距離,只計系統處於熱帶或副熱帶氣旋階段的時次;括號內為樣本數。
最佳路徑
美國最佳路徑(JTWC / NHC,1 分鐘平均風速)每 6 小時的位置;等級按薩菲爾–辛普森分級。
| 時間(UTC) | 位置 | 風速(節) | 氣壓(百帕) | 等級 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-07-11 12Z | 36.5°N 55.5°W | 25 | 1013 | TD |
| 2023-07-11 18Z | 36.6°N 55.0°W | 25 | 1013 | TD |
| 2023-07-12 00Z | 36.2°N 54.4°W | 25 | 1011 | TD |
| 2023-07-12 06Z | 35.3°N 53.6°W | 25 | 1009 | TD |
| 2023-07-12 12Z | 34.0°N 52.6°W | 25 | 1009 | TD |
| 2023-07-12 18Z | 32.9°N 51.9°W | 30 | 1008 | TD |
| 2023-07-13 00Z | 32.0°N 51.0°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2023-07-13 06Z | 31.3°N 50.2°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2023-07-13 12Z | 31.2°N 48.7°W | 35 | 1004 | TS |
| 2023-07-13 18Z | 31.7°N 47.3°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2023-07-14 00Z | 32.5°N 46.7°W | 45 | 1002 | TS |
| 2023-07-14 06Z | 32.9°N 46.8°W | 45 | 1002 | TS |
| 2023-07-14 12Z | 33.4°N 47.0°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2023-07-14 18Z | 33.8°N 47.2°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2023-07-15 00Z | 34.3°N 47.2°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2023-07-15 06Z | 35.3°N 47.7°W | 40 | 1005 | TS |
| 2023-07-15 12Z | 36.2°N 48.4°W | 40 | 1006 | TS |
| 2023-07-15 18Z | 37.1°N 48.7°W | 35 | 1007 | TS |
| 2023-07-16 00Z | 37.8°N 48.8°W | 35 | 1007 | TS |
| 2023-07-16 06Z | 38.4°N 48.7°W | 35 | 1007 | TS |
| 2023-07-16 12Z | 38.9°N 48.5°W | 30 | 1009 | TD |
| 2023-07-16 18Z | 39.4°N 47.5°W | 30 | 1010 | TD |
| 2023-07-17 00Z | 39.5°N 46.4°W | 30 | 1010 | TD |
| 2023-07-17 06Z | 39.3°N 45.0°W | 30 | 1010 | TD |
| 2023-07-17 12Z | 38.9°N 43.6°W | 30 | 1010 | TD |
| 2023-07-17 18Z | 38.4°N 42.2°W | 30 | 1010 | TD |
| 2023-07-18 00Z | 37.8°N 40.9°W | 35 | 1008 | TS |
| 2023-07-18 06Z | 36.8°N 39.9°W | 35 | 1008 | TS |
| 2023-07-18 12Z | 36.0°N 39.4°W | 35 | 1008 | TS |
| 2023-07-18 18Z | 35.3°N 39.2°W | 35 | 1008 | TS |
| 2023-07-19 00Z | 34.6°N 39.1°W | 35 | 1008 | TS |
| 2023-07-19 06Z | 34.2°N 39.1°W | 35 | 1008 | TS |
| 2023-07-19 12Z | 33.9°N 39.3°W | 35 | 1008 | TS |
| 2023-07-19 18Z | 33.8°N 39.9°W | 40 | 1005 | TS |
| 2023-07-20 00Z | 33.8°N 40.6°W | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2023-07-20 06Z | 34.0°N 41.3°W | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2023-07-20 12Z | 34.3°N 42.2°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2023-07-20 18Z | 34.5°N 43.3°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2023-07-21 00Z | 34.6°N 44.2°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2023-07-21 06Z | 35.0°N 45.1°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2023-07-21 12Z | 35.4°N 46.0°W | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2023-07-21 18Z | 36.2°N 47.0°W | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2023-07-22 00Z | 36.9°N 48.2°W | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2023-07-22 06Z | 37.7°N 49.3°W | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2023-07-22 12Z | 38.5°N 49.9°W | 55 | 995 | TS |
| 2023-07-22 18Z | 39.5°N 50.1°W | 65 | 986 | H1 |
| 2023-07-23 00Z | 40.7°N 49.9°W | 65 | 986 | H1 |
| 2023-07-23 06Z | 42.0°N 49.4°W | 60 | 989 | TS |
| 2023-07-23 12Z | 43.3°N 48.5°W | 55 | 992 | TS |
| 2023-07-23 18Z | 44.7°N 47.3°W | 50 | 996 | TS |
| 2023-07-24 00Z | 45.9°N 45.7°W | 45 | 1002 | TS |
| 2023-07-24 06Z | 46.7°N 44.1°W | 40 | 1005 | TS |
| 2023-07-24 12Z | 47.3°N 41.9°W | 40 | 1005 | TS |
| 2023-07-24 18Z | 47.8°N 39.7°W | 40 | 1005 | TS |
| 2023-07-25 00Z | 48.5°N 36.8°W | 35 | 1008 | TS |
| 2023-07-25 06Z | 49.1°N 33.7°W | 35 | 1008 | TS |
| 2023-07-25 12Z | 49.8°N 29.4°W | 30 | 1010 | TD |
| 2023-07-25 18Z | 50.4°N 24.5°W | 30 | 1010 | TD |