2023 年熱帶氣旋季 · 南半球
氣旋DINGANI Dingani · SH132023
氣旋DINGANI活動於南半球,自 2023-01-31 至 2023-02-17,共 17 天,最大風速 85 節(H2),最低氣壓 972 百帕。存檔中來自 ECMWF、ECMWF ENS、GFS、GEFS 的 68 次預報已與最佳路徑比對;48 小時預報中 GFS 最接近,平均偏差 119 公里。
- ATCF 編號
- SH132023
- 海域
- 南半球
- 活動時間
- 2023-01-31 → 2023-02-17 (17 天)
- 最大風速
- 85 kt · 44 m/s · H2
- 最低氣壓
- 972 hPa
- 存檔預報
- 68
- 來源
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
預報路徑誤差(公里)
| 來源 | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 46 (1) | 102 (1) | 91 (1) | 402 (1) |
| ECMWF ENS | 50 (1) | 91 (1) | 76 (1) | 521 (1) |
| GFS | 51 (27) | 119 (23) | 229 (19) | 695 (11) |
| GEFS | 60 (27) | 129 (23) | 259 (19) | 823 (11) |
各預報時效上與最佳路徑的平均大圓距離,只計系統處於熱帶或副熱帶氣旋階段的時次;括號內為樣本數。
最佳路徑
美國最佳路徑(JTWC / NHC,1 分鐘平均風速)每 6 小時的位置;等級按薩菲爾–辛普森分級。
| 時間(UTC) | 位置 | 風速(節) | 氣壓(百帕) | 等級 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-31 18Z | 11.7°S 91.4°E | 25 | 994 | TD |
| 2023-02-01 00Z | 12.1°S 90.9°E | 25 | 994 | TD |
| 2023-02-01 06Z | 12.4°S 90.2°E | 25 | 994 | TD |
| 2023-02-01 12Z | 12.0°S 90.3°E | 25 | 994 | TD |
| 2023-02-01 18Z | 11.8°S 90.7°E | 25 | 994 | TD |
| 2023-02-02 00Z | 11.7°S 91.3°E | 20 | 996 | TD |
| 2023-02-02 06Z | 11.9°S 92.0°E | 20 | 996 | TD |
| 2023-02-02 12Z | 12.8°S 92.4°E | 25 | 995 | TD |
| 2023-02-02 18Z | 12.9°S 93.0°E | 25 | 995 | TD |
| 2023-02-03 00Z | 12.8°S 94.1°E | 25 | 995 | TD |
| 2023-02-03 06Z | 13.1°S 94.3°E | 25 | 995 | TD |
| 2023-02-03 12Z | 13.1°S 92.5°E | 25 | 994 | TD |
| 2023-02-03 18Z | 12.9°S 90.1°E | 25 | 994 | TD |
| 2023-02-04 00Z | 12.7°S 90.3°E | 30 | 993 | TD |
| 2023-02-04 06Z | 12.5°S 90.6°E | 30 | 993 | TD |
| 2023-02-04 12Z | 12.5°S 91.2°E | 30 | 993 | TD |
| 2023-02-04 18Z | 12.5°S 92.4°E | 30 | 993 | TD |
| 2023-02-05 00Z | 12.6°S 93.7°E | 25 | 991 | TD |
| 2023-02-05 06Z | 12.5°S 94.8°E | 30 | 992 | TD |
| 2023-02-05 12Z | 12.3°S 95.9°E | 30 | 993 | TD |
| 2023-02-05 18Z | 12.3°S 96.9°E | 25 | 994 | TD |
| 2023-02-06 00Z | 12.3°S 98.0°E | 25 | 995 | TD |
| 2023-02-06 06Z | 12.2°S 99.1°E | 25 | 994 | TD |
| 2023-02-06 12Z | 12.5°S 99.2°E | 25 | 994 | TD |
| 2023-02-06 18Z | 12.9°S 99.2°E | 25 | 993 | TD |
| 2023-02-07 00Z | 13.3°S 98.9°E | 25 | 993 | TD |
| 2023-02-07 06Z | 13.6°S 98.5°E | 25 | 993 | TD |
| 2023-02-07 12Z | 13.9°S 97.7°E | 25 | 993 | TD |
| 2023-02-07 18Z | 14.1°S 97.4°E | 25 | 994 | TD |
| 2023-02-08 00Z | 14.8°S 96.2°E | 25 | 994 | TD |
| 2023-02-08 06Z | 15.4°S 94.3°E | 25 | 996 | TD |
| 2023-02-08 12Z | 15.7°S 93.3°E | 25 | 996 | TD |
| 2023-02-08 18Z | 16.0°S 91.1°E | 30 | 995 | TD |
| 2023-02-09 00Z | 16.4°S 90.4°E | 35 | 994 | TS |
| 2023-02-09 06Z | 16.7°S 89.1°E | 40 | 993 | TS |
| 2023-02-09 12Z | 16.9°S 87.9°E | 45 | 992 | TS |
| 2023-02-09 18Z | 16.7°S 86.4°E | 45 | 992 | TS |
| 2023-02-10 00Z | 16.4°S 85.2°E | 45 | 992 | TS |
| 2023-02-10 06Z | 16.2°S 83.7°E | 40 | 994 | TS |
| 2023-02-10 12Z | 16.0°S 83.0°E | 45 | 992 | TS |
| 2023-02-10 18Z | 15.9°S 81.8°E | 50 | 990 | TS |
| 2023-02-11 00Z | 15.8°S 80.4°E | 50 | 990 | TS |
| 2023-02-11 06Z | 15.6°S 79.4°E | 55 | 988 | TS |
| 2023-02-11 12Z | 15.7°S 78.3°E | 55 | 988 | TS |
| 2023-02-11 18Z | 15.9°S 77.3°E | 50 | 990 | TS |
| 2023-02-12 00Z | 16.3°S 76.2°E | 55 | 988 | TS |
| 2023-02-12 06Z | 16.8°S 75.5°E | 65 | 984 | H1 |
| 2023-02-12 12Z | 17.2°S 74.9°E | 75 | 980 | H1 |
| 2023-02-12 18Z | 17.8°S 74.4°E | 75 | 980 | H1 |
| 2023-02-13 00Z | 18.4°S 73.9°E | 80 | 976 | H1 |
| 2023-02-13 06Z | 19.2°S 73.6°E | 85 | 972 | H2 |
| 2023-02-13 12Z | 19.9°S 73.3°E | 80 | 975 | H1 |
| 2023-02-13 18Z | 20.5°S 73.0°E | 70 | 980 | H1 |
| 2023-02-14 00Z | 21.3°S 72.7°E | 60 | 986 | TS |
| 2023-02-14 06Z | 22.4°S 72.4°E | 55 | 990 | TS |
| 2023-02-14 12Z | 23.4°S 72.1°E | 65 | 981 | H1 |
| 2023-02-14 18Z | 24.5°S 71.4°E | 60 | 984 | TS |
| 2023-02-15 00Z | 25.6°S 70.6°E | 55 | 986 | TS |
| 2023-02-15 06Z | 26.8°S 69.7°E | 50 | 991 | TS |
| 2023-02-15 12Z | 27.9°S 68.9°E | 45 | 993 | TS |
| 2023-02-15 18Z | 28.7°S 68.3°E | 40 | 998 | TS |
| 2023-02-16 00Z | 30.1°S 67.4°E | 40 | 998 | TS |
| 2023-02-16 06Z | 31.0°S 67.2°E | 35 | 999 | TS |
| 2023-02-16 12Z | 31.8°S 67.6°E | 30 | 986 | TD |
| 2023-02-16 18Z | 32.7°S 68.8°E | 25 | 988 | TD |