2023 年熱帶氣旋季 · 南半球
氣旋CHENESO Cheneso · SH082023
氣旋CHENESO活動於南半球，自 2023-01-13 至 2023-02-01，共 20 天，最大風速 80 節（H1），最低氣壓 968 百帕。存檔中來自 ECMWF、ECMWF ENS、GFS、GEFS 的 108 次預報已與最佳路徑比對；48 小時預報中 GEFS 最接近，平均偏差 86 公里。
- ATCF 編號
- SH082023
- 海域
- 南半球
- 活動時間
- 2023-01-13 → 2023-02-01 (20 天)
- 最大風速
- 80 kt · 41 m/s · H1
- 最低氣壓
- 968 hPa
- 存檔預報
- 108
- 來源
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
預報路徑誤差（公里）
| 來源 | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 44 (3) | 96 (4) | 89 (3) | 25 (1) |
| ECMWF ENS | 49 (3) | 94 (4) | 68 (3) | 66 (2) |
| GFS | 114 (9) | 120 (7) | 220 (4) | 395 (6) |
| GEFS | 82 (9) | 86 (8) | 130 (5) | 242 (11) |
各預報時效上與最佳路徑的平均大圓距離，只計系統處於熱帶或副熱帶氣旋階段的時次；括號內為樣本數。
最佳路徑
美國最佳路徑（JTWC / NHC，1 分鐘平均風速）每 6 小時的位置；等級按薩菲爾–辛普森分級。
| 時間（UTC） | 位置 | 風速（節） | 氣壓（百帕） | 等級 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-13 06Z | 8.2°S 81.0°E | 20 | 1007 | TD |
| 2023-01-13 12Z | 7.8°S 80.9°E | 20 | 1007 | TD |
| 2023-01-13 18Z | 7.5°S 80.7°E | 25 | 998 | TD |
| 2023-01-14 00Z | 7.4°S 80.5°E | 25 | 998 | TD |
| 2023-01-14 06Z | 7.5°S 80.3°E | 30 | 996 | TD |
| 2023-01-14 12Z | 7.8°S 80.1°E | 30 | 996 | TD |
| 2023-01-14 18Z | 8.1°S 80.0°E | 30 | 996 | TD |
| 2023-01-15 00Z | 8.5°S 79.9°E | 30 | 996 | TD |
| 2023-01-15 06Z | 9.3°S 79.7°E | 25 | 996 | TD |
| 2023-01-15 12Z | 10.2°S 79.0°E | 25 | 998 | TD |
| 2023-01-15 18Z | 11.1°S 77.7°E | 25 | 999 | TD |
| 2023-01-16 00Z | 11.7°S 75.6°E | 25 | 999 | TD |
| 2023-01-16 06Z | 12.4°S 73.7°E | 25 | 1000 | TD |
| 2023-01-16 12Z | 12.4°S 70.5°E | 25 | 1000 | TD |
| 2023-01-16 18Z | 12.3°S 67.2°E | 25 | 1000 | TD |
| 2023-01-17 00Z | 12.4°S 64.5°E | 30 | 998 | TD |
| 2023-01-17 06Z | 12.9°S 61.9°E | 30 | 998 | TD |
| 2023-01-17 12Z | 13.5°S 59.9°E | 30 | 996 | TD |
| 2023-01-17 18Z | 14.1°S 57.8°E | 35 | 995 | TS |
| 2023-01-18 00Z | 14.0°S 55.8°E | 35 | 995 | TS |
| 2023-01-18 06Z | 13.8°S 54.2°E | 40 | 994 | TS |
| 2023-01-18 12Z | 13.6°S 52.8°E | 50 | 993 | TS |
| 2023-01-18 18Z | 13.5°S 51.7°E | 55 | 990 | TS |
| 2023-01-19 00Z | 14.0°S 51.0°E | 60 | 988 | TS |
| 2023-01-19 06Z | 14.6°S 50.4°E | 50 | 994 | TS |
| 2023-01-19 12Z | 15.2°S 49.4°E | 35 | 996 | TS |
| 2023-01-19 18Z | 15.8°S 48.7°E | 30 | 998 | TD |
| 2023-01-20 00Z | 16.0°S 47.7°E | 25 | 999 | TD |
| 2023-01-20 06Z | 16.3°S 47.3°E | 25 | 998 | TD |
| 2023-01-20 12Z | 16.6°S 46.6°E | 25 | 998 | TD |
| 2023-01-20 18Z | 16.9°S 46.4°E | 20 | 998 | TD |
| 2023-01-21 00Z | 17.2°S 46.1°E | 20 | 998 | TD |
| 2023-01-21 06Z | 18.1°S 46.0°E | 20 | 998 | TD |
| 2023-01-21 12Z | 18.5°S 45.7°E | 20 | 998 | TD |
| 2023-01-21 18Z | 18.6°S 45.0°E | 20 | 998 | TD |
| 2023-01-22 00Z | 18.5°S 44.2°E | 20 | 998 | TD |
| 2023-01-22 06Z | 19.2°S 43.7°E | 25 | 996 | TD |
| 2023-01-22 12Z | 19.5°S 44.3°E | 25 | 996 | TD |
| 2023-01-22 18Z | 19.9°S 44.6°E | 20 | 998 | TD |
| 2023-01-23 00Z | 20.4°S 44.7°E | 20 | 998 | TD |
| 2023-01-23 06Z | 20.5°S 44.3°E | 20 | 998 | TD |
| 2023-01-23 12Z | 20.5°S 43.8°E | 25 | 994 | TD |
| 2023-01-23 18Z | 20.6°S 43.3°E | 30 | 990 | TD |
| 2023-01-24 00Z | 20.2°S 42.7°E | 35 | 989 | TS |
| 2023-01-24 06Z | 19.7°S 42.7°E | 40 | 986 | TS |
| 2023-01-24 12Z | 20.1°S 42.9°E | 60 | 984 | TS |
| 2023-01-24 18Z | 20.0°S 43.0°E | 65 | 980 | H1 |
| 2023-01-25 00Z | 20.2°S 43.0°E | 65 | 979 | H1 |
| 2023-01-25 06Z | 20.1°S 43.0°E | 70 | 974 | H1 |
| 2023-01-25 12Z | 19.9°S 42.8°E | 75 | 970 | H1 |
| 2023-01-25 18Z | 19.5°S 43.1°E | 80 | 968 | H1 |
| 2023-01-26 00Z | 19.6°S 43.2°E | 75 | 972 | H1 |
| 2023-01-26 06Z | 19.9°S 42.8°E | 70 | 976 | H1 |
| 2023-01-26 12Z | 20.5°S 42.6°E | 65 | 981 | H1 |
| 2023-01-26 18Z | 20.7°S 42.4°E | 55 | 991 | TS |
| 2023-01-27 00Z | 21.1°S 42.2°E | 50 | 991 | TS |
| 2023-01-27 06Z | 21.8°S 42.0°E | 50 | 992 | TS |
| 2023-01-27 12Z | 22.6°S 41.8°E | 45 | 993 | TS |
| 2023-01-27 18Z | 23.2°S 41.7°E | 60 | 983 | TS |
| 2023-01-28 00Z | 24.1°S 41.4°E | 75 | 972 | H1 |
| 2023-01-28 06Z | 25.0°S 41.3°E | 75 | 971 | H1 |
| 2023-01-28 12Z | 26.0°S 41.7°E | 75 | 970 | H1 |
| 2023-01-28 18Z | 26.6°S 42.3°E | 65 | 975 | H1 |
| 2023-01-29 00Z | 27.7°S 43.8°E | 55 | 983 | TS |
| 2023-01-29 06Z | 28.8°S 45.0°E | 50 | 985 | TS |
| 2023-01-29 12Z | 30.3°S 47.8°E | 45 | 988 | TS |
| 2023-01-29 18Z | 31.9°S 49.4°E | 40 | 989 | TS |
| 2023-01-30 00Z | 32.7°S 51.5°E | 35 | 992 | TS |
| 2023-01-30 06Z | 33.6°S 54.8°E | 30 | 984 | TD |