2026 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Vaianu Vaianu · SH312026
Cyclone Vaianu was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2026-04-03 to 2026-04-13 (10 days), peaking at 99 kt (H3) with a minimum pressure of 954 hPa. 56 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF, 80 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- SH312026
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2026-04-03 → 2026-04-13 (10 days)
- Peak wind
- 99 kt · 51 m/s · H3
- Minimum pressure
- 954 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 56
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 59 (14) | 80 (10) | 133 (6) | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 62 (14) | 109 (10) | 172 (6) | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 00Z | 13.8°S 171.8°E | 39 | 994 | TS |
| 2026-04-05 06Z | 14.5°S 172.6°E | 51 | 988 | TS |
| 2026-04-05 12Z | 14.9°S 172.4°E | 54 | 987 | TS |
| 2026-04-05 18Z | 15.1°S 172.6°E | 74 | 973 | H1 |
| 2026-04-06 00Z | 15.7°S 173.1°E | 80 | 971 | H1 |
| 2026-04-06 06Z | 16.1°S 173.6°E | 89 | 964 | H2 |
| 2026-04-06 12Z | 16.5°S 173.8°E | 93 | 959 | H2 |
| 2026-04-06 18Z | 17.1°S 174.4°E | 93 | 958 | H2 |
| 2026-04-07 00Z | 18.1°S 174.8°E | 99 | 954 | H3 |
| 2026-04-07 06Z | 19.2°S 175.3°E | 99 | 954 | H3 |
| 2026-04-07 12Z | 20.0°S 175.9°E | 93 | 958 | H2 |
| 2026-04-07 18Z | 21.1°S 177.0°E | 89 | 962 | H2 |
| 2026-04-08 00Z | 22.2°S 177.4°E | 80 | 970 | H1 |
| 2026-04-08 06Z | 23.4°S 177.8°E | 74 | 973 | H1 |
| 2026-04-08 12Z | 24.6°S 178.4°E | 64 | 978 | H1 |
| 2026-04-08 18Z | 25.4°S 178.5°E | 60 | 980 | TS |
| 2026-04-09 00Z | 26.2°S 178.8°E | 60 | 979 | TS |
| 2026-04-09 06Z | 26.8°S 179.0°E | 54 | 981 | TS |