2026 tropical cyclone season · western North Pacific
Typhoon Surigae Surigae · WP252026
Typhoon Surigae was tracked in the western North Pacific from 2026-09-23 to 2026-10-01 (8 days), peaking at 128 kt (H4) with a minimum pressure of 929 hPa. 68 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 92 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- WP252026
- Basin
- western North Pacific
- Tracked
- 2026-09-23 → 2026-10-01 (8 days)
- Peak wind
- 128 kt · 66 m/s · H4
- Minimum pressure
- 929 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 68
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 55 (27) | 109 (25) | 143 (21) | 367 (13) |
| ECMWF ENS | 50 (27) | 92 (25) | 114 (21) | 373 (13) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 06Z | 16.0°N 138.4°E | 25 | 1005 | TD |
| 2026-09-23 12Z | 16.5°N 137.6°E | 29 | 1005 | TD |
| 2026-09-23 18Z | 17.2°N 136.2°E | 35 | 1005 | TS |
| 2026-09-24 00Z | 18.2°N 134.3°E | 35 | 1004 | TS |
| 2026-09-24 06Z | 18.9°N 133.1°E | 45 | 999 | TS |
| 2026-09-24 12Z | 18.6°N 132.5°E | 39 | 1001 | TS |
| 2026-09-24 18Z | 19.3°N 131.7°E | 35 | 1004 | TS |
| 2026-09-25 00Z | 19.9°N 130.7°E | 39 | 1003 | TS |
| 2026-09-25 06Z | 20.7°N 129.3°E | 45 | 1003 | TS |
| 2026-09-25 12Z | 21.4°N 128.2°E | 51 | 998 | TS |
| 2026-09-25 18Z | 21.9°N 127.8°E | 54 | 994 | TS |
| 2026-09-26 00Z | 22.4°N 127.0°E | 60 | 990 | TS |
| 2026-09-26 06Z | 22.9°N 126.8°E | 70 | 981 | H1 |
| 2026-09-26 12Z | 23.3°N 126.9°E | 70 | 981 | H1 |
| 2026-09-26 18Z | 24.0°N 127.2°E | 74 | 977 | H1 |
| 2026-09-27 00Z | 24.6°N 127.6°E | 89 | 964 | H2 |
| 2026-09-27 06Z | 25.4°N 128.3°E | 105 | 952 | H3 |
| 2026-09-27 12Z | 25.9°N 129.1°E | 124 | 934 | H4 |
| 2026-09-27 18Z | 26.3°N 130.0°E | 128 | 929 | H4 |
| 2026-09-28 00Z | 26.6°N 130.9°E | 119 | 938 | H4 |
| 2026-09-28 06Z | 27.5°N 131.6°E | 99 | 954 | H3 |
| 2026-09-28 12Z | 27.5°N 132.8°E | 89 | 962 | H2 |
| 2026-09-28 18Z | 28.1°N 133.2°E | 70 | 976 | H1 |
| 2026-09-29 00Z | 28.6°N 133.9°E | 54 | 988 | TS |
| 2026-09-29 06Z | 29.0°N 135.0°E | 51 | 989 | TS |
| 2026-09-29 12Z | 29.2°N 136.3°E | 45 | 994 | TS |
| 2026-09-29 18Z | 29.6°N 136.7°E | 39 | 997 | TS |
| 2026-09-30 00Z | 30.2°N 137.3°E | 35 | 1000 | TS |
| 2026-09-30 06Z | 31.2°N 138.3°E | 35 | 1000 | TS |
| 2026-09-30 12Z | 31.9°N 139.9°E | 35 | 1000 | TS |
| 2026-09-30 18Z | 32.3°N 139.5°E | 29 | 1002 | TD |
| 2026-10-01 00Z | 33.2°N 140.7°E | 29 | 1004 | TD |
| 2026-10-01 06Z | 34.6°N 142.4°E | 29 | 1004 | TD |