2026 tropical cyclone season · western North Pacific

Typhoon Nokaen Nokaen · WP012026

Typhoon Nokaen was tracked in the western North Pacific from 2026-01-13 to 2026-01-22 (9 days), peaking at 51 kt (TS) with a minimum pressure of 992 hPa. 74 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 107 km off on average.

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ATCF ID
WP012026
Basin
western North Pacific
Tracked
2026-01-13 → 2026-01-22 (9 days)
Peak wind
51 kt · 26 m/s · TS
Minimum pressure
992 hPa
Archived forecasts
74
Sources
ECMWF · ECMWF ENS
TDTSH1H2H3H4H5

Forecast track error (km)

Source24 h48 h72 h120 h
ECMWF78 (14)115 (13)108 (13)533 (2)
ECMWF ENS63 (18)107 (15)121 (12)476 (5)

Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.

Best track

Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.

Time (UTC)PositionWind (kt)Pressure (hPa)Grade
2026-01-14 18Z9.5°N 130.2°E251002TD
2026-01-15 00Z9.3°N 129.7°E291002TD
2026-01-15 06Z10.0°N 128.9°E29998TD
2026-01-15 12Z10.0°N 128.9°E29998TD
2026-01-15 18Z10.2°N 129.0°E29998TD
2026-01-16 00Z11.2°N 128.9°E35999TS
2026-01-16 06Z12.0°N 128.0°E35997TS
2026-01-16 12Z12.2°N 127.0°E39997TS
2026-01-16 18Z12.8°N 125.7°E45992TS
2026-01-17 00Z13.5°N 125.0°E45996TS
2026-01-17 06Z14.1°N 124.4°E51994TS
2026-01-17 12Z15.0°N 124.1°E51993TS
2026-01-17 18Z14.3°N 125.0°E45997TS
2026-01-18 00Z14.4°N 125.2°E39999TS
2026-01-18 06Z14.6°N 125.5°E35997TS
2026-01-18 12Z15.3°N 125.7°E29998TD
2026-01-18 18Z16.1°N 125.7°E291000TD
2026-01-19 00Z16.6°N 126.5°E351002TS
2026-01-19 06Z16.7°N 126.6°E35998TS
2026-01-19 12Z17.0°N 127.0°E291000TD
2026-01-19 18Z17.0°N 128.1°E29999TD
2026-01-20 00Z17.3°N 129.1°E291002TD
2026-01-20 06Z17.7°N 130.3°E351000TS
2026-01-20 12Z17.7°N 131.9°E351001TS
2026-01-20 18Z17.1°N 133.0°E291001TD