2026 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Narelle Narelle · SH272026
Cyclone Narelle was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2026-03-15 to 2026-03-28 (13 days), peaking at 124 kt (H4) with a minimum pressure of 933 hPa. 73 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF, 77 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- SH272026
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2026-03-15 → 2026-03-28 (13 days)
- Peak wind
- 124 kt · 64 m/s · H4
- Minimum pressure
- 933 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 73
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 57 (8) | 77 (8) | 157 (8) | 579 (3) |
| ECMWF ENS | 48 (39) | 87 (36) | 171 (33) | 471 (26) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 00Z | 12.3°S 156.6°E | 39 | 1000 | TS |
| 2026-03-17 06Z | 12.6°S 156.2°E | 51 | 991 | TS |
| 2026-03-17 12Z | 12.4°S 155.3°E | 60 | 987 | TS |
| 2026-03-17 18Z | 12.1°S 154.1°E | 64 | 974 | H1 |
| 2026-03-18 00Z | 12.4°S 153.3°E | 64 | 986 | H1 |
| 2026-03-18 06Z | 12.7°S 152.0°E | 74 | 977 | H1 |
| 2026-03-18 12Z | 13.0°S 150.6°E | 89 | 968 | H2 |
| 2026-03-18 18Z | 13.3°S 149.3°E | 99 | 960 | H3 |
| 2026-03-19 00Z | 13.6°S 147.8°E | 115 | 947 | H4 |
| 2026-03-19 06Z | 13.6°S 146.5°E | 124 | 933 | H4 |
| 2026-03-19 12Z | 13.6°S 145.4°E | 124 | 933 | H4 |
| 2026-03-19 18Z | 13.8°S 144.0°E | 119 | 937 | H4 |
| 2026-03-20 00Z | 13.4°S 143.0°E | 105 | 951 | H3 |
| 2026-03-20 06Z | 13.4°S 142.0°E | 99 | 955 | H3 |
| 2026-03-20 12Z | 13.4°S 140.8°E | 84 | 972 | H2 |
| 2026-03-20 18Z | 13.3°S 139.6°E | 64 | 985 | H1 |
| 2026-03-21 00Z | 12.9°S 138.8°E | 70 | 983 | H1 |
| 2026-03-21 06Z | 13.0°S 137.8°E | 80 | 973 | H1 |
| 2026-03-21 12Z | 13.1°S 136.8°E | 80 | 973 | H1 |
| 2026-03-21 18Z | 13.6°S 135.7°E | 74 | 978 | H1 |
| 2026-03-22 00Z | 13.6°S 134.1°E | 54 | 986 | TS |
| 2026-03-22 06Z | 13.8°S 132.9°E | 39 | 989 | TS |
| 2026-03-22 12Z | 14.1°S 131.5°E | 35 | 993 | TS |
| 2026-03-22 18Z | 14.3°S 130.1°E | 35 | 991 | TS |
| 2026-03-23 00Z | 14.5°S 129.2°E | 35 | 991 | TS |
| 2026-03-23 06Z | 14.7°S 128.1°E | 39 | 991 | TS |
| 2026-03-23 12Z | 15.1°S 126.8°E | 35 | 994 | TS |
| 2026-03-23 18Z | 15.5°S 125.8°E | 35 | 996 | TS |
| 2026-03-24 00Z | 15.8°S 124.8°E | 35 | 996 | TS |
| 2026-03-24 06Z | 16.0°S 123.4°E | 39 | 995 | TS |
| 2026-03-24 12Z | 16.4°S 122.4°E | 45 | 993 | TS |
| 2026-03-24 18Z | 17.0°S 121.5°E | 51 | 990 | TS |
| 2026-03-25 00Z | 17.4°S 120.0°E | 54 | 987 | TS |
| 2026-03-25 06Z | 17.8°S 119.0°E | 70 | 978 | H1 |
| 2026-03-25 12Z | 17.9°S 117.9°E | 89 | 967 | H2 |
| 2026-03-25 18Z | 18.3°S 117.2°E | 105 | 954 | H3 |
| 2026-03-26 00Z | 18.9°S 116.3°E | 105 | 955 | H3 |
| 2026-03-26 06Z | 19.6°S 115.4°E | 109 | 948 | H3 |
| 2026-03-26 12Z | 20.4°S 114.6°E | 115 | 944 | H4 |
| 2026-03-26 18Z | 21.1°S 114.0°E | 109 | 947 | H3 |
| 2026-03-27 00Z | 22.4°S 113.6°E | 99 | 955 | H3 |
| 2026-03-27 06Z | 23.6°S 113.7°E | 84 | 962 | H2 |
| 2026-03-27 12Z | 25.4°S 114.2°E | 64 | 977 | H1 |
| 2026-03-27 18Z | 27.1°S 115.3°E | 39 | 990 | TS |
| 2026-03-28 00Z | 30.0°S 117.2°E | 35 | 995 | TS |
| 2026-03-28 06Z | 32.3°S 119.0°E | 29 | 996 | TD |