2026 tropical cyclone season · North Indian Ocean
Cyclone Murasu Murasu · IO042026
Cyclone Murasu was tracked in the North Indian Ocean from 2026-11-01 to 2026-11-03 (2 days), peaking at 84 kt (H2) with a minimum pressure of 973 hPa. 90 archived forecasts from JTWC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track.
- ATCF ID
- IO042026
- Basin
- North Indian Ocean
- Tracked
- 2026-11-01 → 2026-11-03 (2 days)
- Peak wind
- 84 kt · 43 m/s · H2
- Minimum pressure
- 973 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 90
- Sources
- JTWC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTWC | 47 (5) | 31 (1) | — | — |
| ECMWF | 66 (5) | 75 (1) | — | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 54 (5) | 87 (1) | — | — |
| GFS | 42 (5) | 46 (1) | — | — |
| GEFS | 28 (5) | 29 (1) | — | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 00Z | 11.6°N 86.6°E | 35 | 1007 | TS |
| 2026-11-01 06Z | 12.2°N 84.8°E | 39 | 1003 | TS |
| 2026-11-01 12Z | 12.8°N 83.8°E | 51 | 998 | TS |
| 2026-11-01 18Z | 13.6°N 82.6°E | 60 | 995 | TS |
| 2026-11-02 00Z | 13.5°N 81.8°E | 54 | 996 | TS |
| 2026-11-02 06Z | 14.3°N 80.9°E | 64 | 991 | H1 |
| 2026-11-02 12Z | 14.7°N 80.7°E | 64 | 989 | H1 |
| 2026-11-02 18Z | 15.1°N 80.5°E | 84 | 973 | H2 |
| 2026-11-03 00Z | 15.5°N 80.3°E | 84 | 974 | H2 |