2026 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Mitchell Mitchell · SH202026
Cyclone Mitchell was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2026-01-29 to 2026-02-10 (12 days), peaking at 80 kt (H1) with a minimum pressure of 968 hPa. 49 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 67 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- SH202026
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2026-01-29 → 2026-02-10 (12 days)
- Peak wind
- 80 kt · 41 m/s · H1
- Minimum pressure
- 968 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 49
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF ENS | 35 (10) | 67 (6) | 91 (2) | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 00Z | 17.8°S 121.9°E | 29 | 997 | TD |
| 2026-02-06 06Z | 18.8°S 120.9°E | 35 | 998 | TS |
| 2026-02-06 12Z | 18.5°S 119.8°E | 39 | 994 | TS |
| 2026-02-06 18Z | 18.9°S 119.0°E | 51 | 989 | TS |
| 2026-02-07 00Z | 19.0°S 118.4°E | 60 | 983 | TS |
| 2026-02-07 06Z | 19.4°S 117.6°E | 64 | 979 | H1 |
| 2026-02-07 12Z | 20.0°S 116.7°E | 74 | 973 | H1 |
| 2026-02-07 18Z | 20.3°S 116.2°E | 80 | 968 | H1 |
| 2026-02-08 00Z | 20.7°S 115.6°E | 74 | 972 | H1 |
| 2026-02-08 06Z | 21.3°S 114.6°E | 70 | 975 | H1 |
| 2026-02-08 12Z | 21.6°S 114.0°E | 60 | 983 | TS |
| 2026-02-08 18Z | 22.1°S 113.8°E | 60 | 982 | TS |
| 2026-02-09 00Z | 23.1°S 113.6°E | 54 | 985 | TS |
| 2026-02-09 06Z | 24.5°S 113.4°E | 51 | 986 | TS |
| 2026-02-09 12Z | 25.3°S 113.8°E | 45 | 991 | TS |