2026 tropical cyclone season · eastern North Pacific
Hurricane Marie Marie · EP132026
Hurricane Marie was tracked in the eastern North Pacific from 2026-08-29 to 2026-09-08 (10 days), peaking at 85 kt (H2) with a minimum pressure of 967 hPa. 225 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS, Google DeepMind are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was Google DeepMind, 30 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- EP132026
- Basin
- eastern North Pacific
- Tracked
- 2026-08-29 → 2026-09-08 (10 days)
- Peak wind
- 85 kt · 44 m/s · H2
- Minimum pressure
- 967 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 225
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS · Google DeepMind
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 30 (25) | 37 (21) | 50 (17) | 158 (9) |
| ECMWF | 32 (25) | 42 (21) | 59 (17) | 186 (9) |
| ECMWF ENS | 30 (25) | 36 (21) | 48 (17) | 120 (9) |
| GFS | 47 (25) | 61 (21) | 111 (17) | 267 (9) |
| GEFS | 42 (25) | 58 (21) | 99 (17) | 191 (9) |
| Google DeepMind | 19 (25) | 30 (21) | 47 (17) | 204 (9) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 18Z | 10.4°N 105.3°W | 20 | — | TD |
| 2026-08-30 00Z | 10.5°N 105.9°W | 20 | 1008 | TD |
| 2026-08-30 06Z | 11.1°N 106.3°W | 25 | 1010 | TD |
| 2026-08-30 12Z | 11.7°N 106.3°W | 25 | 1010 | TD |
| 2026-08-30 18Z | 11.9°N 106.5°W | 30 | 1010 | TD |
| 2026-08-31 00Z | 11.9°N 106.9°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-08-31 06Z | 11.9°N 107.4°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-08-31 12Z | 12.1°N 107.6°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-08-31 18Z | 12.7°N 107.5°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-01 00Z | 13.4°N 107.8°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-09-01 06Z | 14.1°N 108.1°W | 40 | 1002 | TS |
| 2026-09-01 12Z | 14.8°N 108.5°W | 40 | 1002 | TS |
| 2026-09-01 18Z | 15.4°N 109.2°W | 50 | 997 | TS |
| 2026-09-02 00Z | 15.9°N 109.9°W | 55 | 994 | TS |
| 2026-09-02 06Z | 16.4°N 110.6°W | 55 | 994 | TS |
| 2026-09-02 12Z | 16.9°N 111.3°W | 60 | 992 | TS |
| 2026-09-02 18Z | 17.7°N 112.0°W | 65 | 989 | H1 |
| 2026-09-03 00Z | 18.2°N 112.7°W | 70 | 985 | H1 |
| 2026-09-03 06Z | 18.7°N 113.4°W | 75 | 981 | H1 |
| 2026-09-03 12Z | 19.0°N 114.4°W | 80 | 976 | H1 |
| 2026-09-03 18Z | 19.1°N 115.1°W | 80 | 975 | H1 |
| 2026-09-04 00Z | 19.5°N 115.9°W | 80 | 975 | H1 |
| 2026-09-04 06Z | 19.7°N 116.7°W | 85 | 972 | H2 |
| 2026-09-04 12Z | 19.9°N 117.6°W | 85 | 972 | H2 |
| 2026-09-04 18Z | 20.1°N 118.2°W | 85 | 972 | H2 |
| 2026-09-05 00Z | 20.6°N 118.7°W | 85 | 967 | H2 |
| 2026-09-05 06Z | 21.1°N 119.3°W | 85 | 967 | H2 |
| 2026-09-05 12Z | 21.6°N 120.1°W | 80 | 970 | H1 |
| 2026-09-05 18Z | 21.9°N 120.6°W | 80 | 970 | H1 |
| 2026-09-06 00Z | 22.3°N 121.0°W | 80 | 970 | H1 |
| 2026-09-06 06Z | 22.9°N 121.7°W | 80 | 971 | H1 |
| 2026-09-06 12Z | 23.3°N 122.3°W | 70 | 977 | H1 |
| 2026-09-06 18Z | 23.8°N 122.7°W | 65 | 980 | H1 |
| 2026-09-07 00Z | 24.0°N 123.0°W | 60 | 983 | TS |
| 2026-09-07 06Z | 24.2°N 123.4°W | 55 | 986 | TS |
| 2026-09-07 12Z | 24.5°N 124.1°W | 50 | 991 | TS |
| 2026-09-07 18Z | 24.6°N 124.9°W | 50 | 992 | TS |
| 2026-09-08 00Z | 25.0°N 125.6°W | 45 | 994 | TS |
| 2026-09-08 06Z | 25.2°N 126.3°W | 40 | 996 | TS |
| 2026-09-08 12Z | 25.5°N 127.1°W | 35 | 1000 | TS |