2026 tropical cyclone season · eastern North Pacific
Hurricane Lowell Lowell · EP122026
Hurricane Lowell was tracked in the eastern North Pacific from 2026-08-25 to 2026-09-11 (16 days), peaking at 140 kt (H5) with a minimum pressure of 922 hPa. 372 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS, Google DeepMind are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was Google DeepMind, 67 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- EP122026
- Basin
- eastern North Pacific
- Tracked
- 2026-08-25 → 2026-09-11 (16 days)
- Peak wind
- 140 kt · 72 m/s · H5
- Minimum pressure
- 922 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 372
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS · Google DeepMind
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 50 (53) | 101 (49) | 168 (45) | 279 (37) |
| ECMWF | 43 (53) | 92 (49) | 171 (45) | 316 (37) |
| ECMWF ENS | 38 (53) | 102 (49) | 191 (45) | 327 (37) |
| GFS | 77 (53) | 150 (49) | 232 (45) | 416 (37) |
| GEFS | 82 (53) | 171 (49) | 275 (45) | 461 (37) |
| Google DeepMind | 32 (53) | 67 (49) | 104 (45) | 151 (37) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 18Z | 10.1°N 136.7°W | 15 | — | TD |
| 2026-08-26 00Z | 10.2°N 136.4°W | 15 | — | TD |
| 2026-08-26 06Z | 10.3°N 136.0°W | 15 | — | TD |
| 2026-08-26 12Z | 10.4°N 135.5°W | 15 | — | TD |
| 2026-08-26 18Z | 10.6°N 135.1°W | 20 | 1008 | TD |
| 2026-08-27 00Z | 10.8°N 135.0°W | 20 | 1009 | TD |
| 2026-08-27 06Z | 10.9°N 134.8°W | 25 | 1008 | TD |
| 2026-08-27 12Z | 11.0°N 134.4°W | 25 | 1008 | TD |
| 2026-08-27 18Z | 11.2°N 134.0°W | 35 | 1006 | TS |
| 2026-08-28 00Z | 11.3°N 133.6°W | 35 | 1004 | TS |
| 2026-08-28 06Z | 11.6°N 133.0°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2026-08-28 12Z | 12.3°N 132.7°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2026-08-28 18Z | 12.4°N 133.1°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2026-08-29 00Z | 12.4°N 133.8°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2026-08-29 06Z | 12.6°N 134.5°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2026-08-29 12Z | 12.9°N 135.3°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2026-08-29 18Z | 13.1°N 136.4°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2026-08-30 00Z | 13.2°N 137.6°W | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2026-08-30 06Z | 13.2°N 138.6°W | 45 | 1000 | TS |
| 2026-08-30 12Z | 13.3°N 139.8°W | 45 | 1000 | TS |
| 2026-08-30 18Z | 13.3°N 141.3°W | 45 | 999 | TS |
| 2026-08-31 00Z | 13.2°N 142.8°W | 45 | 999 | TS |
| 2026-08-31 06Z | 13.0°N 143.7°W | 50 | 997 | TS |
| 2026-08-31 12Z | 12.8°N 145.2°W | 55 | 995 | TS |
| 2026-08-31 18Z | 12.8°N 146.0°W | 55 | 995 | TS |
| 2026-09-01 00Z | 12.9°N 147.0°W | 55 | 995 | TS |
| 2026-09-01 06Z | 13.0°N 148.1°W | 60 | 993 | TS |
| 2026-09-01 12Z | 13.3°N 148.9°W | 65 | 985 | H1 |
| 2026-09-01 18Z | 13.5°N 149.9°W | 80 | 977 | H1 |
| 2026-09-02 00Z | 13.5°N 150.8°W | 110 | 957 | H3 |
| 2026-09-02 06Z | 13.5°N 151.7°W | 120 | 945 | H4 |
| 2026-09-02 12Z | 13.4°N 152.7°W | 130 | 937 | H4 |
| 2026-09-02 18Z | 13.3°N 153.7°W | 140 | 927 | H5 |
| 2026-09-03 00Z | 13.3°N 154.7°W | 135 | 932 | H4 |
| 2026-09-03 06Z | 13.3°N 155.8°W | 130 | 935 | H4 |
| 2026-09-03 12Z | 13.4°N 156.7°W | 120 | 945 | H4 |
| 2026-09-03 18Z | 13.5°N 157.6°W | 120 | 945 | H4 |
| 2026-09-04 00Z | 13.5°N 158.4°W | 115 | 943 | H4 |
| 2026-09-04 06Z | 13.5°N 159.2°W | 110 | 947 | H3 |
| 2026-09-04 12Z | 13.3°N 159.8°W | 110 | 947 | H3 |
| 2026-09-04 18Z | 13.2°N 160.4°W | 130 | 930 | H4 |
| 2026-09-05 00Z | 13.2°N 161.1°W | 130 | 924 | H4 |
| 2026-09-05 06Z | 13.2°N 161.7°W | 140 | 922 | H5 |
| 2026-09-05 12Z | 13.3°N 162.3°W | 130 | 931 | H4 |
| 2026-09-05 18Z | 13.4°N 162.9°W | 125 | 936 | H4 |
| 2026-09-06 00Z | 13.6°N 163.2°W | 115 | 942 | H4 |
| 2026-09-06 06Z | 14.0°N 163.5°W | 115 | 942 | H4 |
| 2026-09-06 12Z | 14.4°N 163.8°W | 110 | 943 | H3 |
| 2026-09-06 18Z | 14.8°N 163.8°W | 110 | 943 | H3 |
| 2026-09-07 00Z | 15.4°N 163.7°W | 105 | 948 | H3 |
| 2026-09-07 06Z | 16.1°N 163.4°W | 105 | 948 | H3 |
| 2026-09-07 12Z | 17.0°N 162.9°W | 100 | 950 | H3 |
| 2026-09-07 18Z | 18.0°N 162.2°W | 95 | 956 | H2 |
| 2026-09-08 00Z | 19.5°N 161.5°W | 95 | 958 | H2 |
| 2026-09-08 06Z | 21.2°N 160.9°W | 95 | 962 | H2 |
| 2026-09-08 12Z | 23.0°N 160.7°W | 85 | 965 | H2 |
| 2026-09-08 18Z | 24.5°N 160.7°W | 70 | 972 | H1 |
| 2026-09-09 00Z | 25.7°N 160.9°W | 60 | 978 | TS |
| 2026-09-09 06Z | 26.9°N 161.1°W | 55 | 981 | TS |
| 2026-09-09 12Z | 27.7°N 161.7°W | 50 | 985 | TS |
| 2026-09-09 18Z | 28.7°N 163.0°W | 50 | 987 | TS |
| 2026-09-10 00Z | 29.1°N 164.4°W | 50 | 991 | TS |
| 2026-09-10 06Z | 29.1°N 165.6°W | 55 | 990 | TS |
| 2026-09-10 12Z | 29.1°N 166.9°W | 50 | 991 | TS |
| 2026-09-10 18Z | 29.0°N 168.3°W | 45 | 995 | TS |
| 2026-09-11 00Z | 29.0°N 169.5°W | 45 | 997 | TS |