2026 tropical cyclone season · eastern North Pacific
Hurricane Karina Karina · EP112026
Hurricane Karina was tracked in the eastern North Pacific from 2026-08-25 to 2026-09-07 (13 days), peaking at 125 kt (H4) with a minimum pressure of 940 hPa. 297 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS, Google DeepMind are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was Google DeepMind, 35 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- EP112026
- Basin
- eastern North Pacific
- Tracked
- 2026-08-25 → 2026-09-07 (13 days)
- Peak wind
- 125 kt · 64 m/s · H4
- Minimum pressure
- 940 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 297
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS · Google DeepMind
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 37 (38) | 36 (34) | 70 (30) | 242 (22) |
| ECMWF | 35 (38) | 46 (34) | 76 (30) | 151 (22) |
| ECMWF ENS | 33 (38) | 47 (34) | 70 (30) | 185 (22) |
| GFS | 40 (38) | 70 (34) | 126 (30) | 312 (22) |
| GEFS | 43 (38) | 75 (34) | 132 (30) | 350 (22) |
| Google DeepMind | 26 (38) | 35 (34) | 52 (30) | 106 (22) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 00Z | 8.6°N 103.8°W | 15 | 1008 | TD |
| 2026-08-25 06Z | 8.7°N 104.4°W | 15 | 1008 | TD |
| 2026-08-25 12Z | 8.8°N 104.8°W | 15 | 1008 | TD |
| 2026-08-25 18Z | 8.9°N 105.3°W | 15 | 1008 | TD |
| 2026-08-26 00Z | 9.0°N 106.0°W | 20 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-08-26 06Z | 9.0°N 106.6°W | 20 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-08-26 12Z | 9.1°N 107.0°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-08-26 18Z | 9.4°N 107.8°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-08-27 00Z | 9.5°N 108.7°W | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-08-27 06Z | 9.5°N 109.7°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-08-27 12Z | 10.0°N 110.7°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2026-08-27 18Z | 10.8°N 111.5°W | 40 | 1001 | TS |
| 2026-08-28 00Z | 11.7°N 112.6°W | 45 | 1000 | TS |
| 2026-08-28 06Z | 12.4°N 113.9°W | 45 | 999 | TS |
| 2026-08-28 12Z | 12.9°N 114.7°W | 50 | 995 | TS |
| 2026-08-28 18Z | 13.4°N 115.2°W | 55 | 990 | TS |
| 2026-08-29 00Z | 13.9°N 115.9°W | 55 | 988 | TS |
| 2026-08-29 06Z | 14.4°N 116.6°W | 55 | 989 | TS |
| 2026-08-29 12Z | 15.3°N 117.2°W | 55 | 989 | TS |
| 2026-08-29 18Z | 16.1°N 118.3°W | 60 | 987 | TS |
| 2026-08-30 00Z | 16.7°N 119.6°W | 60 | 987 | TS |
| 2026-08-30 06Z | 17.2°N 120.7°W | 65 | 983 | H1 |
| 2026-08-30 12Z | 17.3°N 121.7°W | 70 | 980 | H1 |
| 2026-08-30 18Z | 17.1°N 122.4°W | 80 | 973 | H1 |
| 2026-08-31 00Z | 17.1°N 123.3°W | 110 | 954 | H3 |
| 2026-08-31 06Z | 17.2°N 124.0°W | 120 | 945 | H4 |
| 2026-08-31 12Z | 17.3°N 124.7°W | 120 | 945 | H4 |
| 2026-08-31 18Z | 17.4°N 125.4°W | 115 | 950 | H4 |
| 2026-09-01 00Z | 17.7°N 126.3°W | 115 | 950 | H4 |
| 2026-09-01 06Z | 18.0°N 127.4°W | 120 | 945 | H4 |
| 2026-09-01 12Z | 18.0°N 128.5°W | 120 | 945 | H4 |
| 2026-09-01 18Z | 18.1°N 129.4°W | 115 | 949 | H4 |
| 2026-09-02 00Z | 18.2°N 130.3°W | 120 | 946 | H4 |
| 2026-09-02 06Z | 18.5°N 131.2°W | 125 | 940 | H4 |
| 2026-09-02 12Z | 18.7°N 132.3°W | 125 | 940 | H4 |
| 2026-09-02 18Z | 18.8°N 133.3°W | 120 | 943 | H4 |
| 2026-09-03 00Z | 19.2°N 134.2°W | 115 | 947 | H4 |
| 2026-09-03 06Z | 19.5°N 135.2°W | 105 | 957 | H3 |
| 2026-09-03 12Z | 19.7°N 136.2°W | 100 | 961 | H3 |
| 2026-09-03 18Z | 19.7°N 137.2°W | 90 | 969 | H2 |
| 2026-09-04 00Z | 20.0°N 138.0°W | 90 | 969 | H2 |
| 2026-09-04 06Z | 20.3°N 138.9°W | 85 | 972 | H2 |
| 2026-09-04 12Z | 20.3°N 139.9°W | 85 | 972 | H2 |
| 2026-09-04 18Z | 20.4°N 140.7°W | 75 | 978 | H1 |
| 2026-09-05 00Z | 20.6°N 141.6°W | 75 | 978 | H1 |
| 2026-09-05 06Z | 21.2°N 142.2°W | 65 | 984 | H1 |
| 2026-09-05 12Z | 21.4°N 142.7°W | 65 | 985 | H1 |
| 2026-09-05 18Z | 21.5°N 143.3°W | 60 | 988 | TS |
| 2026-09-06 00Z | 21.8°N 143.7°W | 55 | 990 | TS |
| 2026-09-06 06Z | 22.2°N 144.1°W | 55 | 990 | TS |
| 2026-09-06 12Z | 22.6°N 144.7°W | 50 | 992 | TS |
| 2026-09-06 18Z | 22.8°N 145.1°W | 45 | 996 | TS |
| 2026-09-07 00Z | 23.0°N 145.7°W | 40 | 998 | TS |