2026 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Gezani Gezani · SH212026
Cyclone Gezani was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2026-02-04 to 2026-02-21 (18 days), peaking at 109 kt (H3) with a minimum pressure of 956 hPa. 85 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 126 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- SH212026
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2026-02-04 → 2026-02-21 (18 days)
- Peak wind
- 109 kt · 56 m/s · H3
- Minimum pressure
- 956 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 85
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 5756 (9) | 5861 (6) | 5461 (3) | 228 (1) |
| ECMWF ENS | 59 (34) | 126 (30) | 253 (27) | 393 (19) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 00Z | 18.0°S 56.9°E | 35 | 1004 | TS |
| 2026-02-08 06Z | 18.0°S 56.8°E | 35 | 1001 | TS |
| 2026-02-08 12Z | 18.3°S 56.6°E | 35 | 1003 | TS |
| 2026-02-08 18Z | 18.1°S 56.1°E | 39 | 1002 | TS |
| 2026-02-09 00Z | 17.9°S 55.6°E | 45 | 998 | TS |
| 2026-02-09 06Z | 18.0°S 54.6°E | 51 | 996 | TS |
| 2026-02-09 12Z | 18.0°S 53.8°E | 60 | 991 | TS |
| 2026-02-09 18Z | 18.1°S 52.9°E | 70 | 987 | H1 |
| 2026-02-10 00Z | 18.2°S 52.1°E | 89 | 973 | H2 |
| 2026-02-10 06Z | 18.1°S 51.1°E | 99 | 965 | H3 |
| 2026-02-10 12Z | 18.1°S 50.1°E | 109 | 956 | H3 |
| 2026-02-10 18Z | 18.1°S 49.2°E | 89 | 973 | H2 |
| 2026-02-11 00Z | 18.2°S 48.3°E | 70 | 985 | H1 |
| 2026-02-11 06Z | 18.4°S 46.2°E | 51 | 1000 | TS |
| 2026-02-11 12Z | 18.9°S 44.7°E | 25 | 1009 | TD |
| 2026-02-11 18Z | 19.1°S 43.5°E | 39 | 1005 | TS |
| 2026-02-12 00Z | 19.7°S 42.2°E | 51 | 999 | TS |
| 2026-02-12 06Z | 19.9°S 41.0°E | 64 | 991 | H1 |
| 2026-02-12 12Z | 20.4°S 40.0°E | 74 | 982 | H1 |
| 2026-02-12 18Z | 20.8°S 39.1°E | 89 | 969 | H2 |
| 2026-02-13 00Z | 21.3°S 38.2°E | 89 | 967 | H2 |
| 2026-02-13 06Z | 22.0°S 37.0°E | 84 | 973 | H2 |
| 2026-02-13 12Z | 22.5°S 36.4°E | 89 | 964 | H2 |
| 2026-02-13 18Z | 23.3°S 36.1°E | 89 | 963 | H2 |
| 2026-02-14 00Z | 24.1°S 35.7°E | 93 | 960 | H2 |
| 2026-02-14 06Z | 24.9°S 36.0°E | 93 | 957 | H2 |
| 2026-02-14 12Z | 25.9°S 36.6°E | 89 | 961 | H2 |
| 2026-02-14 18Z | 26.6°S 37.9°E | 80 | 968 | H1 |
| 2026-02-15 00Z | 26.7°S 38.6°E | 84 | 967 | H2 |
| 2026-02-15 06Z | 26.7°S 39.3°E | 80 | 973 | H1 |
| 2026-02-15 12Z | 26.4°S 40.1°E | 80 | 971 | H1 |
| 2026-02-15 18Z | 26.2°S 41.5°E | 84 | 967 | H2 |
| 2026-02-16 00Z | 25.4°S 41.8°E | 74 | 978 | H1 |
| 2026-02-16 06Z | 24.9°S 41.9°E | 74 | 975 | H1 |
| 2026-02-16 12Z | 24.9°S 42.5°E | 64 | 980 | H1 |
| 2026-02-16 18Z | 25.3°S 43.6°E | 60 | 984 | TS |
| 2026-02-17 00Z | 26.4°S 44.1°E | 54 | 987 | TS |
| 2026-02-17 06Z | 29.6°S 43.9°E | 51 | 987 | TS |
| 2026-02-17 12Z | 30.0°S 42.5°E | 51 | 990 | TS |
| 2026-02-17 18Z | 31.5°S 42.1°E | 51 | 991 | TS |
| 2026-02-18 00Z | 32.9°S 41.7°E | 45 | 992 | TS |