2026 tropical cyclone season · North Atlantic
Hurricane Fay Fay · AL062026
Hurricane Fay was tracked in the North Atlantic from 2026-09-17 to 2026-09-29 (12 days), peaking at 60 kt (TS) with a minimum pressure of 995 hPa. 261 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS, Google DeepMind are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 61 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- AL062026
- Basin
- North Atlantic
- Tracked
- 2026-09-17 → 2026-09-29 (12 days)
- Peak wind
- 60 kt · 31 m/s · TS
- Minimum pressure
- 995 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 261
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS · Google DeepMind
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 46 (31) | 84 (27) | 119 (21) | — |
| ECMWF | 34 (14) | 63 (10) | 94 (8) | 169 (7) |
| ECMWF ENS | 40 (15) | 61 (12) | 81 (11) | 93 (2) |
| GFS | 47 (31) | 83 (27) | 125 (23) | 324 (18) |
| GEFS | 49 (31) | 94 (27) | 144 (23) | 286 (16) |
| Google DeepMind | 29 (30) | 65 (21) | 124 (14) | 101 (5) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 12Z | 32.1°N 34.0°W | 15 | 1018 | TD |
| 2026-09-17 18Z | 32.4°N 34.2°W | 20 | 1018 | TD |
| 2026-09-18 00Z | 32.6°N 34.2°W | 20 | 1018 | TD |
| 2026-09-18 06Z | 32.8°N 34.2°W | 25 | 1017 | TD |
| 2026-09-18 12Z | 32.9°N 34.1°W | 25 | 1017 | TD |
| 2026-09-18 18Z | 32.8°N 34.0°W | 25 | 1016 | TD |
| 2026-09-19 00Z | 32.6°N 33.9°W | 30 | 1015 | TD |
| 2026-09-19 06Z | 32.6°N 33.6°W | 30 | 1015 | TD |
| 2026-09-19 12Z | 32.5°N 33.6°W | 30 | 1009 | TD |
| 2026-09-19 18Z | 32.7°N 33.5°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-09-20 00Z | 33.1°N 33.3°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2026-09-20 06Z | 33.5°N 33.2°W | 35 | 1006 | TS |
| 2026-09-20 12Z | 34.0°N 33.1°W | 50 | 1004 | TS |
| 2026-09-20 18Z | 34.2°N 32.8°W | 55 | 999 | TS |
| 2026-09-21 00Z | 34.2°N 32.1°W | 60 | 995 | TS |
| 2026-09-21 06Z | 34.0°N 32.0°W | 55 | 997 | TS |
| 2026-09-21 12Z | 33.5°N 31.9°W | 45 | 1000 | TS |
| 2026-09-21 18Z | 33.3°N 32.1°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2026-09-22 00Z | 32.6°N 32.7°W | 35 | 1008 | TS |
| 2026-09-22 06Z | 32.1°N 33.4°W | 35 | 1009 | TS |
| 2026-09-22 12Z | 31.4°N 34.1°W | 30 | 1010 | TD |
| 2026-09-22 18Z | 31.0°N 34.8°W | 30 | 1010 | TD |
| 2026-09-23 00Z | 30.6°N 35.7°W | 30 | 1011 | TD |
| 2026-09-23 06Z | 30.4°N 37.0°W | 30 | 1011 | TD |
| 2026-09-23 12Z | 30.3°N 37.9°W | 30 | 1011 | TD |
| 2026-09-23 18Z | 30.1°N 38.8°W | 30 | 1011 | TD |
| 2026-09-24 00Z | 29.8°N 39.6°W | 35 | 1010 | TS |
| 2026-09-24 06Z | 29.9°N 40.2°W | 35 | 1010 | TS |
| 2026-09-24 12Z | 29.9°N 40.6°W | 45 | 1005 | TS |
| 2026-09-24 18Z | 30.0°N 41.1°W | 45 | 1005 | TS |
| 2026-09-25 00Z | 30.1°N 41.5°W | 45 | 1005 | TS |
| 2026-09-25 06Z | 30.1°N 41.9°W | 45 | 1004 | TS |
| 2026-09-25 12Z | 30.1°N 42.3°W | 50 | 1002 | TS |
| 2026-09-25 18Z | 29.8°N 42.8°W | 45 | 1004 | TS |
| 2026-09-26 00Z | 30.0°N 43.1°W | 35 | 1006 | TS |
| 2026-09-26 06Z | 30.0°N 43.5°W | 30 | 1009 | TD |
| 2026-09-26 12Z | 30.0°N 43.7°W | 30 | 1009 | TD |
| 2026-09-26 18Z | 29.9°N 43.9°W | 30 | 1009 | TD |
| 2026-09-27 00Z | 29.8°N 43.9°W | 30 | 1010 | TD |
| 2026-09-27 06Z | 29.7°N 43.9°W | 30 | 1010 | TD |
| 2026-09-27 12Z | 29.5°N 43.9°W | 30 | 1010 | TD |
| 2026-09-27 18Z | 29.1°N 43.9°W | 30 | 1011 | TD |
| 2026-09-28 00Z | 28.7°N 43.7°W | 25 | 1012 | TD |
| 2026-09-28 06Z | 28.1°N 43.9°W | 30 | 1012 | TD |
| 2026-09-28 12Z | 27.4°N 44.3°W | 30 | 1011 | TD |
| 2026-09-28 18Z | 26.9°N 44.9°W | 30 | 1011 | TD |
| 2026-09-29 00Z | 26.3°N 45.5°W | 35 | 1008 | TS |
| 2026-09-29 06Z | 25.3°N 46.3°W | 35 | 1008 | TS |
| 2026-09-29 12Z | 24.5°N 46.9°W | 30 | 1010 | TD |
| 2026-09-29 18Z | 23.9°N 47.7°W | 25 | 1011 | TD |