2026 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Bakung Bakung · SH072026
Cyclone Bakung was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2025-12-10 to 2025-12-18 (8 days), peaking at 80 kt (H1) with a minimum pressure of 973 hPa. 59 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF, 135 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- SH072026
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2025-12-10 → 2025-12-18 (8 days)
- Peak wind
- 80 kt · 41 m/s · H1
- Minimum pressure
- 973 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 59
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 78 (3) | 135 (4) | 233 (4) | 409 (2) |
| ECMWF ENS | 83 (16) | 152 (14) | 230 (10) | 210 (4) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 00Z | 8.1°S 98.0°E | 35 | 1005 | TS |
| 2025-12-12 06Z | 8.4°S 97.3°E | 35 | 1003 | TS |
| 2025-12-12 12Z | 8.4°S 96.7°E | 39 | 1003 | TS |
| 2025-12-12 18Z | 8.6°S 95.3°E | 45 | 999 | TS |
| 2025-12-13 00Z | 8.8°S 94.5°E | 45 | 998 | TS |
| 2025-12-13 06Z | 9.1°S 93.6°E | — | — | — |
| 2025-12-13 12Z | 9.5°S 92.7°E | — | — | — |
| 2025-12-13 18Z | 9.9°S 91.9°E | — | — | — |
| 2025-12-14 00Z | 10.2°S 91.4°E | 70 | 983 | H1 |
| 2025-12-14 06Z | 10.4°S 91.2°E | 70 | 983 | H1 |
| 2025-12-14 12Z | 10.8°S 91.0°E | 80 | 973 | H1 |
| 2025-12-14 18Z | 10.9°S 90.9°E | 70 | 981 | H1 |
| 2025-12-15 00Z | 10.9°S 91.3°E | 54 | 990 | TS |
| 2025-12-15 06Z | 10.9°S 91.6°E | 51 | 994 | TS |
| 2025-12-15 12Z | 10.9°S 92.1°E | 45 | 995 | TS |
| 2025-12-15 18Z | 10.9°S 92.7°E | 45 | 997 | TS |
| 2025-12-16 00Z | 11.0°S 93.0°E | 45 | 997 | TS |
| 2025-12-16 06Z | 11.6°S 93.1°E | 45 | 997 | TS |
| 2025-12-16 12Z | 12.1°S 93.0°E | 45 | 997 | TS |
| 2025-12-16 18Z | 11.6°S 93.2°E | 45 | 995 | TS |
| 2025-12-17 00Z | 12.0°S 93.0°E | 64 | 984 | H1 |
| 2025-12-17 06Z | 12.1°S 92.8°E | 54 | 986 | TS |
| 2025-12-17 12Z | 12.6°S 92.3°E | 51 | 988 | TS |
| 2025-12-17 18Z | 11.0°S 91.4°E | 29 | 1004 | TD |
| 2025-12-18 00Z | 10.6°S 91.5°E | 29 | 1004 | TD |
| 2025-12-18 06Z | 10.1°S 91.8°E | 25 | 1004 | TD |