2025 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Zelia Zelia · SH172025
Cyclone Zelia was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2025-02-08 to 2025-02-14 (7 days), peaking at 128 kt (H4) with a minimum pressure of 923 hPa. 73 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF, 72 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- SH172025
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2025-02-08 → 2025-02-14 (7 days)
- Peak wind
- 128 kt · 66 m/s · H4
- Minimum pressure
- 923 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 73
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 67 (9) | 72 (5) | 183 (1) | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 68 (9) | 91 (5) | 56 (1) | — |
| GFS | 121 (9) | 180 (5) | 167 (1) | — |
| GEFS | 127 (9) | 198 (5) | 149 (1) | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-11 06Z | 16.9°S 119.8°E | 39 | 992 | TS |
| 2025-02-11 12Z | 17.9°S 119.1°E | 39 | 991 | TS |
| 2025-02-11 18Z | 18.7°S 118.7°E | 50 | 987 | TS |
| 2025-02-12 00Z | 19.1°S 118.6°E | 60 | 982 | TS |
| 2025-02-12 06Z | 19.0°S 118.7°E | 64 | 978 | H1 |
| 2025-02-12 12Z | 19.1°S 118.6°E | 70 | 976 | H1 |
| 2025-02-12 18Z | 19.2°S 118.3°E | 84 | 964 | H2 |
| 2025-02-13 00Z | 19.1°S 118.2°E | 119 | 940 | H4 |
| 2025-02-13 06Z | 19.1°S 118.2°E | 124 | 929 | H4 |
| 2025-02-13 12Z | 19.3°S 118.2°E | 128 | 923 | H4 |
| 2025-02-13 18Z | 19.3°S 118.3°E | 115 | 937 | H4 |
| 2025-02-14 00Z | 19.5°S 118.7°E | 115 | 938 | H4 |
| 2025-02-14 06Z | 20.2°S 119.1°E | 105 | 947 | H3 |