2025 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Vince Vince · SH132025
Cyclone Vince was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2025-01-31 to 2025-02-13 (13 days), peaking at 134 kt (H4) with a minimum pressure of 924 hPa. 184 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 69 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- SH132025
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2025-01-31 → 2025-02-13 (13 days)
- Peak wind
- 134 kt · 69 m/s · H4
- Minimum pressure
- 924 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 184
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 44 (12) | 72 (12) | 107 (12) | 235 (6) |
| ECMWF ENS | 45 (37) | 69 (33) | 93 (29) | 191 (22) |
| GFS | 52 (38) | 88 (34) | 141 (30) | 413 (22) |
| GEFS | 49 (38) | 77 (34) | 116 (30) | 272 (22) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-01 18Z | 15.6°S 101.3°E | 35 | 994 | TS |
| 2025-02-02 00Z | 15.8°S 100.2°E | 35 | 994 | TS |
| 2025-02-02 06Z | 15.7°S 98.9°E | 39 | 990 | TS |
| 2025-02-02 12Z | 15.5°S 97.6°E | 39 | 986 | TS |
| 2025-02-02 18Z | 15.6°S 97.1°E | 45 | 985 | TS |
| 2025-02-03 00Z | 16.0°S 96.2°E | 51 | 984 | TS |
| 2025-02-03 06Z | 16.5°S 94.9°E | 54 | 983 | TS |
| 2025-02-03 12Z | 16.9°S 93.5°E | 60 | 980 | TS |
| 2025-02-03 18Z | 17.1°S 92.1°E | 64 | 987 | H1 |
| 2025-02-04 00Z | 17.4°S 90.8°E | 74 | 978 | H1 |
| 2025-02-04 06Z | 17.8°S 90.1°E | 99 | 958 | H3 |
| 2025-02-04 12Z | 18.1°S 89.2°E | 93 | 962 | H2 |
| 2025-02-04 18Z | 18.2°S 88.0°E | 93 | 963 | H2 |
| 2025-02-05 00Z | 18.7°S 86.9°E | 89 | 967 | H2 |
| 2025-02-05 06Z | 19.0°S 85.7°E | 93 | 963 | H2 |
| 2025-02-05 12Z | 18.8°S 84.7°E | 109 | 951 | H3 |
| 2025-02-05 18Z | 18.8°S 83.9°E | 109 | 951 | H3 |
| 2025-02-06 00Z | 19.1°S 83.3°E | 105 | 944 | H3 |
| 2025-02-06 06Z | 19.3°S 82.5°E | 105 | 954 | H3 |
| 2025-02-06 12Z | 19.5°S 81.7°E | 115 | 944 | H4 |
| 2025-02-06 18Z | 19.7°S 80.7°E | 134 | 924 | H4 |
| 2025-02-07 00Z | 19.8°S 79.6°E | 134 | 924 | H4 |
| 2025-02-07 06Z | 19.8°S 78.3°E | 128 | 934 | H4 |
| 2025-02-07 12Z | 20.0°S 77.1°E | 128 | 932 | H4 |
| 2025-02-07 18Z | 20.1°S 75.9°E | 128 | 932 | H4 |
| 2025-02-08 00Z | 20.4°S 74.7°E | 124 | 947 | H4 |
| 2025-02-08 06Z | 20.4°S 73.4°E | 119 | 941 | H4 |
| 2025-02-08 12Z | 20.5°S 72.5°E | 115 | 946 | H4 |
| 2025-02-08 18Z | 20.5°S 71.5°E | 115 | 946 | H4 |
| 2025-02-09 00Z | 20.6°S 70.8°E | 115 | 945 | H4 |
| 2025-02-09 06Z | 20.6°S 70.0°E | 105 | 954 | H3 |
| 2025-02-09 12Z | 21.0°S 69.7°E | 105 | 951 | H3 |
| 2025-02-09 18Z | 21.6°S 69.3°E | 105 | 952 | H3 |
| 2025-02-10 00Z | 22.4°S 68.9°E | 99 | 954 | H3 |
| 2025-02-10 06Z | 23.0°S 68.3°E | 93 | 960 | H2 |
| 2025-02-10 12Z | 24.0°S 68.4°E | 93 | 960 | H2 |
| 2025-02-10 18Z | 24.9°S 68.5°E | 89 | 960 | H2 |
| 2025-02-11 00Z | 26.2°S 69.1°E | 89 | 959 | H2 |
| 2025-02-11 06Z | 26.9°S 69.2°E | 70 | 975 | H1 |
| 2025-02-11 12Z | 27.9°S 69.8°E | 70 | 975 | H1 |
| 2025-02-11 18Z | 29.0°S 70.2°E | 67 | 971 | H1 |
| 2025-02-12 00Z | 30.0°S 70.3°E | 64 | 967 | H1 |