2025 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere

Cyclone Unnamed SH15 SH15 · SH152025

Cyclone Unnamed SH15 was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2025-02-02 to 2025-02-05 (3 days), peaking at 45 kt (TS) with a minimum pressure of 993 hPa. 62 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 76 km off on average.

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ATCF ID
SH152025
Basin
Southern Hemisphere
Tracked
2025-02-02 → 2025-02-05 (3 days)
Peak wind
45 kt · 23 m/s · TS
Minimum pressure
993 hPa
Archived forecasts
62
Sources
ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
TDTSH1H2H3H4H5

Forecast track error (km)

Source24 h48 h72 h120 h
ECMWF98 (6)130 (3)——
ECMWF ENS153 (7)76 (3)——
GFS190 (7)152 (3)——
GEFS194 (7)80 (3)——

Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.

Best track

Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.

Time (UTC)PositionWind (kt)Pressure (hPa)Grade
2025-02-02 12Z19.4°S 165.9°E39997TS
2025-02-02 18Z19.5°S 167.5°E39997TS
2025-02-03 00Z20.7°S 167.8°E45996TS
2025-02-03 06Z21.0°S 168.0°E45993TS
2025-02-03 12Z21.0°S 168.0°E39995TS
2025-02-03 18Z21.1°S 168.2°E35997TS
2025-02-04 00Z21.4°S 169.3°E29997TD
2025-02-04 06Z21.4°S 170.5°E35996TS
2025-02-04 12Z21.5°S 172.4°E351000TS
2025-02-04 18Z21.5°S 173.4°E35998TS
2025-02-05 00Z21.3°S 174.1°E35998TS