2025 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Seru Seru · SH212025
Cyclone Seru was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2025-02-24 to 2025-02-28 (3 days), peaking at 64 kt (H1) with a minimum pressure of 980 hPa. 66 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF, 140 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- SH212025
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2025-02-24 → 2025-02-28 (3 days)
- Peak wind
- 64 kt · 33 m/s · H1
- Minimum pressure
- 980 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 66
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 63 (10) | 140 (6) | 246 (2) | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 46 (10) | 163 (6) | 352 (2) | — |
| GFS | 151 (10) | 318 (6) | 568 (2) | — |
| GEFS | 110 (10) | 311 (6) | 575 (2) | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-24 18Z | 16.4°S 170.7°E | 39 | 983 | TS |
| 2025-02-25 00Z | 16.8°S 170.9°E | 45 | 980 | TS |
| 2025-02-25 06Z | 17.0°S 170.9°E | 60 | 986 | TS |
| 2025-02-25 12Z | 17.8°S 171.2°E | 64 | 985 | H1 |
| 2025-02-25 18Z | 18.1°S 171.3°E | 54 | 985 | TS |
| 2025-02-26 00Z | 19.6°S 170.3°E | 54 | 980 | TS |
| 2025-02-26 06Z | 20.0°S 171.3°E | 54 | 992 | TS |
| 2025-02-26 12Z | 20.8°S 170.6°E | 51 | 994 | TS |
| 2025-02-26 18Z | 21.5°S 171.2°E | 51 | 993 | TS |
| 2025-02-27 00Z | 21.9°S 171.0°E | 45 | 994 | TS |
| 2025-02-27 06Z | 22.1°S 171.1°E | 45 | 992 | TS |
| 2025-02-27 12Z | 22.9°S 172.0°E | 45 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-02-27 18Z | 23.1°S 172.3°E | 39 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-02-28 00Z | 23.0°S 172.5°E | 39 | 996 | TS |