2025 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Rae Rae · SH192025
Cyclone Rae was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2025-02-22 to 2025-02-25 (3 days), peaking at 89 kt (H2) with a minimum pressure of 961 hPa. 62 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was GFS, 124 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- SH192025
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2025-02-22 → 2025-02-25 (3 days)
- Peak wind
- 89 kt · 46 m/s · H2
- Minimum pressure
- 961 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 62
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 95 (9) | 155 (5) | 91 (1) | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 84 (9) | 134 (5) | 105 (1) | — |
| GFS | 70 (9) | 124 (5) | 84 (1) | — |
| GEFS | 75 (9) | 131 (5) | 132 (1) | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-22 12Z | 13.5°S 177.7°W | 35 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-02-22 18Z | 14.4°S 177.6°W | 35 | 997 | TS |
| 2025-02-23 00Z | 14.7°S 178.5°W | 45 | 993 | TS |
| 2025-02-23 06Z | 15.3°S 178.8°W | 51 | 989 | TS |
| 2025-02-23 12Z | 15.9°S 179.1°W | 54 | 983 | TS |
| 2025-02-23 18Z | 16.6°S 179.0°W | 60 | 988 | TS |
| 2025-02-24 00Z | 17.9°S 179.4°W | 60 | 988 | TS |
| 2025-02-24 06Z | 19.1°S 179.3°W | 64 | 978 | H1 |
| 2025-02-24 12Z | 20.3°S 179.0°W | 77 | 970 | H1 |
| 2025-02-24 18Z | 21.5°S 178.4°W | 89 | 961 | H2 |
| 2025-02-25 00Z | 22.8°S 177.7°W | 84 | 968 | H2 |
| 2025-02-25 06Z | 23.6°S 178.5°W | 60 | 988 | TS |
| 2025-02-25 12Z | 24.5°S 177.7°W | 51 | 994 | TS |