2025 tropical cyclone season · eastern North Pacific
Hurricane Octave Octave · EP152025
Hurricane Octave was tracked in the eastern North Pacific from 2025-09-29 to 2025-10-09 (10 days), peaking at 80 kt (H1) with a minimum pressure of 980 hPa. 251 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS, Google DeepMind are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was Google DeepMind, 59 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- EP152025
- Basin
- eastern North Pacific
- Tracked
- 2025-09-29 → 2025-10-09 (10 days)
- Peak wind
- 80 kt · 41 m/s · H1
- Minimum pressure
- 980 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 251
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS · Google DeepMind
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 51 (33) | 88 (29) | 115 (25) | 201 (17) |
| ECMWF | 57 (32) | 104 (29) | 129 (25) | 209 (9) |
| ECMWF ENS | 53 (32) | 107 (29) | 148 (25) | 279 (17) |
| GFS | 67 (34) | 104 (30) | 149 (26) | 201 (18) |
| GEFS | 73 (34) | 118 (30) | 160 (26) | 265 (18) |
| Google DeepMind | 43 (31) | 59 (28) | 73 (24) | 107 (16) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-29 18Z | 9.3°N 112.2°W | 30 | 1008 | TD |
| 2025-09-30 00Z | 9.3°N 112.4°W | 30 | 1008 | TD |
| 2025-09-30 06Z | 9.3°N 112.9°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2025-09-30 12Z | 9.5°N 113.3°W | 35 | 1005 | TS |
| 2025-09-30 18Z | 9.9°N 113.8°W | 35 | 1005 | TS |
| 2025-10-01 00Z | 10.3°N 114.3°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2025-10-01 06Z | 10.9°N 114.8°W | 45 | 1002 | TS |
| 2025-10-01 12Z | 11.4°N 115.4°W | 50 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-10-01 18Z | 11.7°N 115.9°W | 50 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-10-02 00Z | 11.9°N 116.6°W | 55 | 999 | TS |
| 2025-10-02 06Z | 12.0°N 117.4°W | 55 | 999 | TS |
| 2025-10-02 12Z | 12.3°N 118.0°W | 55 | 999 | TS |
| 2025-10-02 18Z | 12.6°N 118.7°W | 55 | 999 | TS |
| 2025-10-03 00Z | 12.9°N 119.2°W | 50 | 1001 | TS |
| 2025-10-03 06Z | 13.1°N 119.9°W | 45 | 1003 | TS |
| 2025-10-03 12Z | 13.2°N 120.8°W | 45 | 1003 | TS |
| 2025-10-03 18Z | 13.3°N 121.6°W | 50 | 1001 | TS |
| 2025-10-04 00Z | 13.6°N 122.3°W | 50 | 1001 | TS |
| 2025-10-04 06Z | 13.9°N 122.9°W | 50 | 1001 | TS |
| 2025-10-04 12Z | 14.3°N 123.5°W | 55 | 999 | TS |
| 2025-10-04 18Z | 14.7°N 123.9°W | 55 | 999 | TS |
| 2025-10-05 00Z | 15.0°N 124.1°W | 60 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-10-05 06Z | 15.4°N 124.2°W | 65 | 992 | H1 |
| 2025-10-05 12Z | 15.6°N 123.9°W | 70 | 987 | H1 |
| 2025-10-05 18Z | 15.9°N 123.5°W | 75 | 984 | H1 |
| 2025-10-06 00Z | 16.2°N 123.1°W | 80 | 980 | H1 |
| 2025-10-06 06Z | 16.3°N 122.5°W | 75 | 984 | H1 |
| 2025-10-06 12Z | 16.3°N 121.9°W | 60 | 993 | TS |
| 2025-10-06 18Z | 16.2°N 121.3°W | 50 | 999 | TS |
| 2025-10-07 00Z | 15.9°N 120.7°W | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2025-10-07 06Z | 15.8°N 120.2°W | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2025-10-07 12Z | 15.7°N 119.7°W | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2025-10-07 18Z | 15.5°N 119.2°W | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2025-10-08 00Z | 15.3°N 118.5°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2025-10-08 06Z | 15.2°N 117.8°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2025-10-08 12Z | 15.2°N 116.9°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2025-10-08 18Z | 15.5°N 115.8°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2025-10-09 00Z | 15.9°N 114.0°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2025-10-09 06Z | 16.6°N 112.4°W | 35 | 1005 | TS |
| 2025-10-09 12Z | 17.6°N 111.0°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2025-10-09 18Z | 18.0°N 109.6°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |