2025 tropical cyclone season · western North Pacific
Typhoon Neoguri Neoguri · WP252025
Typhoon Neoguri was tracked in the western North Pacific from 2025-09-17 to 2025-10-01 (14 days), peaking at 124 kt (H4) with a minimum pressure of 936 hPa. 183 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was GFS, 86 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- WP252025
- Basin
- western North Pacific
- Tracked
- 2025-09-17 → 2025-10-01 (14 days)
- Peak wind
- 124 kt · 64 m/s · H4
- Minimum pressure
- 936 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 183
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 53 (39) | 96 (35) | 189 (31) | 563 (12) |
| ECMWF ENS | 53 (38) | 108 (34) | 207 (30) | 557 (22) |
| GFS | 46 (39) | 86 (35) | 193 (31) | 529 (23) |
| GEFS | 46 (39) | 87 (35) | 189 (31) | 443 (23) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-18 12Z | 23.0°N 162.9°E | 29 | 1009 | TD |
| 2025-09-18 18Z | 23.5°N 162.3°E | 35 | 1005 | TS |
| 2025-09-19 00Z | 23.7°N 161.4°E | 39 | 1001 | TS |
| 2025-09-19 06Z | 24.1°N 160.3°E | 51 | 994 | TS |
| 2025-09-19 12Z | 24.7°N 159.0°E | 60 | 990 | TS |
| 2025-09-19 18Z | 25.1°N 158.0°E | 64 | 986 | H1 |
| 2025-09-20 00Z | 25.5°N 156.9°E | 70 | 980 | H1 |
| 2025-09-20 06Z | 25.9°N 156.1°E | 84 | 970 | H2 |
| 2025-09-20 12Z | 26.2°N 155.0°E | 84 | 973 | H2 |
| 2025-09-20 18Z | 26.8°N 153.8°E | 119 | 937 | H4 |
| 2025-09-21 00Z | 27.2°N 152.7°E | 124 | 936 | H4 |
| 2025-09-21 06Z | 27.7°N 151.8°E | 124 | 936 | H4 |
| 2025-09-21 12Z | 28.5°N 151.4°E | 119 | 939 | H4 |
| 2025-09-21 18Z | 29.3°N 150.9°E | 109 | 947 | H3 |
| 2025-09-22 00Z | 29.7°N 151.0°E | 105 | 950 | H3 |
| 2025-09-22 06Z | 30.2°N 151.8°E | 105 | 950 | H3 |
| 2025-09-22 12Z | 30.3°N 152.6°E | 89 | 963 | H2 |
| 2025-09-22 18Z | 30.5°N 152.8°E | 80 | 970 | H1 |
| 2025-09-23 00Z | 30.5°N 153.1°E | 84 | 963 | H2 |
| 2025-09-23 06Z | 30.7°N 153.3°E | 74 | 970 | H1 |
| 2025-09-23 12Z | 30.6°N 153.3°E | 74 | 969 | H1 |
| 2025-09-23 18Z | 30.4°N 153.7°E | 64 | 976 | H1 |
| 2025-09-24 00Z | 30.4°N 154.3°E | 60 | 978 | TS |
| 2025-09-24 06Z | 30.5°N 155.4°E | 51 | 987 | TS |
| 2025-09-24 12Z | 31.2°N 156.8°E | 60 | 980 | TS |
| 2025-09-24 18Z | 32.3°N 157.3°E | 64 | 976 | H1 |
| 2025-09-25 00Z | 32.8°N 157.2°E | 64 | 975 | H1 |
| 2025-09-25 06Z | 33.0°N 156.1°E | 70 | 969 | H1 |
| 2025-09-25 12Z | 32.4°N 154.9°E | 60 | 979 | TS |
| 2025-09-25 18Z | 32.1°N 154.2°E | 60 | 982 | TS |
| 2025-09-26 00Z | 32.0°N 153.7°E | 60 | 982 | TS |
| 2025-09-26 06Z | 32.1°N 153.6°E | 54 | 984 | TS |
| 2025-09-26 12Z | 31.9°N 153.7°E | 54 | 984 | TS |
| 2025-09-26 18Z | 31.6°N 154.4°E | 51 | 986 | TS |
| 2025-09-27 00Z | 31.5°N 155.5°E | 60 | 981 | TS |
| 2025-09-27 06Z | 31.9°N 157.1°E | 60 | 982 | TS |
| 2025-09-27 12Z | 32.3°N 158.8°E | 64 | 979 | H1 |
| 2025-09-27 18Z | 33.2°N 160.5°E | 74 | 972 | H1 |
| 2025-09-28 00Z | 34.3°N 162.4°E | 93 | 957 | H2 |
| 2025-09-28 06Z | 35.8°N 164.8°E | 109 | 947 | H3 |
| 2025-09-28 12Z | 38.0°N 167.3°E | 105 | 953 | H3 |
| 2025-09-28 18Z | 40.3°N 169.7°E | 93 | 961 | H2 |
| 2025-09-29 00Z | 42.4°N 172.4°E | 89 | 962 | H2 |