2025 tropical cyclone season · eastern North Pacific
Hurricane Mario Mario · EP132025
Hurricane Mario was tracked in the eastern North Pacific from 2025-09-11 to 2025-09-18 (7 days), peaking at 55 kt (TS) with a minimum pressure of 994 hPa. 165 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS, Google DeepMind are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 52 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- EP132025
- Basin
- eastern North Pacific
- Tracked
- 2025-09-11 → 2025-09-18 (7 days)
- Peak wind
- 55 kt · 28 m/s · TS
- Minimum pressure
- 994 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 165
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS · Google DeepMind
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 41 (5) | 144 (3) | 142 (5) | — |
| ECMWF | 97 (6) | 92 (3) | 141 (3) | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 79 (7) | 52 (4) | 114 (5) | 657 (1) |
| GFS | 100 (8) | 114 (4) | 92 (7) | 102 (1) |
| GEFS | 101 (8) | 65 (4) | 80 (4) | 350 (1) |
| Google DeepMind | 56 (7) | 72 (1) | 29 (2) | 105 (1) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-11 00Z | 14.0°N 97.9°W | 25 | 1009 | TD |
| 2025-09-11 06Z | 14.7°N 98.0°W | 25 | 1009 | TD |
| 2025-09-11 12Z | 15.3°N 98.1°W | 30 | 1008 | TD |
| 2025-09-11 18Z | 15.5°N 98.3°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2025-09-12 00Z | 16.0°N 99.1°W | 35 | 1006 | TS |
| 2025-09-12 06Z | 16.5°N 100.2°W | 35 | 1006 | TS |
| 2025-09-12 12Z | 17.0°N 101.4°W | 35 | 1006 | TS |
| 2025-09-12 18Z | 17.3°N 102.5°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2025-09-13 00Z | 17.8°N 104.0°W | 25 | 1009 | TD |
| 2025-09-13 06Z | 18.3°N 105.4°W | 25 | 1009 | TD |
| 2025-09-13 12Z | 18.5°N 106.6°W | 25 | 1009 | TD |
| 2025-09-13 18Z | 18.4°N 107.6°W | 30 | 1008 | TD |
| 2025-09-14 00Z | 18.1°N 108.4°W | 30 | 1008 | TD |
| 2025-09-14 06Z | 18.1°N 109.1°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2025-09-14 12Z | 18.4°N 109.7°W | 35 | 1005 | TS |
| 2025-09-14 18Z | 18.7°N 110.3°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2025-09-15 00Z | 19.1°N 111.0°W | 45 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-09-15 06Z | 19.4°N 111.8°W | 50 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-09-15 12Z | 19.9°N 112.8°W | 55 | 994 | TS |
| 2025-09-15 18Z | 20.6°N 113.9°W | 55 | 994 | TS |
| 2025-09-16 00Z | 21.1°N 114.7°W | 50 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-09-16 06Z | 21.6°N 115.5°W | 45 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-09-16 12Z | 22.0°N 116.3°W | 35 | 1003 | TS |
| 2025-09-16 18Z | 22.6°N 117.3°W | 30 | 1004 | TD |
| 2025-09-17 00Z | 23.3°N 118.0°W | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2025-09-17 06Z | 23.9°N 118.6°W | 25 | 1008 | TD |
| 2025-09-17 12Z | 24.5°N 119.1°W | 20 | 1009 | TD |
| 2025-09-17 18Z | 24.8°N 119.4°W | 20 | 1010 | TD |
| 2025-09-18 00Z | 24.9°N 119.5°W | 15 | 1010 | TD |
| 2025-09-18 06Z | 25.0°N 119.6°W | 15 | 1010 | TD |