2025 tropical cyclone season · North Atlantic
Hurricane Lorenzo Lorenzo · AL122025
Hurricane Lorenzo was tracked in the North Atlantic from 2025-10-13 to 2025-10-15 (2 days), peaking at 50 kt (TS) with a minimum pressure of 1000 hPa. 84 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS, Google DeepMind are verified against its best track.
- ATCF ID
- AL122025
- Basin
- North Atlantic
- Tracked
- 2025-10-13 → 2025-10-15 (2 days)
- Peak wind
- 50 kt · 26 m/s · TS
- Minimum pressure
- 1000 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 84
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS · Google DeepMind
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 93 (6) | 58 (2) | — | — |
| ECMWF | 63 (5) | 111 (1) | — | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 50 (5) | 104 (1) | — | — |
| GFS | 132 (6) | 128 (2) | — | — |
| GEFS | 130 (6) | 159 (2) | — | — |
| Google DeepMind | 142 (4) | — | — | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 06Z | 13.8°N 39.7°W | 40 | 1005 | TS |
| 2025-10-13 12Z | 14.4°N 40.6°W | 45 | 1003 | TS |
| 2025-10-13 18Z | 15.0°N 41.5°W | 45 | 1002 | TS |
| 2025-10-14 00Z | 15.8°N 42.4°W | 50 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-10-14 06Z | 16.9°N 43.6°W | 50 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-10-14 12Z | 17.6°N 44.7°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2025-10-14 18Z | 18.3°N 45.3°W | 35 | 1005 | TS |
| 2025-10-15 00Z | 19.2°N 45.5°W | 35 | 1005 | TS |
| 2025-10-15 06Z | 20.1°N 45.3°W | 35 | 1004 | TS |
| 2025-10-15 12Z | 21.1°N 44.5°W | 35 | 1004 | TS |