2025 tropical cyclone season · eastern North Pacific
Hurricane Lorena Lorena · EP122025
Hurricane Lorena was tracked in the eastern North Pacific from 2025-09-02 to 2025-09-07 (5 days), peaking at 75 kt (H1) with a minimum pressure of 981 hPa. 95 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS, Google DeepMind are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was Google DeepMind, 77 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- EP122025
- Basin
- eastern North Pacific
- Tracked
- 2025-09-02 → 2025-09-07 (5 days)
- Peak wind
- 75 kt · 39 m/s · H1
- Minimum pressure
- 981 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 95
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS · Google DeepMind
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 80 (8) | 123 (4) | — | — |
| ECMWF | 96 (8) | 138 (4) | — | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 81 (8) | 163 (4) | — | — |
| GFS | 52 (8) | 132 (4) | — | — |
| GEFS | 54 (8) | 118 (4) | — | — |
| Google DeepMind | 54 (7) | 77 (3) | — | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-02 00Z | 16.9°N 104.8°W | 30 | 1005 | TD |
| 2025-09-02 06Z | 17.3°N 106.3°W | 35 | 1004 | TS |
| 2025-09-02 12Z | 18.0°N 107.4°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2025-09-02 18Z | 18.9°N 108.3°W | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2025-09-03 00Z | 19.8°N 109.2°W | 55 | 998 | TS |
| 2025-09-03 06Z | 20.8°N 110.0°W | 65 | 991 | H1 |
| 2025-09-03 12Z | 21.9°N 111.1°W | 70 | 987 | H1 |
| 2025-09-03 18Z | 22.5°N 112.1°W | 75 | 984 | H1 |
| 2025-09-04 00Z | 23.1°N 112.8°W | 75 | 981 | H1 |
| 2025-09-04 06Z | 23.6°N 113.5°W | 70 | 984 | H1 |
| 2025-09-04 12Z | 24.0°N 114.0°W | 60 | 990 | TS |
| 2025-09-04 18Z | 24.4°N 114.6°W | 45 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-09-05 00Z | 24.5°N 115.0°W | 40 | 998 | TS |
| 2025-09-05 06Z | 24.4°N 115.0°W | 35 | 1001 | TS |
| 2025-09-05 12Z | 24.3°N 114.9°W | 30 | 1002 | TD |
| 2025-09-05 18Z | 24.4°N 114.5°W | 30 | 1005 | TD |
| 2025-09-06 00Z | 24.7°N 114.7°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2025-09-06 06Z | 25.0°N 115.1°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2025-09-06 12Z | 25.2°N 115.5°W | 20 | 1007 | TD |
| 2025-09-06 18Z | 25.5°N 115.9°W | 20 | 1008 | TD |
| 2025-09-07 00Z | 25.8°N 116.5°W | 15 | 1009 | TD |
| 2025-09-07 06Z | 26.1°N 117.0°W | 15 | 1009 | TD |