2025 tropical cyclone season · North Atlantic
Hurricane Karen Karen · AL112025
Hurricane Karen was tracked in the North Atlantic from 2025-10-08 to 2025-10-11 (4 days), peaking at 50 kt (TS) with a minimum pressure of 996 hPa. 42 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS, Google DeepMind are verified against its best track.
- ATCF ID
- AL112025
- Basin
- North Atlantic
- Tracked
- 2025-10-08 → 2025-10-11 (4 days)
- Peak wind
- 50 kt · 26 m/s · TS
- Minimum pressure
- 996 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 42
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS · Google DeepMind
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 26 (1) | — | — | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 38 (1) | — | — | — |
| GFS | 15 (2) | — | — | — |
| GEFS | 26 (2) | — | — | — |
| Google DeepMind | 8 (1) | — | — | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-08 00Z | 38.0°N 35.9°W | 45 | 1014 | TS |
| 2025-10-08 06Z | 39.9°N 36.0°W | 45 | 1006 | TS |
| 2025-10-08 12Z | 41.2°N 36.7°W | 50 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-10-08 18Z | 41.4°N 36.9°W | 50 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-10-09 00Z | 41.9°N 35.7°W | 45 | 997 | TS |
| 2025-10-09 06Z | 42.8°N 35.1°W | 45 | 997 | TS |
| 2025-10-09 12Z | 43.5°N 34.8°W | 40 | 998 | TS |
| 2025-10-09 18Z | 43.9°N 34.2°W | 40 | 998 | TS |
| 2025-10-10 00Z | 44.4°N 33.5°W | 40 | 998 | TS |
| 2025-10-10 06Z | 45.0°N 32.6°W | 40 | 998 | TS |
| 2025-10-10 12Z | 45.7°N 31.5°W | 40 | 998 | TS |
| 2025-10-10 18Z | 46.8°N 30.6°W | 35 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-10-11 00Z | 48.0°N 29.7°W | 35 | 1003 | TS |
| 2025-10-11 06Z | 49.4°N 28.7°W | 30 | 1005 | TD |
| 2025-10-11 12Z | 51.3°N 28.0°W | 30 | 1005 | TD |