2025 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Jude Jude · SH252025
Cyclone Jude was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2025-03-04 to 2025-03-18 (14 days), peaking at 80 kt (H1) with a minimum pressure of 975 hPa. 123 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 154 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- SH252025
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2025-03-04 → 2025-03-18 (14 days)
- Peak wind
- 80 kt · 41 m/s · H1
- Minimum pressure
- 975 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 123
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 100 (2) | 179 (1) | 145 (1) | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 80 (18) | 154 (14) | 188 (13) | 267 (6) |
| GFS | 65 (19) | 161 (16) | 279 (16) | 285 (8) |
| GEFS | 69 (20) | 179 (16) | 330 (16) | 167 (8) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-08 18Z | 14.5°S 45.6°E | 35 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-03-09 00Z | 14.8°S 44.6°E | 45 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-03-09 06Z | 14.8°S 43.5°E | 54 | 989 | TS |
| 2025-03-09 12Z | 15.3°S 42.2°E | 64 | 983 | H1 |
| 2025-03-09 18Z | 14.9°S 41.2°E | 80 | 975 | H1 |
| 2025-03-10 00Z | 14.9°S 40.7°E | 74 | 977 | H1 |
| 2025-03-10 06Z | 15.2°S 39.9°E | 64 | 983 | H1 |
| 2025-03-10 12Z | 14.9°S 39.1°E | 54 | 989 | TS |
| 2025-03-10 18Z | 14.9°S 38.2°E | — | — | — |
| 2025-03-11 00Z | 15.3°S 37.3°E | — | — | — |
| 2025-03-11 06Z | 15.9°S 36.5°E | — | — | — |
| 2025-03-11 12Z | 16.5°S 35.8°E | — | — | — |
| 2025-03-11 18Z | 17.0°S 35.3°E | 25 | 999 | TD |
| 2025-03-12 00Z | 17.4°S 35.1°E | 25 | 1000 | TD |
| 2025-03-12 06Z | 17.5°S 35.2°E | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2025-03-12 12Z | 17.9°S 35.5°E | 25 | 1003 | TD |
| 2025-03-12 18Z | 18.3°S 35.8°E | 29 | 1001 | TD |
| 2025-03-13 00Z | 18.9°S 36.1°E | 29 | 1001 | TD |
| 2025-03-13 06Z | 19.7°S 37.2°E | 29 | 1001 | TD |
| 2025-03-13 12Z | 20.0°S 38.4°E | 39 | 998 | TS |
| 2025-03-13 18Z | 21.1°S 39.5°E | 45 | 992 | TS |
| 2025-03-14 00Z | 22.5°S 40.7°E | 45 | 992 | TS |
| 2025-03-14 06Z | 23.0°S 41.6°E | 51 | 993 | TS |
| 2025-03-14 12Z | 23.7°S 42.2°E | 54 | 988 | TS |
| 2025-03-14 18Z | 24.6°S 43.3°E | 54 | 988 | TS |
| 2025-03-15 00Z | 24.9°S 44.0°E | 54 | 984 | TS |
| 2025-03-15 06Z | 25.0°S 44.6°E | 54 | 992 | TS |
| 2025-03-15 12Z | 25.2°S 46.1°E | 51 | 995 | TS |
| 2025-03-15 18Z | 25.3°S 47.7°E | 51 | 986 | TS |
| 2025-03-16 00Z | 25.8°S 51.3°E | 51 | 986 | TS |
| 2025-03-16 06Z | 26.4°S 53.4°E | 45 | 993 | TS |
| 2025-03-16 12Z | 27.7°S 55.9°E | 39 | 995 | TS |