2025 tropical cyclone season · North Atlantic
Hurricane Jerry Jerry · AL102025
Hurricane Jerry was tracked in the North Atlantic from 2025-10-07 to 2025-10-11 (4 days), peaking at 55 kt (TS) with a minimum pressure of 1000 hPa. 146 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS, Google DeepMind are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was Google DeepMind, 75 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- AL102025
- Basin
- North Atlantic
- Tracked
- 2025-10-07 → 2025-10-11 (4 days)
- Peak wind
- 55 kt · 28 m/s · TS
- Minimum pressure
- 1000 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 146
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS · Google DeepMind
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 72 (13) | 101 (9) | 91 (5) | — |
| ECMWF | 89 (13) | 204 (9) | 226 (5) | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 84 (14) | 186 (10) | 296 (6) | — |
| GFS | 171 (14) | 230 (10) | 231 (6) | — |
| GEFS | 91 (14) | 159 (10) | 184 (6) | — |
| Google DeepMind | 43 (12) | 75 (8) | 115 (4) | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-07 06Z | 11.0°N 41.3°W | 35 | 1007 | TS |
| 2025-10-07 12Z | 11.4°N 43.6°W | 40 | 1006 | TS |
| 2025-10-07 18Z | 11.9°N 45.7°W | 40 | 1005 | TS |
| 2025-10-08 00Z | 12.4°N 47.9°W | 45 | 1004 | TS |
| 2025-10-08 06Z | 12.9°N 49.9°W | 45 | 1003 | TS |
| 2025-10-08 12Z | 13.6°N 51.9°W | 55 | 1002 | TS |
| 2025-10-08 18Z | 14.3°N 53.8°W | 55 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-10-09 00Z | 15.0°N 55.5°W | 55 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-10-09 06Z | 15.4°N 57.2°W | 55 | 1001 | TS |
| 2025-10-09 12Z | 16.0°N 58.6°W | 50 | 1002 | TS |
| 2025-10-09 18Z | 16.7°N 60.0°W | 50 | 1004 | TS |
| 2025-10-10 00Z | 17.6°N 61.1°W | 50 | 1006 | TS |
| 2025-10-10 06Z | 18.6°N 62.2°W | 50 | 1006 | TS |
| 2025-10-10 12Z | 19.7°N 63.1°W | 50 | 1006 | TS |
| 2025-10-10 18Z | 20.9°N 63.6°W | 50 | 1006 | TS |
| 2025-10-11 00Z | 22.4°N 63.7°W | 50 | 1006 | TS |
| 2025-10-11 06Z | 23.9°N 63.7°W | 45 | 1006 | TS |
| 2025-10-11 12Z | 25.2°N 63.3°W | 45 | 1006 | TS |