2025 tropical cyclone season · North Atlantic
Hurricane Imelda Imelda · AL092025
Hurricane Imelda was tracked in the North Atlantic from 2025-09-26 to 2025-10-06 (9 days), peaking at 80 kt (H1) with a minimum pressure of 966 hPa. 209 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS, Google DeepMind are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was NHC, 66 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- AL092025
- Basin
- North Atlantic
- Tracked
- 2025-09-26 → 2025-10-06 (9 days)
- Peak wind
- 80 kt · 41 m/s · H1
- Minimum pressure
- 966 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 209
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS · Google DeepMind
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 68 (14) | 66 (10) | 187 (6) | — |
| ECMWF | 42 (14) | 72 (10) | 151 (6) | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 45 (12) | 69 (8) | 141 (4) | — |
| GFS | 81 (14) | 86 (10) | 137 (6) | — |
| GEFS | 61 (14) | 72 (10) | 107 (6) | — |
| Google DeepMind | 31 (14) | 67 (10) | 54 (6) | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-26 18Z | 20.9°N 74.9°W | 30 | 1008 | TD |
| 2025-09-27 00Z | 21.3°N 75.5°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2025-09-27 06Z | 21.6°N 75.8°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2025-09-27 12Z | 21.9°N 76.1°W | 30 | 1005 | TD |
| 2025-09-27 18Z | 22.1°N 76.4°W | 30 | 1005 | TD |
| 2025-09-28 00Z | 22.4°N 76.7°W | 30 | 1004 | TD |
| 2025-09-28 06Z | 22.7°N 77.1°W | 30 | 1003 | TD |
| 2025-09-28 12Z | 23.1°N 77.4°W | 30 | 1001 | TD |
| 2025-09-28 18Z | 23.8°N 77.3°W | 35 | 998 | TS |
| 2025-09-29 00Z | 24.6°N 77.1°W | 35 | 997 | TS |
| 2025-09-29 06Z | 25.3°N 77.1°W | 40 | 995 | TS |
| 2025-09-29 12Z | 26.4°N 77.1°W | 45 | 989 | TS |
| 2025-09-29 18Z | 27.3°N 77.3°W | 50 | 987 | TS |
| 2025-09-30 00Z | 28.0°N 77.3°W | 55 | 985 | TS |
| 2025-09-30 06Z | 28.6°N 77.2°W | 55 | 983 | TS |
| 2025-09-30 12Z | 28.9°N 76.9°W | 65 | 981 | H1 |
| 2025-09-30 18Z | 29.2°N 76.0°W | 70 | 979 | H1 |
| 2025-10-01 00Z | 29.4°N 74.8°W | 70 | 977 | H1 |
| 2025-10-01 06Z | 29.9°N 73.1°W | 75 | 973 | H1 |
| 2025-10-01 12Z | 30.7°N 71.4°W | 80 | 968 | H1 |
| 2025-10-01 18Z | 31.2°N 69.2°W | 80 | 966 | H1 |
| 2025-10-02 00Z | 31.8°N 66.4°W | 80 | 971 | H1 |
| 2025-10-02 06Z | 32.6°N 63.2°W | 80 | 974 | H1 |
| 2025-10-02 12Z | 33.0°N 60.8°W | 70 | 977 | H1 |
| 2025-10-02 18Z | 33.5°N 57.5°W | 60 | 986 | TS |
| 2025-10-03 00Z | 34.5°N 53.4°W | 55 | 990 | TS |
| 2025-10-03 06Z | 35.7°N 51.1°W | 55 | 990 | TS |
| 2025-10-03 12Z | 37.3°N 49.3°W | 55 | 986 | TS |
| 2025-10-03 18Z | 38.9°N 49.1°W | 60 | 979 | TS |
| 2025-10-04 00Z | 39.7°N 49.0°W | 65 | 978 | H1 |
| 2025-10-04 06Z | 40.8°N 48.5°W | 60 | 979 | TS |
| 2025-10-04 12Z | 42.0°N 47.5°W | 55 | 981 | TS |
| 2025-10-04 18Z | 43.5°N 45.8°W | 50 | 983 | TS |
| 2025-10-05 00Z | 45.3°N 44.0°W | 45 | 984 | TS |
| 2025-10-05 06Z | 46.9°N 41.9°W | 45 | 984 | TS |
| 2025-10-05 12Z | 48.6°N 39.6°W | 50 | 983 | TS |
| 2025-10-05 18Z | 49.5°N 36.5°W | 50 | 984 | TS |
| 2025-10-06 00Z | 50.3°N 33.0°W | 45 | 988 | TS |