2025 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere

Cyclone Garance Garance · SH222025

Cyclone Garance was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2025-02-23 to 2025-03-05 (10 days), peaking at 105 kt (H3) with a minimum pressure of 953 hPa. 77 archived forecasts from ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 90 km off on average.

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ATCF ID
SH222025
Basin
Southern Hemisphere
Tracked
2025-02-23 → 2025-03-05 (10 days)
Peak wind
105 kt · 54 m/s · H3
Minimum pressure
953 hPa
Archived forecasts
77
Sources
ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
TDTSH1H2H3H4H5

Forecast track error (km)

Source24 h48 h72 h120 h
ECMWF ENS62 (17)90 (13)143 (9)280 (1)
GFS71 (17)104 (13)202 (9)952 (1)
GEFS79 (17)119 (13)176 (9)439 (1)

Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.

Best track

Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.

Time (UTC)PositionWind (kt)Pressure (hPa)Grade
2025-02-25 12Z18.3°S 51.9°E351001TS
2025-02-25 18Z18.0°S 52.5°E39999TS
2025-02-26 00Z17.8°S 52.9°E51994TS
2025-02-26 06Z17.6°S 53.5°E60992TS
2025-02-26 12Z17.6°S 54.1°E60987TS
2025-02-26 18Z17.7°S 54.5°E84974H2
2025-02-27 00Z17.9°S 55.0°E105955H3
2025-02-27 06Z18.2°S 55.3°E105955H3
2025-02-27 12Z18.8°S 55.4°E105953H3
2025-02-27 18Z19.0°S 55.3°E105953H3
2025-02-28 00Z19.7°S 55.3°E105954H3
2025-02-28 06Z21.0°S 55.5°E89962H2
2025-02-28 12Z22.5°S 55.1°E74974H1
2025-02-28 18Z24.1°S 54.9°E64981H1
2025-03-01 00Z25.9°S 54.9°E59984TS
2025-03-01 06Z27.8°S 54.9°E54986TS
2025-03-01 12Z29.5°S 54.8°E51987TS
2025-03-01 18Z31.0°S 55.5°E51990TS
2025-03-02 00Z32.7°S 56.8°E51990TS
2025-03-02 06Z33.5°S 59.0°E45993TS
2025-03-02 12Z34.1°S 61.1°E45994TS