2025 tropical cyclone season · North Atlantic
Hurricane Fernand Fernand · AL062025
Hurricane Fernand was tracked in the North Atlantic from 2025-08-23 to 2025-08-28 (5 days), peaking at 50 kt (TS) with a minimum pressure of 999 hPa. 151 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS, Google DeepMind are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was Google DeepMind, 84 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- AL062025
- Basin
- North Atlantic
- Tracked
- 2025-08-23 → 2025-08-28 (5 days)
- Peak wind
- 50 kt · 26 m/s · TS
- Minimum pressure
- 999 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 151
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS · Google DeepMind
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 115 (12) | 340 (8) | 600 (4) | — |
| ECMWF | 71 (12) | 220 (8) | 473 (4) | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 69 (12) | 180 (8) | 352 (4) | — |
| GFS | 107 (12) | 394 (8) | 586 (4) | — |
| GEFS | 127 (12) | 243 (5) | 257 (2) | — |
| Google DeepMind | 45 (11) | 84 (7) | 227 (3) | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-23 18Z | 26.6°N 61.7°W | 35 | 1010 | TS |
| 2025-08-24 00Z | 28.0°N 61.3°W | 35 | 1009 | TS |
| 2025-08-24 06Z | 29.2°N 60.9°W | 35 | 1009 | TS |
| 2025-08-24 12Z | 30.3°N 60.4°W | 35 | 1009 | TS |
| 2025-08-24 18Z | 31.3°N 60.0°W | 40 | 1006 | TS |
| 2025-08-25 00Z | 32.1°N 59.6°W | 45 | 1005 | TS |
| 2025-08-25 06Z | 33.0°N 59.0°W | 45 | 1004 | TS |
| 2025-08-25 12Z | 33.8°N 58.4°W | 50 | 999 | TS |
| 2025-08-25 18Z | 34.8°N 57.6°W | 50 | 999 | TS |
| 2025-08-26 00Z | 35.6°N 56.8°W | 45 | 1002 | TS |
| 2025-08-26 06Z | 36.4°N 55.9°W | 40 | 1005 | TS |
| 2025-08-26 12Z | 37.3°N 55.1°W | 35 | 1006 | TS |
| 2025-08-26 18Z | 37.8°N 54.0°W | 35 | 1004 | TS |
| 2025-08-27 00Z | 38.2°N 52.7°W | 40 | 1002 | TS |
| 2025-08-27 06Z | 38.3°N 51.4°W | 45 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-08-27 12Z | 38.2°N 50.3°W | 45 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-08-27 18Z | 38.9°N 48.4°W | 45 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-08-28 00Z | 39.7°N 46.3°W | 45 | 1002 | TS |
| 2025-08-28 06Z | 40.6°N 44.2°W | 40 | 1006 | TS |
| 2025-08-28 12Z | 41.8°N 42.0°W | 35 | 1007 | TS |
| 2025-08-28 18Z | 43.0°N 39.1°W | 35 | 1008 | TS |