2025 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Errol Errol · SH292025
Cyclone Errol was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2025-04-09 to 2025-04-18 (9 days), peaking at 138 kt (H5) with a minimum pressure of 919 hPa. 130 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF, 89 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- SH292025
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2025-04-09 → 2025-04-18 (9 days)
- Peak wind
- 138 kt · 71 m/s · H5
- Minimum pressure
- 919 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 130
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 83 (23) | 89 (20) | 116 (16) | 282 (4) |
| ECMWF ENS | 79 (24) | 94 (20) | 139 (16) | 317 (8) |
| GFS | 100 (24) | 178 (20) | 290 (16) | 526 (8) |
| GEFS | 97 (24) | 176 (20) | 311 (16) | 631 (8) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-11 18Z | 10.6°S 128.1°E | 35 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-04-12 00Z | 11.2°S 127.5°E | 39 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-04-12 06Z | 11.5°S 126.6°E | 35 | 999 | TS |
| 2025-04-12 12Z | 11.7°S 126.4°E | 35 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-04-12 18Z | 12.0°S 126.1°E | 35 | 1003 | TS |
| 2025-04-13 00Z | 12.2°S 125.8°E | 35 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-04-13 06Z | 12.8°S 124.6°E | 35 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-04-13 12Z | 13.2°S 124.0°E | 35 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-04-13 18Z | 13.3°S 123.1°E | 39 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-04-14 00Z | 13.5°S 122.5°E | 39 | 1001 | TS |
| 2025-04-14 06Z | 13.9°S 123.1°E | 35 | 1000 | TS |
| 2025-04-14 12Z | 14.0°S 122.9°E | 39 | 999 | TS |
| 2025-04-14 18Z | 13.6°S 122.6°E | 45 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-04-15 00Z | 13.6°S 122.1°E | 45 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-04-15 06Z | 14.0°S 121.6°E | 45 | 996 | TS |
| 2025-04-15 12Z | 13.9°S 120.8°E | 54 | 992 | TS |
| 2025-04-15 18Z | 13.9°S 120.3°E | 60 | 989 | TS |
| 2025-04-16 00Z | 14.1°S 119.7°E | 80 | 976 | H1 |
| 2025-04-16 06Z | 14.2°S 119.2°E | 119 | 940 | H4 |
| 2025-04-16 12Z | 14.4°S 118.9°E | 138 | 919 | H5 |
| 2025-04-16 18Z | 14.7°S 118.8°E | 124 | 935 | H4 |
| 2025-04-17 00Z | 15.0°S 119.0°E | 119 | 940 | H4 |
| 2025-04-17 06Z | 15.2°S 119.4°E | 105 | 951 | H3 |
| 2025-04-17 12Z | 15.3°S 120.3°E | 80 | 974 | H1 |
| 2025-04-17 18Z | 16.0°S 121.6°E | 70 | 980 | H1 |
| 2025-04-18 00Z | 16.0°S 123.3°E | 54 | 991 | TS |
| 2025-04-18 06Z | 16.0°S 123.9°E | 39 | 998 | TS |
| 2025-04-18 12Z | 16.0°S 124.5°E | 29 | 1002 | TD |