2025 tropical cyclone season · eastern North Pacific

Hurricane Erick Erick · EP052025

Hurricane Erick was tracked in the eastern North Pacific from 2025-06-16 to 2025-06-20 (3 days), peaking at 120 kt (H4) with a minimum pressure of 944 hPa. 115 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS, Google DeepMind are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was NHC, 52 km off on average.

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ATCF ID
EP052025
Basin
eastern North Pacific
Tracked
2025-06-16 → 2025-06-20 (3 days)
Peak wind
120 kt · 62 m/s · H4
Minimum pressure
944 hPa
Archived forecasts
115
Sources
NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS · Google DeepMind
TDTSH1H2H3H4H5

Forecast track error (km)

Source24 h48 h72 h120 h
NHC50 (9)52 (5)216 (1)—
ECMWF57 (7)56 (4)——
ECMWF ENS57 (7)101 (4)——
GFS94 (9)157 (5)182 (1)—
GEFS64 (8)131 (5)164 (1)—
Google DeepMind27 (5)75 (1)——

Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.

Best track

Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.

Time (UTC)PositionWind (kt)Pressure (hPa)Grade
2025-06-16 18Z10.6°N 91.5°W301009TD
2025-06-17 00Z11.3°N 92.4°W301007TD
2025-06-17 06Z11.7°N 93.3°W301007TD
2025-06-17 12Z12.1°N 93.7°W351005TS
2025-06-17 18Z12.3°N 94.0°W451001TS
2025-06-18 00Z12.6°N 94.6°W55996TS
2025-06-18 06Z13.1°N 95.1°W65990H1
2025-06-18 12Z13.7°N 95.7°W75982H1
2025-06-18 18Z14.2°N 96.3°W95965H2
2025-06-19 00Z14.9°N 96.8°W110951H3
2025-06-19 06Z15.5°N 97.5°W120944H4
2025-06-19 12Z16.4°N 98.4°W105958H3
2025-06-19 18Z17.1°N 99.3°W65988H1
2025-06-20 00Z17.8°N 100.3°W251006TD