2025 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Elvis Elvis · SH122025
Cyclone Elvis was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2025-01-28 to 2025-02-03 (6 days), peaking at 45 kt (TS) with a minimum pressure of 989 hPa. 119 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track.
- ATCF ID
- SH122025
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2025-01-28 → 2025-02-03 (6 days)
- Peak wind
- 45 kt · 23 m/s · TS
- Minimum pressure
- 989 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 119
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF ENS | 129 (6) | 186 (2) | — | — |
| GFS | 170 (6) | 392 (2) | — | — |
| GEFS | 194 (6) | 418 (2) | — | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-29 12Z | 24.9°S 42.5°E | 39 | 993 | TS |
| 2025-01-29 18Z | 25.8°S 43.2°E | 45 | 989 | TS |
| 2025-01-30 00Z | 26.0°S 43.9°E | 45 | 989 | TS |
| 2025-01-30 06Z | 26.8°S 44.2°E | 39 | 993 | TS |
| 2025-01-30 12Z | 28.1°S 45.7°E | 39 | 992 | TS |
| 2025-01-30 18Z | 29.5°S 46.8°E | 39 | 993 | TS |
| 2025-01-31 00Z | 30.6°S 47.4°E | 39 | 993 | TS |
| 2025-01-31 06Z | 31.7°S 48.5°E | 39 | 993 | TS |
| 2025-01-31 12Z | 32.7°S 49.4°E | 35 | 994 | TS |
| 2025-01-31 18Z | 34.1°S 51.9°E | 35 | 994 | TS |