2025 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Bheki Bheki · SH022025
Cyclone Bheki was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2024-11-08 to 2024-11-25 (17 days), peaking at 115 kt (H4) with a minimum pressure of 947 hPa. 177 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 99 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- SH022025
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2024-11-08 → 2024-11-25 (17 days)
- Peak wind
- 115 kt · 59 m/s · H4
- Minimum pressure
- 947 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 177
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 22 (1) | 88 (1) | — | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 65 (27) | 99 (25) | 131 (20) | 167 (10) |
| GFS | 68 (31) | 127 (27) | 200 (23) | 390 (15) |
| GEFS | 66 (31) | 127 (27) | 221 (23) | 424 (15) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-14 12Z | 10.3°S 76.0°E | 39 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-11-14 18Z | 11.6°S 75.9°E | 51 | 995 | TS |
| 2024-11-15 00Z | 11.0°S 76.0°E | 60 | 977 | TS |
| 2024-11-15 06Z | 11.8°S 75.4°E | 64 | 974 | H1 |
| 2024-11-15 12Z | 12.2°S 74.9°E | 64 | 984 | H1 |
| 2024-11-15 18Z | 12.8°S 74.4°E | 64 | 970 | H1 |
| 2024-11-16 00Z | 13.4°S 73.6°E | 74 | 967 | H1 |
| 2024-11-16 06Z | 14.0°S 73.0°E | 74 | 965 | H1 |
| 2024-11-16 12Z | 14.7°S 72.4°E | 80 | 965 | H1 |
| 2024-11-16 18Z | 15.2°S 71.7°E | 99 | 961 | H3 |
| 2024-11-17 00Z | 15.6°S 71.2°E | 105 | 954 | H3 |
| 2024-11-17 06Z | 16.0°S 70.7°E | 109 | 950 | H3 |
| 2024-11-17 12Z | 16.4°S 70.3°E | 112 | 949 | H3 |
| 2024-11-17 18Z | 16.8°S 69.9°E | 115 | 947 | H4 |
| 2024-11-18 00Z | 17.1°S 69.6°E | 99 | 958 | H3 |
| 2024-11-18 06Z | 17.4°S 69.3°E | 93 | 963 | H2 |
| 2024-11-18 12Z | 17.5°S 69.0°E | 84 | 971 | H2 |
| 2024-11-18 18Z | 17.6°S 68.5°E | 74 | 976 | H1 |
| 2024-11-19 00Z | 17.7°S 67.7°E | 70 | 979 | H1 |
| 2024-11-19 06Z | 18.0°S 67.0°E | 70 | 980 | H1 |
| 2024-11-19 12Z | 18.1°S 66.6°E | 64 | 982 | H1 |
| 2024-11-19 18Z | 18.2°S 65.1°E | 64 | 988 | H1 |
| 2024-11-20 00Z | 18.5°S 64.5°E | 54 | 994 | TS |
| 2024-11-20 06Z | 19.1°S 62.5°E | 45 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-11-20 12Z | 19.3°S 61.1°E | 35 | 1000 | TS |
| 2024-11-20 18Z | 19.6°S 59.7°E | 29 | 1002 | TD |
| 2024-11-21 00Z | 20.2°S 58.6°E | 35 | 1002 | TS |
| 2024-11-21 06Z | 21.1°S 57.4°E | 35 | 1003 | TS |
| 2024-11-21 12Z | 21.8°S 56.6°E | 35 | 1003 | TS |
| 2024-11-21 18Z | 22.1°S 56.0°E | 39 | 1001 | TS |
| 2024-11-22 00Z | 22.1°S 55.0°E | 35 | 1001 | TS |
| 2024-11-22 06Z | 22.0°S 54.4°E | 35 | 1003 | TS |
| 2024-11-22 12Z | 22.6°S 53.4°E | 35 | 1003 | TS |
| 2024-11-22 18Z | 22.9°S 53.5°E | 35 | 1003 | TS |
| 2024-11-23 00Z | 23.0°S 53.0°E | 27 | 1005 | TD |
| 2024-11-23 06Z | 23.0°S 51.9°E | 19 | 1007 | TD |