2025 tropical cyclone season · eastern North Pacific

Hurricane Alvin Alvin · EP012025

Hurricane Alvin was tracked in the eastern North Pacific from 2025-05-28 to 2025-06-01 (4 days), peaking at 50 kt (TS) with a minimum pressure of 999 hPa. 87 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track.

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ATCF ID
EP012025
Basin
eastern North Pacific
Tracked
2025-05-28 → 2025-06-01 (4 days)
Peak wind
50 kt · 26 m/s · TS
Minimum pressure
999 hPa
Archived forecasts
87
Sources
NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
TDTSH1H2H3H4H5

Forecast track error (km)

Source24 h48 h72 h120 h
NHC53 (6)95 (2)——
ECMWF68 (6)94 (2)——
ECMWF ENS62 (6)118 (2)——
GFS72 (6)163 (2)——
GEFS48 (6)91 (2)——

Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.

Best track

Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.

Time (UTC)PositionWind (kt)Pressure (hPa)Grade
2025-05-28 18Z11.5°N 104.4°W301006TD
2025-05-29 00Z12.4°N 104.9°W301006TD
2025-05-29 06Z13.0°N 105.6°W301005TD
2025-05-29 12Z13.7°N 106.2°W401003TS
2025-05-29 18Z14.6°N 106.9°W50999TS
2025-05-30 00Z15.4°N 107.6°W50999TS
2025-05-30 06Z16.1°N 108.3°W451000TS
2025-05-30 12Z16.9°N 108.7°W451001TS
2025-05-30 18Z17.7°N 108.9°W451001TS
2025-05-31 00Z18.7°N 109.0°W401003TS
2025-05-31 06Z19.6°N 109.2°W351005TS
2025-05-31 12Z20.4°N 109.5°W301006TD
2025-05-31 18Z21.1°N 109.7°W301006TD
2025-06-01 00Z21.8°N 109.7°W251007TD
2025-06-01 06Z22.4°N 109.4°W251007TD