2024 tropical cyclone season · North Atlantic

Hurricane Sara Sara · AL192024

Hurricane Sara was tracked in the North Atlantic from 2024-11-13 to 2024-11-18 (4 days), peaking at 45 kt (TS) with a minimum pressure of 997 hPa. 112 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 35 km off on average.

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ATCF ID
AL192024
Basin
North Atlantic
Tracked
2024-11-13 → 2024-11-18 (4 days)
Peak wind
45 kt · 23 m/s · TS
Minimum pressure
997 hPa
Archived forecasts
112
Sources
NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
TDTSH1H2H3H4H5

Forecast track error (km)

Source24 h48 h72 h120 h
NHC40 (12)43 (8)140 (4)—
ECMWF39 (12)49 (8)90 (4)—
ECMWF ENS33 (12)35 (8)40 (4)—
GFS56 (12)61 (8)92 (4)—
GEFS69 (12)84 (8)169 (4)—

Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.

Best track

Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.

Time (UTC)PositionWind (kt)Pressure (hPa)Grade
2024-11-13 18Z16.1°N 78.4°W251007TD
2024-11-14 00Z16.0°N 79.7°W251005TD
2024-11-14 06Z15.9°N 81.1°W301003TD
2024-11-14 12Z15.8°N 82.2°W351001TS
2024-11-14 18Z15.8°N 83.1°W351000TS
2024-11-15 00Z15.7°N 84.0°W40999TS
2024-11-15 06Z16.0°N 85.0°W40998TS
2024-11-15 12Z16.1°N 85.6°W45997TS
2024-11-15 18Z16.1°N 86.1°W45997TS
2024-11-16 00Z16.1°N 86.1°W45997TS
2024-11-16 06Z16.2°N 86.2°W40999TS
2024-11-16 12Z16.2°N 86.4°W40999TS
2024-11-16 18Z16.3°N 86.8°W351000TS
2024-11-17 00Z16.4°N 87.1°W351000TS
2024-11-17 06Z16.5°N 87.5°W351001TS
2024-11-17 12Z16.8°N 87.9°W351001TS
2024-11-17 18Z17.4°N 89.1°W301003TD
2024-11-18 00Z17.9°N 90.2°W251004TD