2024 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Paul Paul · SH222024
Cyclone Paul was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2024-04-09 to 2024-04-12 (4 days), peaking at 50 kt (TS) with a minimum pressure of 993 hPa. 28 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track.
- ATCF ID
- SH222024
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2024-04-09 → 2024-04-12 (4 days)
- Peak wind
- 50 kt · 26 m/s · TS
- Minimum pressure
- 993 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 28
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 111 (3) | — | — | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 111 (3) | — | — | — |
| GFS | 73 (3) | — | — | — |
| GEFS | 99 (3) | — | — | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-09 00Z | 10.5°S 152.4°E | 15 | 1010 | TD |
| 2024-04-09 06Z | 10.9°S 152.6°E | 15 | 1010 | TD |
| 2024-04-09 12Z | 11.4°S 152.7°E | 20 | 1008 | TD |
| 2024-04-09 18Z | 11.8°S 152.4°E | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2024-04-10 00Z | 12.3°S 152.7°E | 30 | 1004 | TD |
| 2024-04-10 06Z | 12.9°S 153.2°E | 30 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-04-10 12Z | 13.3°S 153.9°E | 35 | 1000 | TS |
| 2024-04-10 18Z | 13.8°S 154.4°E | 40 | 998 | TS |
| 2024-04-11 00Z | 14.2°S 155.0°E | 45 | 995 | TS |
| 2024-04-11 06Z | 14.5°S 155.5°E | 50 | 993 | TS |
| 2024-04-11 12Z | 14.9°S 156.0°E | 45 | 995 | TS |
| 2024-04-11 18Z | 14.9°S 156.4°E | 40 | 998 | TS |
| 2024-04-12 00Z | 14.6°S 156.5°E | 40 | 999 | TS |
| 2024-04-12 06Z | 14.1°S 155.2°E | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2024-04-12 12Z | 13.7°S 154.6°E | 20 | 1008 | TD |
| 2024-04-12 18Z | 13.4°S 153.6°E | 20 | 1009 | TD |