2024 tropical cyclone season · North Atlantic
Hurricane Patty Patty · AL172024
Hurricane Patty was tracked in the North Atlantic from 2024-10-31 to 2024-11-04 (4 days), peaking at 55 kt (TS) with a minimum pressure of 977 hPa. 62 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was GFS, 85 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- AL172024
- Basin
- North Atlantic
- Tracked
- 2024-10-31 → 2024-11-04 (4 days)
- Peak wind
- 55 kt · 28 m/s · TS
- Minimum pressure
- 977 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 62
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 51 (5) | 89 (1) | — | — |
| ECMWF | 54 (4) | 70 (1) | — | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 55 (4) | 141 (3) | — | — |
| GFS | 59 (7) | 85 (3) | — | — |
| GEFS | 55 (7) | 104 (3) | — | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-31 18Z | 39.2°N 41.0°W | 55 | 977 | TS |
| 2024-11-01 00Z | 39.6°N 40.0°W | 55 | 977 | TS |
| 2024-11-01 06Z | 39.9°N 38.9°W | 50 | 979 | TS |
| 2024-11-01 12Z | 40.2°N 37.7°W | 50 | 981 | TS |
| 2024-11-01 18Z | 40.6°N 36.5°W | 45 | 983 | TS |
| 2024-11-02 00Z | 40.6°N 35.4°W | 45 | 985 | TS |
| 2024-11-02 06Z | 40.3°N 34.6°W | 50 | 986 | TS |
| 2024-11-02 12Z | 39.4°N 33.3°W | 55 | 982 | TS |
| 2024-11-02 18Z | 38.4°N 31.6°W | 55 | 982 | TS |
| 2024-11-03 00Z | 37.9°N 29.2°W | 50 | 985 | TS |
| 2024-11-03 06Z | 37.7°N 27.0°W | 45 | 988 | TS |
| 2024-11-03 12Z | 37.5°N 25.1°W | 40 | 990 | TS |
| 2024-11-03 18Z | 37.4°N 23.3°W | 40 | 990 | TS |
| 2024-11-04 00Z | 37.6°N 21.3°W | 40 | 993 | TS |
| 2024-11-04 06Z | 37.9°N 19.2°W | 35 | 996 | TS |