2024 tropical cyclone season · North Atlantic

Hurricane Patty Patty · AL172024

Hurricane Patty was tracked in the North Atlantic from 2024-10-31 to 2024-11-04 (4 days), peaking at 55 kt (TS) with a minimum pressure of 977 hPa. 62 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was GFS, 85 km off on average.

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ATCF ID
AL172024
Basin
North Atlantic
Tracked
2024-10-31 → 2024-11-04 (4 days)
Peak wind
55 kt · 28 m/s · TS
Minimum pressure
977 hPa
Archived forecasts
62
Sources
NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
TDTSH1H2H3H4H5

Forecast track error (km)

Source24 h48 h72 h120 h
NHC51 (5)89 (1)——
ECMWF54 (4)70 (1)——
ECMWF ENS55 (4)141 (3)——
GFS59 (7)85 (3)——
GEFS55 (7)104 (3)——

Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.

Best track

Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.

Time (UTC)PositionWind (kt)Pressure (hPa)Grade
2024-10-31 18Z39.2°N 41.0°W55977TS
2024-11-01 00Z39.6°N 40.0°W55977TS
2024-11-01 06Z39.9°N 38.9°W50979TS
2024-11-01 12Z40.2°N 37.7°W50981TS
2024-11-01 18Z40.6°N 36.5°W45983TS
2024-11-02 00Z40.6°N 35.4°W45985TS
2024-11-02 06Z40.3°N 34.6°W50986TS
2024-11-02 12Z39.4°N 33.3°W55982TS
2024-11-02 18Z38.4°N 31.6°W55982TS
2024-11-03 00Z37.9°N 29.2°W50985TS
2024-11-03 06Z37.7°N 27.0°W45988TS
2024-11-03 12Z37.5°N 25.1°W40990TS
2024-11-03 18Z37.4°N 23.3°W40990TS
2024-11-04 00Z37.6°N 21.3°W40993TS
2024-11-04 06Z37.9°N 19.2°W35996TS