2024 tropical cyclone season · North Atlantic
Hurricane Oscar Oscar · AL162024
Hurricane Oscar was tracked in the North Atlantic from 2024-10-19 to 2024-10-22 (4 days), peaking at 75 kt (H1) with a minimum pressure of 984 hPa. 180 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 86 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- AL162024
- Basin
- North Atlantic
- Tracked
- 2024-10-19 → 2024-10-22 (4 days)
- Peak wind
- 75 kt · 39 m/s · H1
- Minimum pressure
- 984 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 180
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 56 (9) | 87 (5) | 47 (1) | — |
| ECMWF | 62 (10) | 88 (6) | 77 (2) | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 59 (11) | 86 (7) | 83 (3) | — |
| GFS | 50 (11) | 120 (7) | 214 (3) | — |
| GEFS | 46 (11) | 92 (7) | 123 (3) | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-19 00Z | 21.0°N 66.5°W | 35 | 1007 | TS |
| 2024-10-19 06Z | 21.2°N 68.2°W | 45 | 1005 | TS |
| 2024-10-19 12Z | 21.3°N 69.8°W | 55 | 996 | TS |
| 2024-10-19 18Z | 21.4°N 70.6°W | 70 | 989 | H1 |
| 2024-10-20 00Z | 21.5°N 71.7°W | 75 | 987 | H1 |
| 2024-10-20 06Z | 21.1°N 72.7°W | 70 | 988 | H1 |
| 2024-10-20 12Z | 20.8°N 73.6°W | 70 | 986 | H1 |
| 2024-10-20 18Z | 20.5°N 74.0°W | 75 | 984 | H1 |
| 2024-10-21 00Z | 20.2°N 74.5°W | 65 | 988 | H1 |
| 2024-10-21 06Z | 20.1°N 75.0°W | 50 | 996 | TS |
| 2024-10-21 12Z | 20.3°N 75.4°W | 40 | 1000 | TS |
| 2024-10-21 18Z | 20.7°N 75.9°W | 35 | 1003 | TS |
| 2024-10-22 00Z | 21.5°N 75.6°W | 35 | 1005 | TS |
| 2024-10-22 06Z | 22.2°N 75.1°W | 35 | 1006 | TS |
| 2024-10-22 12Z | 22.7°N 74.6°W | 35 | 1007 | TS |