2024 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Olga Olga · SH212024
Cyclone Olga was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2024-04-04 to 2024-04-11 (7 days), peaking at 115 kt (H4) with a minimum pressure of 944 hPa. 78 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 84 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- SH212024
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2024-04-04 → 2024-04-11 (7 days)
- Peak wind
- 115 kt · 59 m/s · H4
- Minimum pressure
- 944 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 78
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 74 (9) | 116 (6) | 160 (4) | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 54 (9) | 84 (6) | 130 (4) | — |
| GFS | 56 (19) | 103 (15) | 211 (11) | 587 (3) |
| GEFS | 56 (19) | 136 (15) | 280 (11) | 804 (3) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-04 12Z | 10.3°S 120.0°E | 20 | 1006 | TD |
| 2024-04-04 18Z | 10.9°S 119.6°E | 25 | 1004 | TD |
| 2024-04-05 00Z | 11.6°S 119.7°E | 25 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-04-05 06Z | 12.0°S 119.8°E | 30 | 1001 | TD |
| 2024-04-05 12Z | 12.3°S 119.9°E | 35 | 1000 | TS |
| 2024-04-05 18Z | 12.5°S 120.0°E | 40 | 998 | TS |
| 2024-04-06 00Z | 12.7°S 120.1°E | 45 | 995 | TS |
| 2024-04-06 06Z | 13.0°S 120.2°E | 50 | 992 | TS |
| 2024-04-06 12Z | 13.4°S 120.2°E | 55 | 989 | TS |
| 2024-04-06 18Z | 14.2°S 119.8°E | 65 | 983 | H1 |
| 2024-04-07 00Z | 14.4°S 119.3°E | 80 | 976 | H1 |
| 2024-04-07 06Z | 14.8°S 119.2°E | 105 | 953 | H3 |
| 2024-04-07 12Z | 15.4°S 119.2°E | 115 | 944 | H4 |
| 2024-04-07 18Z | 16.0°S 118.9°E | 110 | 949 | H3 |
| 2024-04-08 00Z | 16.4°S 118.7°E | 110 | 952 | H3 |
| 2024-04-08 06Z | 16.4°S 118.7°E | 90 | 965 | H2 |
| 2024-04-08 12Z | 16.7°S 118.6°E | 60 | 986 | TS |
| 2024-04-08 18Z | 16.9°S 118.1°E | 50 | 993 | TS |
| 2024-04-09 00Z | 17.2°S 117.5°E | 45 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-04-09 06Z | 17.6°S 116.6°E | 40 | 999 | TS |
| 2024-04-09 12Z | 18.0°S 116.5°E | 35 | 1002 | TS |
| 2024-04-09 18Z | 18.5°S 116.2°E | 35 | 1002 | TS |
| 2024-04-10 00Z | 18.9°S 116.1°E | 35 | 1003 | TS |
| 2024-04-10 06Z | 19.7°S 115.6°E | 35 | 1002 | TS |
| 2024-04-10 12Z | 20.4°S 115.1°E | 35 | 1005 | TS |
| 2024-04-10 18Z | 21.0°S 114.7°E | 30 | 1008 | TD |
| 2024-04-11 00Z | 21.7°S 114.0°E | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2024-04-11 06Z | 22.1°S 113.7°E | 25 | 1009 | TD |
| 2024-04-11 12Z | 21.9°S 113.6°E | 20 | 1010 | TD |