2024 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Neville Neville · SH182024
Cyclone Neville was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2024-03-07 to 2024-03-25 (19 days), peaking at 115 kt (H4) with a minimum pressure of 952 hPa. 164 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 75 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- SH182024
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2024-03-07 → 2024-03-25 (19 days)
- Peak wind
- 115 kt · 59 m/s · H4
- Minimum pressure
- 952 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 164
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 57 (26) | 76 (24) | 160 (23) | 285 (17) |
| ECMWF ENS | 47 (26) | 75 (24) | 143 (22) | 293 (18) |
| GFS | 73 (51) | 121 (47) | 182 (43) | 312 (36) |
| GEFS | 65 (51) | 122 (47) | 180 (43) | 284 (36) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-09 12Z | 13.2°S 95.7°E | 25 | 1004 | TD |
| 2024-03-09 18Z | 12.7°S 96.0°E | 30 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-03-10 00Z | 12.5°S 96.5°E | 30 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-03-10 06Z | 12.3°S 97.3°E | 30 | 1002 | TD |
| 2024-03-10 12Z | 12.2°S 98.1°E | 30 | 1002 | TD |
| 2024-03-10 18Z | 12.0°S 99.2°E | 30 | 1002 | TD |
| 2024-03-11 00Z | 12.0°S 100.1°E | 35 | 1000 | TS |
| 2024-03-11 06Z | 12.1°S 101.6°E | 35 | 1000 | TS |
| 2024-03-11 12Z | 12.3°S 102.9°E | 35 | 1000 | TS |
| 2024-03-11 18Z | 12.8°S 104.3°E | 35 | 999 | TS |
| 2024-03-12 00Z | 13.3°S 105.6°E | 40 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-03-12 06Z | 13.5°S 106.7°E | 40 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-03-12 12Z | 13.8°S 107.7°E | 35 | 999 | TS |
| 2024-03-12 18Z | 14.3°S 109.4°E | 35 | 1000 | TS |
| 2024-03-13 00Z | 15.1°S 110.4°E | 35 | 1000 | TS |
| 2024-03-13 06Z | 15.7°S 111.4°E | 35 | 999 | TS |
| 2024-03-13 12Z | 15.8°S 112.3°E | 35 | 998 | TS |
| 2024-03-13 18Z | 15.8°S 113.0°E | 35 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-03-14 00Z | 15.7°S 113.8°E | 35 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-03-14 06Z | 16.3°S 115.0°E | 35 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-03-14 12Z | 16.7°S 115.4°E | 35 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-03-14 18Z | 17.3°S 115.4°E | 35 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-03-15 00Z | 17.6°S 115.3°E | 30 | 1000 | TD |
| 2024-03-15 06Z | 17.8°S 115.2°E | 30 | 1000 | TD |
| 2024-03-15 12Z | 17.9°S 115.0°E | 35 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-03-15 18Z | 17.8°S 114.8°E | 35 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-03-16 00Z | 17.5°S 114.3°E | 30 | 1000 | TD |
| 2024-03-16 06Z | 17.4°S 114.1°E | 30 | 1000 | TD |
| 2024-03-16 12Z | 17.4°S 113.9°E | 30 | 999 | TD |
| 2024-03-16 18Z | 17.3°S 113.8°E | 30 | 999 | TD |
| 2024-03-17 00Z | 17.3°S 113.5°E | 35 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-03-17 06Z | 17.4°S 113.2°E | 35 | 995 | TS |
| 2024-03-17 12Z | 17.2°S 112.9°E | 35 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-03-17 18Z | 17.1°S 112.8°E | 30 | 1000 | TD |
| 2024-03-18 00Z | 17.1°S 112.6°E | 25 | 1002 | TD |
| 2024-03-18 06Z | 17.2°S 112.4°E | 30 | 999 | TD |
| 2024-03-18 12Z | 17.4°S 112.3°E | 30 | 999 | TD |
| 2024-03-18 18Z | 17.5°S 112.2°E | 30 | 999 | TD |
| 2024-03-19 00Z | 17.6°S 112.0°E | 30 | 998 | TD |
| 2024-03-19 06Z | 17.7°S 111.8°E | 35 | 996 | TS |
| 2024-03-19 12Z | 17.8°S 111.6°E | 30 | 1000 | TD |
| 2024-03-19 18Z | 17.9°S 110.8°E | 35 | 998 | TS |
| 2024-03-20 00Z | 17.9°S 110.2°E | 35 | 998 | TS |
| 2024-03-20 06Z | 17.9°S 109.6°E | 45 | 995 | TS |
| 2024-03-20 12Z | 17.9°S 108.8°E | 55 | 990 | TS |
| 2024-03-20 18Z | 17.9°S 107.8°E | 60 | 989 | TS |
| 2024-03-21 00Z | 17.9°S 106.9°E | 70 | 983 | H1 |
| 2024-03-21 06Z | 17.9°S 105.9°E | 75 | 979 | H1 |
| 2024-03-21 12Z | 17.8°S 105.1°E | 105 | 956 | H3 |
| 2024-03-21 18Z | 17.7°S 103.7°E | 110 | 954 | H3 |
| 2024-03-22 00Z | 17.8°S 102.7°E | 115 | 952 | H4 |
| 2024-03-22 06Z | 18.1°S 101.2°E | 100 | 960 | H3 |
| 2024-03-22 12Z | 18.4°S 99.7°E | 90 | 968 | H2 |
| 2024-03-22 18Z | 18.6°S 97.9°E | 90 | 969 | H2 |
| 2024-03-23 00Z | 19.2°S 96.5°E | 90 | 969 | H2 |
| 2024-03-23 06Z | 19.8°S 94.8°E | 80 | 980 | H1 |
| 2024-03-23 12Z | 20.5°S 93.8°E | 70 | 985 | H1 |
| 2024-03-23 18Z | 21.3°S 92.6°E | 60 | 992 | TS |
| 2024-03-24 00Z | 22.2°S 91.2°E | 55 | 996 | TS |
| 2024-03-24 06Z | 22.7°S 90.2°E | 45 | 1003 | TS |
| 2024-03-24 12Z | 23.0°S 89.0°E | 40 | 1001 | TS |
| 2024-03-24 18Z | 23.4°S 88.1°E | 35 | 1006 | TS |
| 2024-03-25 00Z | 23.8°S 86.8°E | 25 | 1010 | TD |
| 2024-03-25 06Z | 24.7°S 86.3°E | 25 | 1010 | TD |
| 2024-03-25 12Z | 25.4°S 86.0°E | 20 | 1012 | TD |