2024 tropical cyclone season · North Atlantic
Hurricane Milton Milton · AL142024
Hurricane Milton was tracked in the North Atlantic from 2024-10-04 to 2024-10-11 (7 days), peaking at 150 kt (H5) with a minimum pressure of 902 hPa. 126 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was GEFS, 93 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- AL142024
- Basin
- North Atlantic
- Tracked
- 2024-10-04 → 2024-10-11 (7 days)
- Peak wind
- 150 kt · 77 m/s · H5
- Minimum pressure
- 902 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 126
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 80 (17) | 129 (13) | 163 (9) | 153 (1) |
| ECMWF | 77 (17) | 138 (10) | 144 (5) | 140 (1) |
| ECMWF ENS | 75 (17) | 143 (9) | 210 (2) | 156 (1) |
| GFS | 56 (17) | 100 (13) | 194 (9) | 190 (1) |
| GEFS | 64 (17) | 93 (13) | 131 (9) | 292 (1) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-04 18Z | 21.0°N 94.6°W | 30 | 1009 | TD |
| 2024-10-05 00Z | 20.8°N 95.2°W | 30 | 1008 | TD |
| 2024-10-05 06Z | 21.4°N 95.4°W | 30 | 1008 | TD |
| 2024-10-05 12Z | 22.0°N 95.5°W | 30 | 1008 | TD |
| 2024-10-05 18Z | 22.5°N 95.5°W | 35 | 1006 | TS |
| 2024-10-06 00Z | 22.7°N 95.5°W | 35 | 1004 | TS |
| 2024-10-06 06Z | 22.6°N 95.2°W | 45 | 999 | TS |
| 2024-10-06 12Z | 22.5°N 94.8°W | 55 | 991 | TS |
| 2024-10-06 18Z | 22.5°N 94.1°W | 70 | 986 | H1 |
| 2024-10-07 00Z | 22.5°N 93.4°W | 75 | 981 | H1 |
| 2024-10-07 06Z | 22.1°N 92.9°W | 90 | 972 | H2 |
| 2024-10-07 12Z | 21.8°N 92.2°W | 120 | 943 | H4 |
| 2024-10-07 18Z | 21.7°N 91.3°W | 150 | 908 | H5 |
| 2024-10-08 00Z | 21.8°N 90.4°W | 145 | 902 | H5 |
| 2024-10-08 06Z | 21.9°N 89.5°W | 125 | 925 | H4 |
| 2024-10-08 12Z | 22.5°N 88.8°W | 125 | 929 | H4 |
| 2024-10-08 18Z | 22.5°N 88.0°W | 140 | 916 | H5 |
| 2024-10-09 00Z | 23.0°N 86.9°W | 140 | 908 | H5 |
| 2024-10-09 06Z | 23.8°N 85.9°W | 140 | 909 | H5 |
| 2024-10-09 12Z | 25.0°N 84.8°W | 135 | 919 | H4 |
| 2024-10-09 18Z | 26.3°N 84.0°W | 115 | 945 | H4 |
| 2024-10-10 00Z | 27.3°N 82.7°W | 105 | 956 | H3 |
| 2024-10-10 06Z | 28.1°N 81.3°W | 70 | 975 | H1 |
| 2024-10-10 12Z | 29.0°N 79.5°W | 65 | 983 | H1 |
| 2024-10-10 18Z | 29.5°N 77.5°W | 60 | 984 | TS |
| 2024-10-11 00Z | 29.5°N 75.0°W | 60 | 986 | TS |
| 2024-10-11 06Z | 29.5°N 72.4°W | 55 | 993 | TS |
| 2024-10-11 12Z | 29.5°N 69.3°W | 55 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-10-11 18Z | 29.3°N 65.9°W | 50 | 999 | TS |